Prof. Kai Gehring

If Russia Wins – Atlantic Books **THE INTERNATIONAL BESTSELLER** March 2028: Russian troops capture the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic Sea. After victory in Ukraine, Putin’s long-mooted encroach...

Serious recommendation to all gentlebeings with an interest in European #security and #defence: read Carlo Masala's (‬ @carlomasala1.bsky.social ) "If Russia Wins: A Scenario."

READ IT NOW.

ACTION TODAY.

The scenario is frighteningly possible and very dangerous. I'll do a longer thread later.

AlphaEarth Foundations helps map our planet in unprecedented detail New AI model integrates petabytes of Earth observation data to generate a unified data representation that revolutionizes global mapping and monitoring

“we’re introducing AlphaEarth Foundations, an (AI) model that functions like a virtual satellite. It accurately and efficiently characterizes the planet’s entire terrestrial land and coastal waters by integrating huge amounts of Earth observation data” deepmind.google/discover/blo...

Die Einwohner der europäischen Hauptstadt Kyiv verbrachten die Nacht wieder in U-Bahnöfen, weil Europa es zulässt, dass die russischen Nazis weiter ungehindert ihre Drohnen bauen und auf die Ukraine feuern können.

Wenn sich das nur nicht rächt. Wisst ihr, wo euer nächster U-Bahnhof ist? 🤨

Missile Systems in Homeopathic Doses Germany's request for the Typhon missile system reveals continued shortcomings in Europe's missile procurement

Hi all,

I published my latest newsletter post this morning, discussing the German request for the Typhon missile system (not yet a purchase decision).

You can access the post here:

missilematters.substack.com/p/homeopathi...

Short summary below.

1/6

I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on.

Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts.

1/

The problem with few clusters has been known for a long long while, no? At least in econ. And the use of specific bootstrap techniques to address it, specifically the wild cluster bootstrap.

Or am I doing the paper injustice and there is more novelty?

Every third car in Norway is now an electric car.

Germany sending Ukraine 8th IRIS-T air defense system — here's what they can do The IRIS-T is an integral part of Ukraine's layered air defense system which consists of multiple different systems, most supplied by Western allies.

🇩🇪 🇺🇦 Ukraine will receive its 8th IRIS-T air defense system from Germany. A single engagement saw IRIS-T intercept 8 Russian cruise missiles in 30 seconds with 100% accuracy, using one missile per target.
But for ballistic missiles Ukraine needs Patriots.
kyivindependent.com/germany-send...

Great Aiddata report on mechanisms for Chinese investments/support for mining projects lots of great data.
Highlights that focus has been copper but that lithium on rise.
Also that focus on mining not processing.

www.aiddata.org/publications...

Cool, didn't meet many political scientists who did :) of course make work bias does also not originate from him.

Timing is a different story, I meant more they are not necessarily xenophobic, but if you have a certain model how the world works it might just make sense to agree to that statement

Make work bias. Read Bryan Caplan. If you believe the number of work hours is fixed, it makes sense to also believe immigrants can take jobs away

Russia is attacking #Ukrainian cities with one goal -terror

Russia is stalling for time,wants to prolong the war

The U.S. Congress is going on recess until September 2.The EuroParliament will reconvene on September 8

During all this time,Russia will continue its terrorism and killings

📹Kharkiv

‼️ Das Wichtigste sind echte Instrumente, keine Verbindungen zu Russland und die Unabhängigkeit der NABU und der SAP. Der Gesetzentwurf wird heute in die Werchowna Rada der Ukraine eingebracht. — Präsident Zelenskyj teilt mit, dass er den neuen Gesetzentwurf eingebracht hat.

Hier seine Meldung 👇

Russia launched a massive drone attack on Odesa last night

The legendary Pryvoz market was hit - a large fire broke out there

A residential nine-story building was partially destroyed. Residents of apartments on the 5th to 8th floors have lost their homes.At least 3 people are known to be injured.

Seems that German politics has reached a new equilibrium of sorts.

When I was little, the U.S. military came to our home at gunpoint and took me and my family away. We were imprisoned for years in barbed wire camps simply because we were Japanese American. I have spent my life telling that story, hoping it would never be repeated.

