Adam Brown

Adam Brown

@adamlbrown.bsky.social

Economist, formerly a physicist. Head of UK Economic Policy & Modelling @ Cambridge Econometrics, Visiting Researcher in Innovation Systems @ Oxford Brookes, & Associate @ CityREDI. Also interested in cricket, baseball and metal. Displaced Salopian. Vmo

1,228 Followers 385 Following 6,708 Posts Joined Oct 2023
9 hours ago

In the early days of the IPL, every penny was for name recognition, mostly off the back of test cricket.

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9 hours ago

Maybe he should reshuffle himself to foreign sec

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13 hours ago

would not a less, rather than more, extreme reaction function lead to higher 10-year inflation expectations?

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14 hours ago

I think my view is that it is less the size of the car that is the problem, and more accelerating the behavioural shift away from pointless car use for short journeys

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16 hours ago

Can you fit both all your luggage *and* a largish dog in the boot? It would also be nice to be able to occasionally offer a lift - currently 2 childseats take up the entire backseat

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17 hours ago

Maybe? Can you definitely fit 3 suitcases and quite a large dog in the boot though?

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18 hours ago

I do find the parallel conversations about cars fascinating. On the internet everyone is convinced cars are absolutely enormous should be made more expensive, in real life other parents bemoan not being able to find a single car big enough to fit two modern child seats and a dog for under 50 grand

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18 hours ago

There are these separate conversations about technology being too powerful and taking away all these jobs, and also all of these things that we need to fix but can't afford to do so, and no-one twigs that with a bit of imagination and determination, one is the solution to the other

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18 hours ago

Someone said the other day "we planned to use machines to clean the house whilst we wrote poetry, but its turning out the other way round" and I wanted to scream: This is a CHOICE! Humans have agency. We can choose to use machines however we wish! Nothing here is inevitable or unavoidable!

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18 hours ago

Its also not uncommon for brewers to use different recipes in different countries

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18 hours ago

Weird. I honestly couldn't tell the difference if you gave me unmarked glasses

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18 hours ago

I'm sure they will, but he's quite good at being combative without coming across as defensive against what he sees as unprofessional or biased media, and so I suspect they will wish they hadn't as generally the reporter comes off looking worse from these type of exchanges

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1 day ago

That's a really good, clear, nuanced, thoughtful answer, by far the best answer I've ever heard a politician give, and its not surprising he comes across well and is winning support wherever he goes

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1 day ago

well what do you think it means?

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1 day ago

he don't grass on noncin

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1 day ago

Who else is there for the english to be independent from?

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1 day ago

The concept of English independence only really makes sense in terms of throwing off the norman yoke.

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2 days ago

Lol

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2 days ago

Racism

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2 days ago

Is this not massive scale code duplication though? The code to do basic data extraction and statistical manipulation surely already exists many times over.

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2 days ago

Like a very basic point: calculators exist! If you want to build an LLM that correctly answers maths questions, just code it it to interface with a calculator package. If your solution is to get it to try to figure out the answer based on linguistical patterns, you're an idiot

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2 days ago

I'm still slightly confused/alarmed that people keep trying to use LLMs to do tasks that LLMs are clearly *not at all* suited for, rather than using LLMs to create a natural language interface for a more appropriate technical software package

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2 days ago

Historians will spend centuries trying to unpick which bits of this presidency were naked corruption, which bits acts of personal vindictiveness, and which bits just the confused ramblings of an old man

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3 weeks ago
Nigel Farage in answering Nick Robinson's question about why he believes Britain is broken gave an analysis of falling net migration that is demonstrably factually inaccurate.

"It is so broken and its declining so quickly that anybody with a dispassionate view can see it. It is quite interesting. Just look at the net migration numbers. 'Oh isn't it good net migration is coming down?' But do you know why? It is because there is an exodus. There is now an exodus.Those who are of a situation and a financial position to have a choice are now fleeing the country in numbers".

This is factually incorrect. Net migration fell year on year by 465,00 in the most recent Official of National Statisitcs figures: the year to June 2025. This was not because of an "exodus" (an increase in emigration). It is because immigration fell by 401,000 (to 898,000 from 1.299 million the previous year). That accounts for 90% of the big drop in net migration. The increase in emigration by 41,000 was a minor component. Most of the increase in emigration was of non-EU nationals. British citizens made up a third of emigrants, but there was no significant increasse in British emigration, which was at very similar levels in 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025: it is not a significant cause of the drop in net migration.

Nick Robinson did tell Mr Farage that he was exaggerating the number of people who don't speak English - and BBC Verify did produce an analysis showing that was a five-fold exaggeration. But this central incorrect claim about immigration and net migration was not caught in the programme, or before broadcast.  

It should at least be scrutinised and corrected afterwards - so that an accurate account of why net migration fell (primarily a reduction in immigration visas to the UK) can be communicated to the audience.

I have asked the BBC to scrutinise + correct the factually inaccurate claims made by Mr Nigel Farage about why net migration fell in 'Political Thinking with Nick Robinson'

Here is the link if you want to do something like this.
www.bbc.co.uk/contact/comp...

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2 days ago

Everything there is incredibly spread out. Suburban roads are like half a mile wide. Parking lots are larger than small European towns. When I stayed with friends *in a relatively dense suburb* in NoVa, it was a 45 minute drive to the nearest shop, and they thought nothing of it.

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2 days ago

I've stood up at consultation events and explained plans, and the vast majority of people who came up and asked questions and disagreed genuinely had really good points! If they didn't, it was generally because they were confused rather than disingenuous.

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2 days ago

Maybe like 10% of objections are done in bad faith. Most are not. Whiskey is, but many actually have very good points. The risk is that you fall into the trap of assuming bad faith at the outset. That's a real surefire way to radicalise people against you.

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2 days ago

Nimby is an unhelpful catchall. There are some people who just don't want their pastoral view spoiled, and others who genuinely want to see better designed developments for the benefit of everyone. Important to note that these are both perfectly legitimate views!

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3 days ago

Feels like a motte and bailey that conflates two very different conceptions of social conservatism

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3 days ago

Or just the price of carrots

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