Eric Michael Garcia

The YouGov poll proved to be pretty accurate for Talarico in Texas

I thought he was from McKinney. And the DFW Metroplex has its fair share of kooks. Plenty of Jan 6ers who stormed the Capitol live there.

Bingo. Trump could have avoided this. Instead, Republicans had to spend upwards of $79 million in ads to save Cornyn because Trump still has a grudge after Cornyn said Trump’s time has passed in 2023. That money could have gone to save Susan Collins or beat Sherrod Brown or Ossoff.

No. It’s done. She would need to get virtually all the remaining votes that have yet to be counted to win. That is a lift.

NEW: Steve Kornacki breaks down the first incoming votes in the Texas Senate primaries. nbcnews.app.link/YqFnYLBHd1b

Here's the thing: Talarico still has an uphill fight to actually win in Texas. It's still Texas.

SO, if he wins. That means Democrats aren't just winning North Carolina, Maine and Ohio. It means they probably flip Iowa or Alaska as well.

Sir, you know the fellows with the brightest smiles often have the sharpest teeth. Talking about Jesus can hide a man carrying a knife. Look no further than Carter.

Jay. Whatever her name is, she's not for you, Sir. Never was. Not to be trusted.

bsky.app/profile/eric...

How the hell did EMERSON of all polls get the closest to the actual result in the Texas Democratic primary?

Not bad. That'll do

You're not! This is the best argument Paxton has against Cornyn.

This is true. As soon as he won the primary, he was in Black churches, meeting borough presidents and walking Black-dominated blocks. It helped he was running against Cuomo. But he still earned it.

Of course, there is a significant downside to this type of coalition since it misses THE key constituency within the Democratic Party: Black voters, who are the most consistent Democratic voters. Mamdani had to work hard to build relationships with Black voters (and he's still dealing with it).

Not good at all. But not absolutely terrible. This is the hard part. Mamdani had to work like hell to win over Black voters once he became the nominee. He DID get better, actively courted Black leaders and ministers. But it took work.

Eric's takeaway: Mamdani's coalition is in many ways the perfect blend of Bernie Sanders's 2020 presidential coalition of non-college-educated voters, Latino voters and men alongside Warren's coalition of college-educated white voters. In the end, those disparate factions failed to beat the normal vote that catapults a Democrat to the nomination: majority support from the African American community. That bolstered Joe Biden in 2020. But a fusion of these disparate coalitions might give progressives a foot in the door and–more importantly–convince Black voters they can win.

FWIW, I wrote this when Zohran Mamdani won in November: The way for progressives to win is to fuse Elizabeth Warren's 2020 presidential base of well-educated white urban dwellers with Bernie Sanders's coalition of working-class Hispanics (particularly Latino men) and Asian Americans.

Oh, fair point! I stand corrected. Apologies.

Cuomo did better with Black voters in June AND November

Talarico leads but Crockett goes to court in Democratic Texas Senate race shocker The race remains too close to call, but the upstart Democrat whose been praised by Stephen Colbert and Joe Rogan leads as results pour in

It's kind of surprising how despite living in a completely different state with different dynamics, James Talarico basically replicated Zohran Mamdani's coalition:
-Latinos
-Young people in the cities
-Asian-Americans
-Upper-class high-educated whites
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

Talarico leads but Crockett goes to court in Democratic Texas Senate race shocker An aspiring minister and former teacher who seemingly came out of nowhere in the past month could give Democrats a real shot at the Republican-held seat

BREAKING: Texas's Democratic Senate primary remains too early to call, but Talarico looks like he might win a majority of the vote, avoiding a runoff against Jasmine Crockett. #TXSen
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

To borrow from a Dem I know who worked for him: It's Talaricover

This is the ultimate problem for Cornyn: He keeps saying Paxton is unelectable, but, well, Texans keep voting for him. Being at the top of the ballot is different than being an AG, but still.

Sorry. Fast typer

My mistake. 12 weeks.

Incumbent Republican Cornyn locked in runoff with ultra MAGA Texas AG for Senate The race between Cornyn and the scandal-ridden Ken Paxton risks the Senate seat in blood-red Texas falling into the Democrats’ hands

Cornyn slammed Ken Paxton as he gets ready for the toughest 12-week campaign:

"I refuse to allow a flawed, self-centered and shameless candidate like Ken Paxton risk everything we've worked so hard to build over these many years."
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

This is who will replace Crockett in the House

New: Internal tension at the Associated Press over use of AI. One of the AP newsroom leaders leading the company's AI initiatives told staff that many editors preferred an AI-written article to a human one, and told them when it comes to using AI in the newsroom "resistance is futile."

Texas is first big primary of the midterms. Here’s when election results will come in The road to the Senate majority runs through the Rio Grande — with a detour through late-night TV. Eric Garcia breaks down the good, the bad and the ugly in the Lone Star State

We are seeing the best possible outcome that Democrats could want: Talarico gets a clean win and gets a six-week head start while Paxton and Cornyn cut each other up for two weeks.
www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

"Dallas may not be enough"

Steve Toth ousting Dan Crenshaw is really just Woodlands-area guys who own pool cleaning businesses reclaiming their rightful place at the top of the hierarchy in exurban texas enclaves after briefly being usurped by the soy right deep state blob