The AGI Monitor

How ‘technology optimists’ seized control of the AGI narrative The cynics lost a war they didn’t even know they were fighting

Yet skeptics, like Gary Marcus and Teppo Felin, argue that hype outpaces real capability, as models still “jaggedly” excel at narrow tasks and struggle on robust benchmarks like ARC-AGI-2. The debate persists, with no clear AGI threshold in sight. #AGI #AI

Silicon Valley optimism on AGI timelines has shifted from 2060 to around 2040 (or sooner, per Altman and Clark), fueled by breakthroughs like DeepSeek and surging research investment.

Will Need Great Philosophers To Navigate The AI Revolution: Google’s Demis Hassabis The AI revolution will require lots of AI and ML researchers, software engineers, and compute hardware experts, but it also might need people from an unexpected field -- philosophers. Demis Hassab...

Argues that ethical and philosophical frameworks are essential alongside technical advances to ensure AI’s responsible, human-centric evolution. #AGI #AI

DeepMind CEO Hassabis warns that AGI and superintelligence will redefine humanity, urging a new generation of philosophers (“the next Kant or Wittgenstein”) to tackle questions of consciousness, morality and the human condition.

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis on AGI and AI in the Military TIME spoke with Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis, who was on the 2025 TIME100 list.

Stresses multimodal, memory-rich AI as tools for scientific discovery, urges guardrails for autonomy, and foresees “radical abundance” reshaping energy, resources, and societal structures. #AGI #AI

DeepMind CEO Hassabis envisions AGI within 5–10 years, driving breakthroughs from disease cures to climate solutions, but warns of dual-use risks and the need for international safety standards.

OpenAI's o3 is less AGI than originally measured A recent analysis by the ARC Prize Foundation finds that OpenAI’s o3 model delivers significantly weaker results on standardized reasoning benchmarks than its previously tested o3 preview version.

ARC Prize analysis: OpenAI’s o3 model scores 41-53% on ARC-AGI-1 (vs. preview’s 88%). Struggles on ARC-AGI-2 (<3% vs. human 60%). High compute costs don’t boost accuracy. Microsoft CEO Nadella slams “benchmark hacking” as AGI gap persists. #AGI #AI

Which designed to keep AGI development aligned with humanity’s interests, potentially prioritizing shareholders over safety. #AGI #AI

AI pioneers warn OpenAI's corporate overhaul could betray its original mission for humanity A group of former OpenAI employees, researchers, and nonprofit organizations is urging regulators to block OpenAI’s proposed corporate restructuring, arguing it threatens the company’s founding missio...

Former OpenAI staff and leading AI experts, including Geoffrey Hinton and Stuart Russell, warn in an open letter that shifting control to a Public Benefit Corporation endangers legal safeguards (profit caps, independent oversight and the “stop-and-assist” clause).

AI-driven drug discovery could shorten development from years to months, and robotics breakthroughs may soon enable useful humanoid machines—underscoring rapid, exponential AI progress that demands safety guardrails. #AGI #AI

Google DeepMind CEO predicts AGI in 5-10 years but says AI still lacks imagination Demis Hassabis, the Nobel Prize-winning head of Google DeepMind, also predicted a breakthrough moment for humanoid robots in the “next couple of years”.

DeepMind CEO Hassabis predicts AGI within 5–10 years but says today’s AI lacks consciousness and genuine imagination. He advises building intelligent tools to advance neuroscience before pursuing self-awareness.

Says overcoming these challenges is crucial before AGI can safely revolutionize our world. #AGI #AI

The Difference Between ChatGPT And Generative AI Discover the key differences between ChatGPT and generative AI. Learn how ChatGPT, fits into the broader category of generative AI and what sets it apart as a specialized tool for generating human-lik...

Futurist Bernard Marr says five key hurdles stand in the way for true AGI: common sense and intuition; transfer learning across domains; seamless physical–digital interaction; the enormous compute and data demands; and societal trust requiring explainability and accountability.

Using DAOs, smart contracts and tamper-proof data sharing, it democratizes AGI research, enhances data diversity, and ensures ethical oversight—potentially revolutionizing industries from healthcare to finance. #AGI #AI

Blockchain Fuels $25B Decentralized AGI Revolution, Protecting Innovation From Big Tech - Business Sandesh The world of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is on the cusp of a revolution, driven by the inn

Blockchain-powered decentralized AGI, backed by $25 billion, aims to break big-tech monopolies by enabling transparent, secure AI development on distributed networks.

GAIA’s 75% top score (versus 49% for Google’s agent) sets a practical standard for AI’s real-world capabilities. #AGI #AI

Beyond ARC-AGI: GAIA and the search for a real intelligence benchmark Guest Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Intelligence is pervasive, yet its measurement seems subjective. At...

Benchmarks like MMLU / ARC-AGI approximate AI “intelligence” via multiple-choice tests but miss real-world robustness. The new GAIA benchmark (466 multi-step, tool-using questions across three difficulty levels) evaluates web browsing, multimodal understanding, code execution and complex reasoning.

