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Todd Eberly

@toddeberly.bsky.social

Poli sci prof at St. Mary's College. Author. Independent. Co-author of 3 books on the Trump Presidency, 1 on polarization, and another popular discontent & its impact on politics. Search Amazon! If you find me offensive, may I suggest you stop finding me.

917 Followers  |  258 Following  |  6,194 Posts  |  Joined: 19.10.2023
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Posts by Todd Eberly (@toddeberly.bsky.social)

ABC News has now fully taken down the old 538 website, including all interactive projects since 2014. Aside from erasing history this prevents access to publicly released data, including raw polls, averages, model estimates & story dta. Totally unacceptable for a company (allegedly) doing journalism

08.03.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 5328    πŸ” 1336    πŸ’¬ 110    πŸ“Œ 175

They did this because they knew that Congress isn’t always in session & a president surrounded by sycophants would be a danger to the Republic. GOP Senators rolling over & confirming unqualified & dangerous nominees like Kennedy, Gabbard, & Hegseth are betraying their Constitutional obligations. /2

15.02.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There’s no historical or Constitutional basis for a President being entitled to the Cabinet of their choice. More than anything the Framers feared a powerful executive surrounded by sycophants & β€œyes men.” So they made presidential appointments subject to the advice AND consent of the Senate. /1

15.02.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

At this point, I’m convinced that Trump has signed an Executive Order instructing the librarian of the National Archives to record that his hands are bigger than those of every other President.

01.02.2025 02:21 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The Washington Post editorial this morning essentially equating Biden's questionable pardons with Trump's outrageous Jan. 6 pardons was unconscionable. The newspaper I've been part of for 48 years has utterly lost its soul.

23.01.2025 02:49 β€” πŸ‘ 18340    πŸ” 3150    πŸ’¬ 718    πŸ“Œ 238
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Why I'm quitting the Washington Post Democracy can't function without a free press

Folks: please be diligent about not disseminating Ann Telnaes' cartoon in a way that she's not getting the clicks on it (until she says differently). Her IP matters now more than ever.

Make it go viral but make sure she benefits.

anntelnaes.substack.com/p/why-im-qui...

04.01.2025 02:01 β€” πŸ‘ 16465    πŸ” 6146    πŸ’¬ 191    πŸ“Œ 164

And it is now ridiculously easy to order whatever you want and have it delivered to your door. DoorDash/Grub Hub During Covid a restaurant’s survival meant delivery & customers came to love the convenience. It’s why we order out at least once a week. It’s the night no one complains about dinner.

05.01.2025 03:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In my early 20s a typical meal for me was a box of generic rice-a-roni served over a bed of crumbled generic crackers. It was $0.75 per meal. That’s roughly a $1.75 today. There was a variety flavors & boy was it filling.

05.01.2025 02:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We have a family of four. Ordering dinner out, which we do at least once a week, costs as much as a week’s worth of groceries. Unless all you do is order bad pizza, it ain’t cheaper to order out.

05.01.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Think about how long that lap portion of the belt would be if not stretched around the lap. You can buckle it and just let the buckle flop down on the side of the seat. No need to sit on it.

05.01.2025 01:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Why Are Publications Sugar-Coating Livilsberger’s Political Minifestos? Over the last four days the bizarre Cybertruck fire outside a Trump hotel in Las Vegas has run from comical interlude to possible terrorist incident to tragic suicide of another veteran of America’s…

At least for the moment national publications are radically understating the contents of Matthew Livelsberger's political minifestos which call for a violent, militia-backed "culling" of Dems from and national rebirth of masculinity under the rule of Trump ... talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/why-a...

04.01.2025 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 4870    πŸ” 2109    πŸ’¬ 333    πŸ“Œ 285

I think those things go hand in hand. In the 1960s over 40% of Americans smoked. It’s now less than 12%. Smoking bans & public information campaigns absolutely played a major role in that decline over time because they resulted in people having a better understanding of the danger.

