Seth Walder

Ideal Free Agent Fits For Every AFC Team | The Bill Barnwell Show Bill and ESPN's Seth Walder suggest ideal free agent signings for every team in the AFC. 0:00 Welcome 3:14 Patriots 7:34 Dolphins 9:44 Bills 12:54 Jets 15:48 Ravens 18:28 Bengals 20:38 Steelers 22:45 Browns 25:54 Jaguars 29:12 Texans 33:53 Colts 37:38 Titans 40:09 Chiefs 44:19 Broncos 46:36 Chargers 48:21 Raiders ✔️ Subscribe to ESPN Unlimited: https://plus.espn.com/nfl #ESPN

New podcast: @sethwalder.bsky.social and I pick ideal free agent signings for each AFC team, including players like Jaelan Phillips, Malik Willis, and Tyler Linderbaum! tinyurl.com/4nmepwum

The 49ers are hiring an R&D intern: www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/fo...

Cowboys have a football analytics internship opening ⬇️⬇️⬇️

[Schefter] Ravens director of football strategy/assistant quarterbacks coach Daniel Stern is leaving Baltimore to accept a job with the Seattle Seahawks, possibly as their pass-game strategist. But he is off to Seattle. twitter.com/AdamSchefter...

Cade is the best, you always want to hear him on the draft.

Ron is at least medium.

Early 2026 predictions from our crew of analysts. Super Bowl, MVP and more!

www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

you have to get the 2-point and win in OT. And you don't know if you hit that 2 point until you do it.

Slightly later in game model would have for sure preferred 2-point (it very, very, very narrowly did as it stood).

I haven't seen what they said but our model had it as a toss up and I think the rationale is that there actually is a difference between 12 and 13 in that: TD+FG+FG wins you the game as opposed to tying.

Being down 11 is good because you can go 8+3 but it's still basically runner-runner because...

feel like they wouldn't do SB rematch -- wasn't there a big kerfuffle when they did that to Carolina after losing to Denver?

the final and official darnold meter chart of super bowl LX

darnold-meter.com

Yes, this was the big error.

And surprising because of how obvious it was to go for it.

Down 12, 4th and 1 in the 3rd quarter? Shouldn't even have to think about it.

There was not a single 4th down go in the Super Bowl!

Super Bowl QBRs

Sam Darnold: 53.0
Drake Maye: 16.3

Devon Witherspoon: Two sacks, one forced fumble (returned for a TD), ZERO targets in 33 coverage snaps.

GIVE HIM THE MVP!!!!

model says no!!

bsky.app/profile/seth...

see sometimes we say kick!!

Sorry deleted several times but we had 2 point decision as being right on the edge.

5.4% WP either way.

What could go wrong

trust at an all-time high

That's an extremely obvious error by Mike Vrabel.

Needed a 42% chance of converting to justify going for it. We estimated they had a 67% chance of conversion.

Even if the model knew it was a long 1 to go, it still would have been miles ahead of the 42%.

gotta go for this!

Darnold's been great at turning would-be sacks into incompletions or short gains with his legs, but he's left some throws on the field. The long scramble drill throw to JSN, the post to JSN that Gonzalez was able to catch up to before half, and on that third-down out versus the blitz.

Patriots recorded a 46% pass block win rate in the first half.

If that held, it would be their worst PBWR game of the season.

Our live page with updates from tons of analysts: www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/...

new watch party addition

darnold-meter.com was getting overloaded but i paid some more server money and now it should be better :)

This is hilarious and amazing

darnold confidence dropped last series 😬

darnold-meter.com is super bowl ready.

new "since kickoff" button added

This line moved down to 16.5 (shaded over)!!