By 2028, AI will shift from autocomplete to coauthor, deeply personalized and context-aware in daily life. #AGI #AI

Opinion | Reid Hoffman’s surprising take on the future of artificial intelligence Reid Hoffman argues that artificial intelligence will do something smarter than world domination — it will become an essential part of everyday life.

Reid Hoffman: AI will be vastly more powerful and integrated by 2028—even if true AGI remains elusive. Multimodal models today combine text, vision and audio; memory has grown from a few pages to millions of tokens, enabling book-length drafts or codebases in single prompts.

Key players include OpenAI, Google, Microsoft, IBM and NVIDIA. Key challenges encompass technical barriers to true human-level reasoning, high development costs, regulatory uncertainty, and ethical concerns. #AGI #AI

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) Market to See Revolutionary Growth | Microsoft, IBM According to HTF Market Intelligence the Global Artificial General Intelligence AGI market to witness a CAGR of 45 during the forecast period 2025 2030 The Latest Released Artificial General Intellige...

HTF Market Intelligence projects the Global AGI market to grow at a 45% CAGR from 2025–2030, driven by tech-giant and government investments, rising compute power and data, and expanding applications in healthcare, finance and more.

Google Lists The Harm AI Can Cause, And How To Deal With It - Trak.in - Indian Business of Tech, Mobile & Startups Concerns surrounding artificial intelligence, particularly artificial general intelligence (AGI), have been voiced by experts for years, with fears about its potential to cause serious harm to humanit...

Google DeepMind’s recent paper outlines AGI risks: misuse, misalignment, mistakes, structural. Proposes safety strategies (strict access, system-level mitigations). CEO Demis Hassabis urges multidisciplinary approach (philosophers, economists) to address societal impact as AGI nears. #AGI #AI

AGI must enhance human capabilities via upskilling, ethical frameworks. “Human-centered AI” essential to balance innovation with societal values. #AI #AGI

Beyond automation: how AGI will reshape decision-making, innovation, and governance Agentic AI and AGI - how they will change the way we make decisions

EY analysis: AGI’s rise will shift enterprises from process-driven to outcome-focused strategies, requiring strategic AI-human collaboration. New roles (AI governance, ethics) and EU AI Act-style regulation critical.

“Nothing Could Solve It”: Brutal New AGI Test Exposes Alarming Limits as Top AI Models Fail Spectacularly - Rude Baguette IN A NUTSHELL 🔍 The ARC-AGI-2 test challenges AI models to identify visual patterns and adapt to new problems. 💡 Unlike its predecessor, ARC-AGI-2 emphasizes efficiency, assessing both problem-solving...

New ARC-AGI-2 benchmark by François Chollet challenges AI’s true intelligence: Top models (OpenAI o1-pro, DeepSeek R1) score only 1-1.3%, vs. human 60%. Test prioritizes efficiency ($0.42/task limit) to curb brute-force computation. Arc Prize 2025 aims for 85% accuracy. #AGI #AI

The AI Race: How U.S.-China Rivalry Could Shape the Future of Artificial Intelligence The AI Race: How U.S.-China Rivalry Could Shape the Future of Artificial Intelligence - Tumirador

U.S.-China tech decoupling may accelerate AGI development, driving AI race in healthcare, cybersecurity, climate science. Risks: fragmented markets, ethical gaps (privacy, bias). Experts urge global collaboration on standards despite rivalry to mitigate disruptions. #AGI #AI

Brin aims to close gap with rivals like OpenAI, whose ChatGPT spurred industry urgency. But current policy remains 3 days. AGI seen as key to future industry dominance amid fierce competition. #AGI #AI

“We Won’t Surrender”: Sergey Brin Declares RTO Critical for Google to Dominate the AGI Race and Leave Rivals in the Dust - Rude Baguette IN A NUTSHELL 🚀 Sergey Brin calls for Google employees to return to the office every weekday to boost productivity and win the AGI race. 💡 Google’s push for in-office work aims to enhance collaboratio...

Google’s Sergey Brin urges full in-office work to accelerate AGI development, citing 60-hour & 5 day office workweeks as a “sweet spot” for productivity.

Internally, trainers and experts hint at AGI, even as o3’s advanced logic brings increased hallucinations. #AGI #AI

OpenAI's o3 revolution: OpenAI may have inadvertently released AGI. Is this the moment AI became smarter than us? The o3 and o4-mini models can think with images, code better than you, and locate your bistro with a photo of a sandwich. Is this artificial general intelligence - AGI?

Recently, OpenAI quietly released o3 and o4‑mini, which may showcasing AGI‑like capabilities: o3 demonstrates active visual reasoning (zooming, rotating and interpreting images to solve handwritten notes), while o4‑mini scored 99.5% on the AIME 2025 test.