Eiko Fried

Anyone willing to confidentially share their successful 2025 VICI application docs with me? Thanks gang.

a cat with its eyes closed is sitting on a table ALT: a cat with its eyes closed is sitting on a table

Oh my …

Just as overcast, but slightly more light ;)

In the UK for a few days.

It’s noon and so overcast that the car thinks it’s night and just turned the display into dark mode ..

Great new paper led by @bringmannlaura.bsky.social, highlight the need to collect qualitative data in ESM / EMA research.

#PsychSciSky 🧪

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

So, is membership in Sigma Xi worth paying dues for? I've been nominated and am curious what folks think. #academicsky

I’ve decided that the whisper network functions much more efficiently as a shouting network. Whispering protects the system and those in power. Shouting increases personal vulnerability but is the only viable path to actual change.

Unmasking Academe’s Gilded Boys’ Club The Epstein files reveal an elite, chummy, and venal scholarly network.

“the Epstein files highlight issues that women in academe have mostly discussed in whisper networks: Who is unsafe to be alone with? Which advisers are to be avoided? Whose connections may come with a price?”

www.chronicle.com/article/unma...

My effort to reproduce this paper began as part of the Institute for Replication’s ongoing project to systematically examine the reproducibility and robustness of papers in Nature Human Behaviour3; my participation in this endeavour was approved by the Ethical Review Board of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam’s School of Business and Economics. Inspecting the paper’s first two figures revealed a mathematical impossibility. There are nine EU countries that experienced zero terror attacks during the study’s time frame. However, the paper reports that the inverse hyperbolic sine of these countries’ per capita attack rates are positive, and increase or decrease over time. This is impossible; the inverse hyperbolic sine of zero is zero4. The main outcome variable displayed in the paper’s second figure is hard-coded in the replication data as ‘DVSin’. Figure 1’s top row of plots shows that DVSin is negatively correlated with both terrorist attack rates (r = −0.107, two-sided P = 0.024) and their inverse hyperbolic sine (r = −0.108, two-sided P = 0.022). These plots also show that in the 305/420 country-year observations after 2006 experiencing zero terror attacks (72.6%), DVSin takes on 292 different positive values. This implies that the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper.

"the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper."

Retraction of 2023 paper that did not use the reported variables. The replication report is astonishing www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Pre-publication peer review remains undefeated in laundering bullshit

I don’t think it will be totally ineffective, but would rather see long term solutions that actually tackle the issues. Bans are at best a bandaid.

It’s not a good faith solution that actually tackles the problem and effectively protects vulnerable people.

Bans may also actively harm some youth (eg for LGBT folks in very rural US areas, social media is the only way to connect).

Excellent summary of validity threats (in this case to internal validity) in a clinical trials, where some common decisions researchers make basically break the benefits of random group allocation.

Believing that blocking a few apps or sites changes how folks engage with content is convenient fiction. Kids will instead move to alternative apps or sites which parents have less access to / control over.

Also, what about other vulnerable groups in society other than kids?

From UK campaign to ban social media <16: “The idea that this can be fixed with better parenting is a convenient fiction. You can’t out-parent a business model.”

But you can regulate companies, eg no ads on social media for kids. There is nothing on social media that isn’t elsewhere on the internet

In contrast, time spent on one's phone was not significantly related to mental health. Therefore, transition patterns across different technology activities may have clinical relevance beyond time spent or specific activities engaged with.

congratulations Grace !!!!

That's crazy. Once this is cleared up would love to see what journal this is if that is their actual policy so we know and don't need to submit there. This should have consequences

Relevant thread below, can some folks help out? I use CC by 4 as a default for my things on OSF but lack the experience with github to chime in.

Here the link to the competition: www.codabench.org/competitions...

We extended the deadline of our machine learning competition by a few weeks until mid March! Still time to participate. We currently have 233 participants with 111 total submissions (some of them will be test submissions etc).

Call for Submissions for the Theory Methods Conference 2026, September 30-October 2! theorymethodssociety.org/conference.h...

We invite you to:
1) Submit your proposal: edu.nl/mj9x6
2) Invite your colleagues/lab/(PhD) students, and encourage them to submit
3) Share this post

This made me happier than it had any right to.

Wanted to ask whether certain folks may have benefitted more but you answered that, too! Very very nice.

“We deleted 37% of all participants to increase fit of the 3 class model to the data […].

In summary, we replicated the 3 class model identified in prior data, which has considerable clinical, economic, and societal implications.”

^

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REJOICE, WE FIT AN LCA AND HAVE DISCOVERED TRUE NATURAL KINDS IN THE DATA

@grgudmundsdottir.bsky.social maybe of interest

Appreciate the awesome work and very candid summary !!

New paper from our team: Can ML identify which adolescents benefit most from school-based mindfulness?

In 8,376 students (MYRIAD trial), models detected statistically significant but clinically negligible differential effects (d ≈ .07–.08).

Precision prevention is hard...

"Many fall for AI-generated junk online" — youth demand social media ban for people above 40.

Excellent headline by a German satire magazine.