04.01.2025 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

By 1997, seatbelt use was at 72% and kept rising to 90% by 2017. There's really no question but that the laws and the aggressive ad campaigns were the reasons that people began to wear seat belt. Disabling the beep was a simple matter of buckling the seat belt, but not wearing it. /2

04.01.2025 08:15 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The warning bells appeared in 1972. By 1984 only 14% of folks used their seatbelt. That year, New York became the first state mandate that occupants wear belts. In 1985, use grew to 21%. By 1992, 62% wore belts. In 1993, the NHTSA launched Click-It or Ticket & in 1995 all states mandated it. /1

04.01.2025 08:15 β€” πŸ‘ 17    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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I got a blueberry muffin from Panera. It was yummy… except for the small pieces of wood that were in it.

Were they trying to add fiber?

04.01.2025 04:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Five-year state budget projection foresees 'enormous gap' not seen in two decades - Maryland Matters State lawmakers will return to Annapolis in January facing a widening structural budget gap that analysts said is on track to become one of the worst fiscal situations in two decades.

Maryland hasn't had a budget problem this bad since the O'Malley Administration. marylandmatters.org/2024/11/12/f...

04.01.2025 01:47 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Republicans raised holly hell over the breach of regular order and the refusal to close the vote. Everyone supports a "return to regular order" until regular order undermines their plans and path to victory. /2

03.01.2025 20:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In my book, American Government and Popular Discontent, I recount a 2007 vote on an appropriations bill where Republicans appeared to defeat the bill. But majority Democrats held the vote open well after the time allotted had expired & convinced 3 Dems to switch their votes - securing victory. /1

03.01.2025 20:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Second Skin

03.01.2025 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

What did Johnson have to do to get Self and Norman to change their votes?

03.01.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

3 Republican voted against Johnson & 6 withheld their vote... initially.

Why does that matter?

Under House rules, it takes 9 members to make a motion to vacate the Speaker. This was a shot across the bow to let Johnson know that if he becomes Speaker, the votes are there to oust him.

03.01.2025 18:47 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They cannot resist the need to lean into racist and anti-immigrant rhetoric. It's just who they are.

03.01.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Things that I don’t understand. I have a close family member who is diabetic & was paying $400 a month on insulin. There were months they could barely afford it. Under Biden, the cost dropped to $35 a month. They voted for Trump because Biden β€œignored people like them.” I don’t get it.

01.01.2025 01:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Essentially, publishers no longer want to be responsible for promoting the the stuff they publish. As self-publishing becomes easier & easier, folks w/ a following will just bypass the publishing houses. So these folks are making themselves obsolete.

29.12.2024 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The US tested a basic income program under Nixon in 7 US cities & found that although it made people better off w/o β€œmaking them lazy”, it appeared to result in higher divorce rates in 2 of the test cities. That killed Nixon’s support. Spoiler: Subsequent analysis found no effect on divorce.

23.12.2024 02:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Democrats in disarray? Not so fast. | GUEST COMMENTARY Concerns that the Democratic Party desperately needs to reevaluate what it stands for are misplaced, writes political science professor Todd Eberly.

β€œDemocrats should take some time to ponder the implications of this loss, but they should spend far more time preparing for their likely comeback in 2026.”

www.baltimoresun.com/2024/12/21/d...

21.12.2024 20:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s amazing how less agitated or angry I feel now that I’ve dropped Twitter from my life. The number of my angry political posts on Facebook has dropped as well. It’s as if the Twitter algorithm was designed to keep me angry and agitated. I’d then vent on Facebook.

13.12.2024 02:25 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Gov. Moore supports beer and wine sales in Maryland grocery stores While Moore supports the idea, he is not submitting his own bill changing the law or adding this effort to his list of priorities for the session

Give that man a second term!!!

Gov. Moore supports beer and wine sales in Maryland grocery stores.

www.thebaltimorebanner.com/politics-pow...

11.12.2024 19:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Trump vows end to birthright citizenship and pardon US Capitol rioters He tells NBC he will issue "a lot" of executive orders, including on immigration, once he takes office.

My wife is a citizen because of birthright citizenship. And yet my family members can’t grasp why it should matter to me that they voted for Trump. www.bbc.com/news/article...

10.12.2024 01:17 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I’m closing in on 1,000 followers. Please recommend me to folks who you think might be interested in the random, ramblings of a professor of American (and Maryland) politics and policy!

10.12.2024 00:56 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0