Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦

Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦

@karvelis.bsky.social

Intelligence | Counterinsurgency | Hybrid war | LatAm | documentary photography | tacos | beer. Not necessarily in that order. #SlavaUkraini 🇺🇦

2,292 Followers 2,132 Following 624 Posts Joined Aug 2023
11 hours ago

Fast and Epic Furious (2027)- Dominic Torreto (Vin Diesel) and friends must run commercial oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz against an array of threats from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei (Jack Black)

131 29 3 2
5 hours ago
Post image

Releasing this from the Strategic Beer Reserve in a hope that Belgian beer prices go down.

3 0 0 0
1 day ago

In this blog post, I discuss how virtual reality is becoming a medium for immersive grievance politics. The promise of immersive proximity to real or imagined places, experiences, and events has made VR attractive to a wide range of storytellers, including propagandists.

2 1 0 0
1 day ago
Han Solo saying "It's the ship that made the Straits of Hormuz in 12 parsecs"
550 90 1 5
1 day ago

TOP TIP: get round the problem of no plan surviving contact with the enemy by having no plan.

151 37 4 5
2 days ago

“The diplomat stated”. That’s good, end with a joke..

0 0 0 0
3 days ago
Post image

EU Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen giving a big speech now at an annual conference of all the EU's ambassadors

Expect fireworks - in the past VDL has used this as a platform to signal shifts in direction...

Will this be von der Leyen's Carney moment?

44 12 2 8
3 days ago
Post image

Financial market participants dragging themselves to the office:

725 135 9 4
3 days ago

Not entirely coincidentally, “cruda” means hangover in Mexico

0 0 0 0
1 week ago

It's 2031. The Strait of Hormuz is a gauntlet for passing LNG tankers. The US is engaged in yet another conflict in Afghanistan after the Newsom Administration invaded to intercept shipments of Chinese drone components to Iran.

22 2 0 2
1 month ago

We were taught that truth is the best weapon.

That if people have access to facts, they'll figure it out.

🧵This turned out to be completely, dangerously wrong

50 20 3 5
1 week ago
Preview
US “Irregular” Militias are Recruiting on Major Social Media Platforms Decentralized militias are openly recruiting on Instagram, posting combat training footage while framing themselves as community defense and disaster relief groups. Behind that branding lies Christian...

“CVI is one of many small “irregular” groups promoting, networking, and recruiting openly on major social media platforms like Instagram.”

globalextremism.org/post/us-irre...

4 3 0 0
1 week ago

Spare a thought for Russians who moved to Dubai to escape our war with Ukraine & are now stuck in the war between our allies, Iran & USA.

749 109 29 9
1 week ago
Post image

Beautiful Ukraine inspired street mural in São Paulo, Brazil #streetart #ukraine

23 2 0 0
1 week ago

Critics of the Iran and Venezuela attacks who warn they will lead to another Iraq or Afghanistan are making the wrong analogy, and don’t grasp how much the failures of Iraq and Afghanistan changed the way the US wages war. The closer model is Israel’s “mowing the grass.” (1/n)

12 9 1 2
1 week ago
Post image

Beautiful Ukraine inspired street mural in São Paulo, Brazil #streetart #ukraine

23 2 0 0
1 week ago
Preview
Collections: Strategic Airpower 101 This week, I’m going to offer a fairly basic overview of the concept of strategic airpower, akin to our discussions of protracted war and nuclear deterrence. While the immediate impetus for t…

Seems like a good moment to re-up my primer on the endless empty promises that strategic airpower can win wars entirely from the air: acoup.blog/2022/10/21/c...

333 87 6 6
1 week ago

In addition to #Tehran, we have now also Iranian reports on attacks in the cities of Qom, Isfahan, and Tabriz. #Iran

3 4 0 0
2 weeks ago
Post image

From the strategic beer reserve: Monk’s Stout by Dupont.

