Holger Nehring

Holger Nehring

@holgernehring.bsky.social

Contemporary historian #ColdWar #diplomacy

1,342 Followers 1,186 Following 1,513 Posts Joined Sep 2023
17 hours ago
Preview
I hacked ChatGPT and Google's AI - and it only took 20 minutes I found a way to make AI tell you lies – and I'm not the only one.

‘I spent 20 mins writing an article on my personal website titled "The best tech journalists at eating hot dogs". Every word is a lie… Less than 24 hours later, the world's leading chatbots were blabbering about my world-class hot dog skills’
www.bbc.co.uk/future/artic... (HT @sambrook.bsky.social)

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21 hours ago

Opportunism in the sense of causing a bit of havoc. Also: they want to be blown to dust because they'll go to heaven as martyrs. The bombing couldn't help them more. My take: This war is going to end way worse than Vietnam for the US. And the long-term risk to Israel is way underpriced.

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1 day ago

Quel surprise

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1 day ago

AGAIN. LARGE OXFORD BIOBANK DATA LEAK
I do not find the CEO’s - Prof Sir Rory Collins - response in the slightest bit reassuring
Pseudonymised data can be rehydrated

“One dataset found by the Guardian contained millions of hospital diagnoses and associated dates for more than 400,000 participants.

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2 days ago
In war, geography matters as much as technology. Iran commands the entire northern shore of the Gulf, looming large over energy fields on its southern shore and all that passes through its waters.
Its Houthi allies are perched at the entrance to the Red Sea and along the passage to the Suez Canal; Iran is thus perfectly positioned to squeeze the global economy from both sides of the Arabian Peninsula.
Those in command of Iran today are veterans of asymmetric wars in Iraq and Syria. They are now applying the same strategy to fighting the US on the battlefield of the global economy. Drones, short-range missiles and mines setting tankers and ports on fire can have the same effect IEDs had in Iraq, only with greater impact
- disrupting global supply chains and sending oil prices higher. Iran could sustain its counteroffensive more easily and for far longer. Furthermore, a ceasefire alone will not lift the shadow of risk that Iran has imposed over the Gulf, which is now experiencing its nightmare scenario. That is why Iranian leaders are saying they will not accept a ceasefire until Washington fully grasps the global economic cost of waging this war. Businesses, investors and tourists may not return to the Gulf states if they assume that war could resume again.
Unless the US is prepared to invade Iran to remove the Islamic republic's leaders and then stay there to ensure stability and security, confidence in the Gulf will only return if the US and Iran arrive at a durable ceasefire. The pressure is building on Washington to seek one. It is not just Gulf states that want an end to the fighting, but also countries across Asia, Africa and even Europe, all of which fear serious economic crises unless the fighting stops soon.

Cheerful stuff in the FT. Trump has started something that he cannot control. This is arguably far more significant for the world economy than the oil crises of the 1970s.

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3 days ago

Scotland's Government has refused to allow Palantir access to our #NHS or our patient records.

For this, it received pelters from the usual suspects, desperate to follow England's lead.

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3 days ago

What if-and I’m spitballing here- the new fiver had a picture of a badger flying a Spitfire?

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5 days ago
Canada Strong, Knowledge Devalued: Decommissioning the Parks Canada Library In November 2025, the federal government released Canada Strong , its somewhat overdue budget. Of the many items mentioned in its nearly 500-pages, one should worry historians; namely, the labelling o...

Hey #envhist! Parks Canada is ending its library services+ “decommissioning” its collection. We stand to lose a valuable set of materials that reveal if and how the Agency fulfilled its mandate (or didn’t). Read more here+write the Minister @juliedabrusin.bsky.social niche-canada.org/2026/03/10/c...

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4 days ago
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Can anyone explain to me what the Blue Labour justification for this is? Who out there will vote Labour because Mahmood prevented a Sudanese Chevening Scholar? And to be honest, why won’t the PM simply overrule her?

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5 days ago
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Wegen Eklat um linke Buchhandlungen: Essener Buchhändler lehnt Deutschen Buchhandlungspreis ab Buchhändler Dennis Hasemann aus Essen will nicht mit dem Deutschen Buchhandlungspeis ausgezeichnet werden. Dabei gilt der Preis als wichtiges Gütesiegel.

