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Adam Brown

@adamlbrown.bsky.social

Economist, formerly a physicist. Head of UK Economic Policy & Modelling at Cambridge Econometrics. Visiting Researcher at Oxford Brookes Business School. Also interested in cricket, baseball and metal. Displaced Salopian. Vmo

945 Followers  |  290 Following  |  4,822 Posts  |  Joined: 27.10.2023  |  2.2761

Latest posts by adamlbrown.bsky.social on Bluesky

Its incredibly unpopular amongst parents.

07.10.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Chaos you say

07.10.2025 10:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Isn't it the other way round? The billionaires that own the media maintain the social prohibition on the far-right only as long as centre-right parties are in the ascendency. The moment a period of centre-left political dominance looms, that prohibition mysteriously disappears

07.10.2025 09:22 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Buying cheap boots over and over rather than investing in good quality boots in the first place and thus saving money in the long run is basically a summary of the Conservative's policy on government finances.

07.10.2025 09:01 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I love Pratchett but I've never found him that funny. Its more of a wry smile/gentle roll of the eyes humour rather than laugh out loud.

07.10.2025 08:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

You mean you don't have one?

07.10.2025 07:42 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think we have a debate between centre-left and centre-right economic theory currently, its just that its two halves of the same cabinet briefing against each other. All the AI boosterism, planning deregulation, sacking the head of CMA stuff, is solidly centre right.

06.10.2025 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They're following the republicans trajectory, when your economic policies have been tried and failed and your opponent is centre right anyway, you don't have much else to say, so leverage your client media to pivot to regressive social wedge issues

06.10.2025 16:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Those two were bound by at least the veneer of human decency. Once Farage had given enormous tax breaks and handouts to his cronies, and still found he needed extra money to fund his secret police and minority and dissident internment camps, I'm sure he'd have no qualms about just abolishing the NHS

06.10.2025 12:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Greens and Lib Dem voters generally happy with their party's policies; Labour voters furious that their party is too regressive on social issues; Tory voters worried their party is becoming unserious on social policy, Economic-LW Reform voters totally oblivious that their party is economic-RW

06.10.2025 10:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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This, roughly, is where I actually think the actual parties are right now: Lib Dems and Labour similarly centre-left economically, but Lib Dems more progressive on social issues: Greens substantially more progressive on both measures; Tories and Reform both off in far-right cloud cuckoo land.

06.10.2025 09:41 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Its absolutely a mistake for progressive parties to give up on working class areas. That's exactly what reactionary parties want you to do!

06.10.2025 09:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Can we all just admit that we would be in a much stronger position with much better quality of debate and scrutiny of the government if the Tories had collapsed totally and the Lib Dems were the official opposition.

06.10.2025 09:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I just don't see that there is that big an overlap between folks who are extreme far right on social issues but also want more of the same from the past 15 years economically.

05.10.2025 22:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The number of people who are surprised by this suggests that after all they've seen, they still haven't twigged to what the Israeli state now represents

04.10.2025 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

There are already lots of tax exemptions to encourage investment. Broader business tax cuts eg corporation tax have a pretty negligible/ambiguous effects on investment decisions

04.10.2025 20:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

If reform get the 35% they're currently polling at, they're likely to get a majority. Giving up attempting to reduce that reform voting share is giving up on the election. Seems like a strange plan to me

04.10.2025 14:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I like autor, and I think most of his ideas are quite straightforward to reframe within a more comprehensive evolutionary innovation framework

04.10.2025 12:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We are currently working with government on rebuilding their models to use a task based approach so I've been reading a lot of autor

04.10.2025 12:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Farage's strategist must be delighted. A majority all but guaranteed, the Tories irrelevant and the progressive parties fighting amongst themselves for second place

04.10.2025 12:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But surely the point is that the evidence doesn't support the argument that tax cuts increase the long run rate of productivity growth, but it does support the argument that investment in various types of public capital does do exactly that

04.10.2025 10:58 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

How long before I have to pay palentir a Β£49 'admin fee' each and every time a doctor wants to see my medical records?

04.10.2025 10:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Of course, a lot just get a junior to add to words ai to the slide pack and nothing further

04.10.2025 10:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How noble and generous of a bank to freely and openly publish its research like this

04.10.2025 10:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is why they'll never be any good at knowledge work, because the entire point is to know stuff that isn't already on the internet

04.10.2025 10:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So you're absolutely fine with a reform majority at the next election?

04.10.2025 09:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's hard to speculate on a form of ai that doesn't yet exist. Maybe it will be able to replace the work of a graduate economist but it can't yet. In general, academic style research requires genuine creativity, original thinking and complex judgement, not things that are likely to be automated soon

03.10.2025 22:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Not even slightly surprised

03.10.2025 20:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Believing in dating as some kind of weird competitive biological signalling game is a red flag the size of Lake Windermere

03.10.2025 20:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Obviously the 4th and most likely outcome is that the AI doesn't really work as advertised, but no-one wants to admit that, so it gets deployed anyway and we all drown in AI slop and no-one can get any reasonable advice anymore. A couple of boutique firms that didn't deploy AI absolutely clean up

03.10.2025 20:17 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

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