A few words on the potential for a fast-moving QLCS and a few tornadoes across east Texas and Louisiana on Saturday evening - Saturday night: www.skydrama.net/post/tornado...
14.02.2026 01:57 β π 10 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0A few words on the potential for a fast-moving QLCS and a few tornadoes across east Texas and Louisiana on Saturday evening - Saturday night: www.skydrama.net/post/tornado...
14.02.2026 01:57 β π 10 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0There's not much to latch onto with specificity, but it's nice to see an aggressive shift across the board on global models depicting the first breaths of spring and a potentially active storm track in mid-February: www.skydrama.net/post/here-we...
04.02.2026 16:59 β π 6 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0December 2025 precipitation percentage of normal.
05.01.2026 05:47 β π 48 π 14 π¬ 1 π 0December 2025 temperature departure from normal for the U.S. and Canada.
05.01.2026 05:41 β π 42 π 15 π¬ 1 π 1Freaking spectacular sunset over Champaign-Urbana this evening. Stepped outside with the dog and saw everything glowing orange, lucky enough to get the drone in the air in time to snap a few photos before the colors faded. Looks like thereβs even a sun pillar tucked in there.
04.01.2026 23:15 β π 61 π 8 π¬ 0 π 1First round (above) would probably favor severe hail risk with storms being near/north of the surface warm front, with wind-heavy risk with storms along the cold front (attached), though a little hump in low level hodographs might be enough for at least embedded tornado risk.
27.12.2025 02:53 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Could be a couple of opportunities for strong to severe convection across the Midwest on Sunday, first as warm & humid air mass surges north Sunday AM and then again as cold front clears the area west to east on Sunday afternoon - Sunday night.
27.12.2025 02:53 β π 18 π 4 π¬ 2 π 0Sorry I'm responding days late, but big problem just seems to be a real lack of jet stream momentum over North America. All the velocity is on the other side of the globe, and you can frame or word it however you want, but we need some sort of big disruption to shake things up + amp up storm track.
26.12.2025 15:38 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Push and pull of warm and muggy air from the south and colder air to the north over the next few days. Could culminate with a few strong storms across the Ohio and Lower/Mid Miss River Valleys later this weekend before we flip back to a colder pattern east of the Rockies.
26.12.2025 15:36 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0First hints of moisture surging back northward as we head for a warm and muggy last week of December across the central and southern U.S.
22.12.2025 16:51 β π 12 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Revisiting the devastating April 26th, 2024 tornado in Nebraska and Iowa and talking through the experience of watching a massive tornado impact the community of Minden, Iowa: youtu.be/dWy1sqzoMWY?...
08.12.2025 00:40 β π 9 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0Open season for Arctic outbreaks from the Canadian Prairies into the Midwest/Great Lakes as this pattern just continues to reload with cold air through the middle of December.
03.12.2025 14:37 β π 10 π 3 π¬ 1 π 0
Some scenes from yesterday's winter storm in central Illinois - fun at the Illinois vs Northwestern "Snow Bowl" and wandering around blowing snow in rural Champaign County earlier in the day:
youtu.be/PHHRxX6WUuk
Here's a link to the premiere of my annual year-end storm chasing flick 'SKYDRAMA 2025'.
It's a long watch! Avoid the cold wind and watch it all at once, or enjoy it with leftovers through the holiday weekend. Cheers!
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dGLH...
My big year-end storm chasing flick premieres on at 7:15 PM CT this evening! I'll share a YouTube link when it's available but wanted to put it on your radar if you're not traveling and want to join me for the live premier!
26.11.2025 16:59 β π 15 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0
48 hours until the release!
SKYDRAMA 2025 has a daunting 3 hour runtime highlighting 15 storm observation days with supercells and tornadoes across 8 states and 5 months. I canβt wait to share it!
I wouldn't discount a strong tornado or two across east Texas or western Louisiana between 5 PM - 10 PM this evening.
If storms don't get too messy too early, late evening shear profiles are pretty impressive and could support sustained supercells and damaging tornado risk.
A little under .30β in my Urbana, IL backyard from overnight rain.
We could see a little more through mid-day, but this is probably about it until Thu/Fri. Weβll take it.
November 17th, 2013 was a top 3 scary weather day locally. My hometown (Urbana) was called out in the day one severe weather outlook from the SPC, and I found myself pacing the kitchen with anxiety that morning.
Damaging tornadoes split Champaign-Urbana north and south of town.
Thanks to a persistent continental ridge across western/central North America there's a lot of warm & dry on the map as we look at November temperatures and precipitation so far.
Top 10 warmest November so far west of the Rockies, much of the Lower 48 off to a very dry start.
We haven't seen a trough west / ridge east pattern establish itself across the U.S. since the early spring months in 2025!
Likely looking at a run of high-impact storm systems and some desperately needed heavy rainfall from the Southern Plains to the Ohio Valley next week.
I'm starting to gain confidence in a potentially stormy finish to November which could feature more than one opportunity for organized severe thunderstorms and heavy rain from the Southern Plains to the Ohio Valley in the last ten days of November:
www.skydrama.net/post/stormy-...
Lots of chatter about a potentially cold & wintry December, but on the way there we may be looking at a pattern supporting of one or more organized severe weather events from the Southern Plains into the Ohio Valley and Gulf Coast focused ~ Nov 18-24, shifting cold after?
12.11.2025 21:49 β π 14 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0What a fun night! I always know there are top tier photographers out there capturing the βphotos of the nightβ so I ventured out to my usual spot, a quiet little tire track road north of town and enjoyed the show with some peace and quiet. Champaign County, Illinois between 8-10 PM CT.
12.11.2025 12:31 β π 35 π 5 π¬ 1 π 0Snow depth on Tuesday morning follow the first big lake-effect snow event of the season across the Great Lakes. A lot of this will be melting over the next few days as warmer temperatures build back into the region.
11.11.2025 16:01 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
It's the wonder of nature, baby! SKYDRAMA 2025 is coming.
My annual year-end storm chasing flick promises to be one of my longest winded ever, packed with supercells and tornadoes from the Great Plains to the Midwest.
Wednesday night before Thanksgiving release, Nov 26!
I agree, they do be sleeping in the off-season.
11.11.2025 00:30 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0At least we know itβs because there is simply no other way, you know?
11.11.2025 00:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Here's another aerial shot from Urbana, IL looking southeast toward Sidney in the distance. Looks like visibility is improving across Champaign County this morning, but you can still tell it's blowing around in rural areas which may keep rural roadways slick through mid-day.
10.11.2025 15:04 β π 16 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Champaign-Urbana and the University of Illinois campus look beautiful this morning with a fresh coating of snow and our brilliant autumn color palette. Looks great from above, but roads are problematic across Champaign County so stay home and enjoy from the window if you're able.
10.11.2025 15:02 β π 29 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0