0 0 0 0
2 weeks ago
Preview
La muerte de El Mencho deja a la deriva los negocios del Cartel Jalisco con el ELN, el Clan del Golfo y las disidencias Reportes de inteligencia indican que su mayor aliado es el Clan del Golfo, y que disidencias de las FARC les arriendan laboratorios de cocaína

🔴 El poder de Nemesio Oseguera, El Mencho, líder del Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación, abatido este domingo en Jalisco, deja a la deriva los negocios con algunas estructuras logísticas del narcotráfico en Colombia

6 2 0 1
2 weeks ago
Preview
Mexico may pay a steep price for the killing of Jalisco cartel leader El Mencho The killing of the Jalisco New Generation cartel’s leader is likely to spark a wave violence.

The killing of the Jalisco New Generation cartel’s leader is likely to spark a wave violence.

6 2 0 0
2 weeks ago

Govenor of Jalisco: 
 
In agreement with the Security Table, I want to announce the return to classes at all educational levels starting this Wednesday, February 25.  Additionally, we have agreed with business organizations that economic activities will fully resume starting tomorrow.

24 5 1 0
2 weeks ago

La caída de El Mencho como líder del CJNG es importante, pero ni de lejos es el final de nada en México. Eliminar líderes de los grandes carteles no implica la desaparición de mercados, ni redes, ni incentivos económicos

Una victoria para Sheinbaum que abre más preguntas de las que cierra

4 3 1 0
2 weeks ago
Preview
Mexican Troops Slay Mencho And His Thugs Set Country On Fire Washington gave intel on CJNG leader; Mexico City ruled he not be taken alive

Truly huge news on death of El Mencho.

-US intel key in locating Mencho
-Mexican forces had ruled shoot to kill
-US pressure to get Mencho before world cup games in Jalisco
-Unclear who replaces Mencho
- Cartel attacks across Mexico massive.

Read here:

www.crashoutmedia.com/p/mexican-tr...

9 9 1 2
2 weeks ago
Preview
Mexican army kills leader of powerful Jalisco New Generation Cartel during operation to capture him The Mexican army killed Nemesio Rubén Oseguera Cervantes, “El Mencho,” decapitating what had become Mexico’s most powerful cartel.

It's going to stay (more) violent for a while. Unfortunately, it's likely the Trump admin. will continue to pressure Mexico, which just means more violence.

apnews.com/article/jali... army kills leader of powerful Jalisco New Generation Cartel during operation to capture him

1 1 0 0
2 weeks ago
Video thumbnail

MX Army killed El Mencho today. A win for Sheinbaum. USG is happy too. The Cartel was quick to react setting buses, trucks and businesses on fire, blockading streets and highways. Locals? Terrified. I’m in Guadalajara, a city that virtually emptied out. No public transport, people sheltered in place

10 7 1 1
2 weeks ago

#Jalisco #Guadalajara Vehicle burning and store burning started again about 9pm. They arrested 11 for bloqueos but 14 for opportunistic looting earlier today.

Priests spent sundown on top of their churches praying for peace.

3 1 0 0
2 weeks ago
Preview
Los tres círculos que protegían a ‘El Mencho’: Así se escondió por más de una década el líder del CJNG Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes 'El Mencho' contaba con una amplia de red de protección que le permitió mantenerse oculto y al frente del Cártel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG).

"la pregunta fue la misma: ¿cómo logró mantenerse oculto el hombre que dirigía el cártel con mayor expansión territorial en #México?" escribe @elfinancieromx.bsky.social

3 3 0 0
2 weeks ago
Post image

Finally breaking my silence on this matter.

Ukrainian forces have launched counterattack operations in the Russian-occupied parts of the Dnipropetrovsk region in Ukraine and almost completely liberated that area from the Russian invasion forces.

1,084 215 26 17
2 weeks ago

It bears repeating that Trump’s “special envoy for peace missions” who is responsible for negotiating peace in Ukraine has not visited Ukraine.

95 48 3 0