Peter Wagner (a Real Dr., not a surgeon-barber/body-tech/golfer)'s Avatar

Peter Wagner (a Real Dr., not a surgeon-barber/body-tech/golfer)

@peterjwagner3.bsky.social

Computational Paleobiologist, Lord of Chaos & Entropy, Cubs Fan, Estranged Lover of 🐌 & self-proclaimed Bilbo Baggins of Paleontology. Opinions & sarcasm mine & mine alone, but model-based. I block trash (but not before treating them like crap). He/Him.

1,576 Followers  |  2,279 Following  |  2,680 Posts  |  Joined: 02.01.2024  |  2.4168

Latest posts by peterjwagner3.bsky.social on Bluesky

No, football! (🏈 not ⚽️)

08.08.2025 04:02 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Is this where you found it?

08.08.2025 03:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Or just living in Nebraska…

08.08.2025 00:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hasn’t that been true since at least the early 20th century?

07.08.2025 22:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, here’s a response!

07.08.2025 21:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That’s one advantage of being a scientist: we left Twitter en masse ~3 years ago.

07.08.2025 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Even more goes towards shareholders and stock values.

07.08.2025 18:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

American Exceptionalism: Nobody does the wrong side of a Bell Curve quite like us…

(Really, it’s probably an exponential decay model…)

07.08.2025 18:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Is a polite β€œfuck off and die” an acceptable reply?

07.08.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But… but… that’s pretty much all I do anymore!

07.08.2025 15:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

(They also were pretty damned leftwing!)

07.08.2025 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I cannot wait to make time to read this.

07.08.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
07.08.2025 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Did the Valkyrie escort him to Valhalla afterwards?

07.08.2025 12:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Give me a woo. Give me a hoo…

Seriously, it was good to see some slugging again. The β€œscoring with situational hitting” tactic ranks up there with β€œlet’s scream loudly while we charge across mine fields into machine gun fire” tactic…

07.08.2025 12:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

… their parents is the excuse, or so I’ve been told.)

07.08.2025 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

One huge factor is that Southerners still lionize the Confederacy; whereas the Germans, Japanese, Italians & Spanish typically disavow their fascist pasts and often try to hide their own families’ involvements, Southerners celebrate that past and their ancestors. (The Bible tells them to honor…

07.08.2025 12:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It would surprise me to learn otherwise.

07.08.2025 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

… Sepkoski’s was when Mike’s & Steve’s papers came out!

I’ve just made myself feel really old…

07.08.2025 12:38 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

… birth-death-sampling studies that often are as much about methods as results. Mike Foote had a series of 4 papers from 2001-07 on BDS likelihood methods & their implications that (among other things) showed much tighter MEs than we’d previously thought. But those papers are now as old as Raup & …

07.08.2025 12:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, life on land during the 2nd half of the Permian must have been pretty awful in general.

As for the Big 5 themselves, there hasn’t been much on them as a main topic in a while. Steve Wang had a paper or two revisiting the kill curve idea ~20 years ago. They keep popping up in various…

07.08.2025 12:33 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

A little Nazi shit that Terri Hatcher regrets kissing?

07.08.2025 12:26 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And major ecological events for plants & algae can be major evolutionary events for animals.

Of course, plants get to play by totally different rules than we do on ecological time scales, so maybe this oughtn’t surprise us!

07.08.2025 12:21 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

… based on whacky arguments.

(That said, this paper seems to be based on plants; those seem to have largely ignored mass extinctions: but people like Doyle & Crane noted that back in the β€˜80s, too!)

07.08.2025 12:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

… well be much more concentrated, too, as recent work suggests that the Hirnantian (Jack’s upper Ashgill) was a very short interval of time. (That could still have 2 pulses, though.)

There always are a small number of gadflies trying to deny that anything really happened: but they usually are…

07.08.2025 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s been updates more than once! The Big Five actually are stronger than there old paper indicates: the end-Devonian, end-Permian & end-Triassic extinctions now are much more concentrated than their work showed: the Signor-Lipps effect basically blurred those backwards. The End-Ordovician might…

07.08.2025 12:09 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

So, you’re saying that it’s net gains for the base?

07.08.2025 12:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I am pretty sure that SNL used that on a β€œDates from Hell” skit…

07.08.2025 11:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

(This is niche humor…)

07.08.2025 10:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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My plane ticket had me excited for a moment…

07.08.2025 10:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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