Look Mr @michaelemann.bsky.social
A hockey stick graph.
I bet the powers that be take this one more seriously.
@michaelemann.bsky.social
Scientist/Author/Speaker; Presidential Distinguished Prof/Director Center for Science, Sustainability & the Media, U. Penn; National Academy of Sciences; Royal Society; Tyler Prize
Look Mr @michaelemann.bsky.social
A hockey stick graph.
I bet the powers that be take this one more seriously.
"A deadly climate change effect is even worse than feared, study finds" by Doyle Rice for @usatoday.com: www.usatoday.com/story/news/n...
08.03.2026 22:13 β π 96 π 47 π¬ 3 π 2
They had names. They had beautiful faces. And they had the same dreams as your kids - crushed when American "precision" bombs slammed into their Minab elementary school, killing 175
Don't blame AI for this. Blame the sick humans who see war as a game
My new column www.inquirer.com/opinion/iran...
0.35C is not defensible. See:
bsky.app/profile/mich...
Via @wacswain.bsky.social
βRoyal Society statement on the US Administrationβs repeal of the endangerment findingβ
Thanks Eric!
07.03.2026 19:35 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0And: bsky.app/profile/mich...
07.03.2026 18:47 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Matt, this comparison is informative β it shows the observations along with the spread among the CMIP6 ensemble: bsky.app/profile/mich...
07.03.2026 18:44 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0ππ
07.03.2026 18:18 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Bob, I already said Iβm done debating this with you here.
07.03.2026 18:05 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I donβt follow. Annual emissions are roughly constant at about 38 Gt CO2 which means cumulative emissions are increasing roughly linearly. There are some indications that annual emissions will decline over next few years which would mean a deceleration in cumulative emissions.
07.03.2026 17:51 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0I'll have to reach out to Tapio and ask him if there's any followup work by him or others he's aware of.
07.03.2026 16:13 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
The Way Donald Trump Talks About Americans Dying Should Enrage You
open.substack.com/pub/thejackh...
oops, sorry, I was looking at the IOP article. I'm very familiar w/ Tapio's @nature.com article. In fact, I discus it at length in #OurFragileMoment (bookshop.org/p/books/our-...). Here's an excerpt:
07.03.2026 15:38 β π 6 π 4 π¬ 1 π 0oops, sorry, I was looking at the IOP article. I'm very familiar w/ Tapio's @nature.com article. In fact, I discus it at length in #OurFragileMoment (bookshop.org/p/books/our-...). Here's an excerpt:
07.03.2026 15:38 β π 6 π 4 π¬ 1 π 0π§΅
07.03.2026 14:48 β π 7 π 3 π¬ 1 π 0hadn't seen this one, but I've long been impressed with Tapio's work. I'll read it! Thanks for bringing it to my attention.
07.03.2026 15:11 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Dr. Mann's reference to Dr. Schneider has particular resonance with me (b/c I knew him a bit). He emphasized the need to follow the data; he had long talked about overestimating aerosols & underestimating CO2 impacts but bad actors pretended he had not changed his mind in only 3 yrs (71 to 74).
07.03.2026 15:03 β π 14 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0Bob, the plot is literally what I'm saying. And it speaks for itself. Signing off on this exchange as I don't think further back-and-forth is productive here.
07.03.2026 14:38 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0ππ I always appreciate good faith challenges and questioning. It's refreshing!
07.03.2026 14:31 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0No disagreement there. In practice, though, the two are nearly equivalent:
07.03.2026 14:28 β π 17 π 7 π¬ 1 π 2No disagreement there. In practice, though, the two are nearly equivalent:
07.03.2026 14:28 β π 17 π 7 π¬ 1 π 2"Scientists are trying to solve the mystery of whether global warming is speeding up" via @laurapaddison.bsky.social for @cnn.com. [I'm critical of the study, but we all agree on key point that planet will continue to warm until we stop burning fossil fuels]: www.cnn.com/2026/03/06/c...
06.03.2026 18:30 β π 185 π 61 π¬ 13 π 7From "Our Fragile Moment"
07.03.2026 02:52 β π 12 π 6 π¬ 0 π 1
Please see this commentary I wrote for @livescience.com that summarizes the current state of knowledge regarding the "zero emissions commitment" (how much warming we expect once emissions decrease to zero). Our best estimate is that the ZEC is very close to 0C:
www.livescience.com/planet-earth...
Please see this commentary I wrote for @livescience.com that summarizes the current state of knowledge regarding the "zero emissions commitment" (how much warming we expect once emissions decrease to zero). Our best estimate is that the ZEC is very close to 0C:
www.livescience.com/planet-earth...
It's important that scientists get this stuff--and in particular, the messaging to the public--right. And social media is a primary way that scientists interact w/ each other today. We're going to be in this space, that's simply a fact. Let's use it to communicate knowledge as best we can.
07.03.2026 14:22 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Some comments on John Kennedy (the climate scientist, not the ex-president)'s post (a post with which I largely agree!) π§΅
1. Nobody familiar w/ my views could "everything is consistent with existing model projections". Even Gemini knows my views are far more nuanced:
Once again, thereβs promotion of the *idea* that itβs all about seizing oil assets even when thereβs not much of a case for it
07.03.2026 14:05 β π 41 π 12 π¬ 5 π 3IMHO it clearly shows observations lie entirely within multimodel ensemble spread, which collectively (see multimodel mean) show no acceleration over past two decades. Rather than debating this further on social media, I'll speak to this further in the peer-reviewed literature. Watch this space.
07.03.2026 14:11 β π 13 π 3 π¬ 2 π 0