Alex Rubalcava

Alex Rubalcava

@alexrubalcava.bsky.social

Founder of Stage Venture Partners. Investor in audacious software startups.

421 Followers 68 Following 148 Posts Joined Nov 2023
1 day ago

The American Eater wins again.

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5 days ago

INSANE finish of the LA Marathon just now.

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1 week ago

AI disruption? Sell software stocks.

War in the Middle East? Sell software stocks.

Dogs and cats living together — mass hysteria? Sell software stocks.

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1 week ago
YouTube
Alex Rubalcava on the Financial Red Flags VCs See Instantly YouTube video by Sean Goldfaden

It's been years since I've appeared on a podcast, but I recently joined my friend Sean Goldfaden from Coefficient Labs to riff on all things software, AI and startups.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=FmT8...

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1 week ago

Every time you use AI to remove a bottleneck from a system you oversee, pay attention to where the bottleneck migrates next.

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1 week ago

If the volume of software written is going to go up 10x or 100x, then the value of solution engineering will increase by a commensurate amount.

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1 week ago

That our family replaced two ICE cars with EVs last year feels pretty, pretty good right about now.

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1 week ago

Like passive investing, the benefits of AI will probably be worth the tradeoffs, but the tradeoffs will still be there.

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1 week ago

Any process automated by AI will exhibit similarities to passive investing. It will have externalities that are self-reinforcing, obvious to observers, but impossible to stop.

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2 weeks ago

I wonder how much the people running for California governor know how good the winner will have it. Three mega-IPOs will rain cash on Sacramento like never before.

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2 weeks ago

No amount of money could buy the goodwill Anthropic earned this week.

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2 weeks ago

Look, if you want me to attend your event, you've got to give it a more interesting title than "The Outcome of Q1."

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2 weeks ago

From my seat, the nice thing about any potential distress in private credit is that it won’t extend into venture debt. I’ve seen far less activity in my portfolio since everyone’s favorite rate-sensitive bank went kaput.

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2 weeks ago

I’m not an investor in Anthropic but I admire the principled stance they take when it comes to selling their software. May they never be forced to compromise.

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2 weeks ago

Most common theme I'm seeing in AI pitches these days: revenue cycle management and billing optimization for every vertical.

Get ready to pay more, for everything.

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2 weeks ago

None of this means SAAS is dead. Just that a lot of constraints have been lifted that will result in a proliferation of new apps.

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2 weeks ago

No one will ever need to deal with misconfigured products ever again. No one will need to adjust their workflow to a vendor’s logic that is not applicable.

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2 weeks ago

In demos from new startups and product updates from portfolio companies, I'm seeing everyone use AI to customize front ends, user-specific data schemas, and specific workflows for each individual customer.

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2 weeks ago

Anthropic could be profitable today if they charged per press release. Short sellers and competitors would gladly pay for FUD this powerful.

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3 weeks ago
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I would like to report a chart crime.

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1 month ago

Closing narrative gaps and presenting more effectively is at least somewhat straightforward to measure.

Improving decision results on the buy side is fraught with misattribution and conflation.

AI will make an impact on the former faster than the latter.

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1 month ago

But I do think AI systems can help produce better decks. What works on the sell side isn’t necessarily symmetrical to what works on the buy side. Thinking through that asymmetry can help surface where AI will have the most impact.

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1 month ago

I’ve been pitched AI systems to score pitch decks half a dozen times this month. But I’m skeptical. Alpha comes from surprise, from asides drawn out after five whys. This stuff just isn’t on decks.

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1 month ago

The last time visual communication landed that well for me was Shepard Fairey’s poster in 2008.

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1 month ago

The vibe of the Halftime Show

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1 month ago

Best Super Bowl halftime since Left Shark. Knowing that most viewers couldn’t follow what was being said, they invested in the visuals and delivered.

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1 month ago

I’m hoping my new “I averaged down in the SAASpocalypse of 2026” T-shirt looks good on me in a year.

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1 month ago

That sound you hear is a million SPVs, all crying out for liquidity at once.

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1 month ago

I think you should start your own branded card: Pearkes Perqs Visa

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1 month ago

Their segment names confused me for a while. “Upload & print” is their collection of custom fulfillment brands targeting people with real design skills. Not people with a jpeg logo and a biz card order.

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