Dennis Hasemann, Buchhändler in Essen, lehnt, nach Weimers Einschalten des Inhandsgeheimdienstes, den Dt. Buchhandlungspreis ab 🎧
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...

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5 days ago

Or alternatively this is creative oil price management just before a final wave of big strikes

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5 days ago

Yes!

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5 days ago

A kid (7) being hit by a car on the pavement outside a school is, according to most respondents to an FB group,just badly trained in dealing with traffic ('much better when I was at school') & basically the victims of a woke society ('need to learn to deal with risk') rather than a dangerous driver.

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6 days ago

Ah, I responded to this post at the time, I thought I had a hazy memory of this. Well, can confirm they did go bust.

bsky.app/profile/holg...

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6 days ago

One of the worst effects of the Trump era on American culture is in how it reinforces the solipsism that to an extent always permeated American political discourse.

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6 days ago
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Great Britain has only two days of gas stored, while Iran war threatens to disrupt supplies National Gas insists storage broadly in line with levels for time of year despite disruption for tankers carrying LNG

UK has only two days of gas stored, Iran war threatens supplies.

Maximum capacity is 12 days.

Mainland Europe has reserves of several weeks’ worth of gas.

UK storage capacity shrank after privatisation.

The Rough storage facility closed in in 2017. British Gas wanted subsidies.

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6 days ago
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Rabobank on the unfolding worst case scenario:

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6 days ago
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Meteorit beschädigt Häuser in Rheinland-Pfalz Teile eines Meteoriten haben laut Polizei Schäden an Häusern in Rheinland-Pfalz angerichtet. Schadensmeldungen gebe es unter anderem aus dem Hunsrück, der Eifel und aus Koblenz. Auch in anderen Bundes...

Ein Buch muss ein Meteorit sein für die Schlafzimmerfliesen in einem Wohnhaus des Koblenzer Stadtteils Güls in uns.

www.tagesschau.de/inland/regio...

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6 days ago
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This

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6 days ago

Frau Strack-Zimmermann.

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1 week ago
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Iran war threatens global helium supply Attacks on Qatar and the Strait of Hormuz remove one-third of the world’s helium from the market

The war in Iran has taken one-third of the world’s helium supply off the market. And if the conflict continues for more than 2 weeks, disruption for helium users could take months to resolve.

#chemsky 🧪

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1 week ago
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António Lobo Antunes, One of Europe’s Most Revered Writers, Dies at 83

"António Lobo Antunes, One of Europe’s Most Revered Writers, Dies at 83".

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1 week ago

How is Britain supposed to fight with stuff it doesn’t have?

I just don’t understand the defence commentators’ clamour for war with Iran.

It makes no sense whatsoever.

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1 week ago

„Man hat das Haber-Verfahren eine Blackbox genannt. [...] Wer das Verfahren einleitet, kann indes die schwarze Blende entfernen, wenn er es lieber genauer wissen will. Wolfram Weimer bleibt sich treu: Er ist sich seiner Sache sicher, weil er sie nicht kennt.“

-> Treffer, versenkt!

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1 week ago

Genuinely fascinating divergence.
Oil and energy market types: really beginning to freak out.
Global macro types: mostly relatively calm and expecting this to all blow over.

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1 week ago
Topic 7: Archive - the Railway Conversion League 1958 to 1994 | Transport watch UK

thanks to @paulconvery.bsky.social for supplying the early archive and foundation myths ...
www.transport-watch.co.uk/topic-7-arch...

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1 week ago

Thrupp (Stroud) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 67.5% (+3.1)
➡️ RFM: 16.5% (New)
🌳 CON: 7.3% (-10.3)
🌹 LAB: 5.8% (-12.3)
🔶 LDM: 2.8% (New)
💷 UKIP: 0.3% (New)

Green HOLD.
Changes w/ 2024.

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1 week ago

Councils declaring a 'climate emergency' and then giving permission to fell 50 or so trees *during nesting season* on a plot that's had building permission for 5 years, need to give their heads a wobble.

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1 week ago

'Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas'

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