Starmer says coalition of willing plan for peacekeeping force for Ukraine includes troops on ground – UK politics live UK PM and German chancellor answer questions after signing first treaty between two countries since second world war

Starmer says coalition of willing plan for peacekeeping force for Ukraine includes troops on ground – UK politics live www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...

NEW | The Kremlin will likely capitalize on US cuts to media funding in Africa as Russia continues to expand its media on the continent.

Russia’s media ecosystem in Africa supports Russia’s strategic effort to supplant the United States in Africa.

www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/rus... 🧵

Smartphone-freie Schulen im Kanton Zürich: für mehr Konzentration und Miteinander • Ohne Bildschirm-Ablenkung verbessern sich Lernleistung, soziales Miteinander und psychisches Wohlbefinden. • Studien zeigen: Schon das ausgeschaltete Handy in der Tasche senkt die Konzentration. • K...

Dieses Anliegen ist mir sehr wichtig – bitte unterschreiben & weiterleiten: act.campax.org/petitions/sm...

Ich hoffe wir sind alle stolz auf diese Bilder, die aus der europäischen Stadt Czernowitz, im Jahr 2025 kommen, wo Kinder im Spital in den Keller getragen werden, weil die „Kulturnation“ russland wieder mit Drohnen Terror verbreitet, und wir dies (immer noch) zulassen. 🤨

So „kaltschnäuzig“ es klingt, Fakt ist:
Diese Angriffe sind ein kompletter Fehlschlag.

Wohnhäuser, Pferdeställe, nicht militärische Unternehmen, Zivilisten sind keine Ziele, welche die Front zu Gunsten des Abschaums im Kreml verändern werden.

Im Gegenteil - es wird seinen Untergang beschleunigen!

Russia launched one of its largest missile and drone attacks overnight. In Lviv, explosions destroyed residential buildings, a kindergarten, an industrial site, and dozens of vehicles. Lutsk saw a home leveled and fires caused by the blasts. Kharkiv suffered at least ten strikes.

Major General Christian Freuding, head of Ukraine aid coordination at Germany’s Defense Ministry, announced that Ukraine is set to receive its first German-funded long-range weapon systems by the end of July.

Ukraine has reportedly blown up a key Russian gas pipeline in Western Siberia, Bloomberg. Located in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, the pipeline had a capacity of 2.6 billion cubic meters per year and supplied gas to defense industry facilities in Chelyabinsk, Orenburg, and Sverdlovsk regions.

“One of the easiest pastimes in the world is debunking democracy…a schoolboy can attack democracy much better than he can defend it. And one cannot answer him unless one knows the anti-democratic ‘case’ and is willing to admit the large measure of truth it contains.”

George Orwell, 1941

Russian massive attack on #Ukraine last night: two killed and 14 injured in Chernivtsi; six injured in Lviv.

▪️Two people were killed on the spot by falling debris in Chernivtsi - a 26-year-old woman and a 43-year-old man

Residential buildings, administrative offices, shops, cars were also damaged.

Kampf der Bildung!🤬

In der Nacht griff russland eine der besten Universitäten der Ukraine an – die Polytechnische Universität Lviv.

Durch den Terror-Angriff wurden drei (!) Gebäude beschädigt. Die größten Schäden entstanden im Gebäude Nr. 5 – etwa 100 Fenster wurden zerstört.

Uni Leitung

On July 5, as floodwaters were starting to recede, FEMA received 3,027 calls from disaster survivors and answered 3,018, or roughly 99.7 percent, the documents show. Contractors with four call center companies answered the vast majority of the calls. That evening, however, Ms. Noem did not renew the contracts with the four companies and hundreds of contractors were fired, according to the documents and the person briefed on the matter. The next day, July 6, FEMA received 2,363 calls and answered 846, or roughly 35.8 percent, according to the documents. And on Monday, July 7, the agency fielded 16,419 calls and answered 2,613, or around 15.9 percent, the documents sho

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/11/c...

New ESA gravity mission to detect weakening ocean conveyor At the Living Planet Symposium, attendees have been hearing how ESA’s Next Generation Gravity Mission could provide the first opportunity to directly track a vital ocean circulation system that warms ...

Spannend: die Europäische Raumfahrtagentur ESA möchte die Stärke der Atlantikzirkulation #AMOC mit einer Satellitenmission beobachten.
Sie schreibt, dass die AMOC sich abschwächt und einem kritischen Kipppunkt nähern könnte.
www.esa.int/Applications...