Andrea Lisi, CFA

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #bond #investing #economy #sourcing #portfoliomanagement #venturecapital… No 🎅 Rally: #Bond vigilantes' recent aggressiveness has adversely impacted the Santa Claus Rally. Washington policymakers are primarily responsible for this…

No Santa Rally this year

#Investing #Finance

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What do my followers make of today’s #MerryChristmas  message of our president?

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #bitcoin #dollar #finance #investing #finance #portfoliomanagement… ⚠️ RUSSIA TO USE #BITCOIN FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE Earlier this month, President Vladimir Putin criticized the current U.S. administration for undermining the…

Russia has started to use #Bitcoin for international payments

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Welcome!

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #bond #investing #interestrates #portfoliomanagement #fixedincome #economy #Bond Vigilantes are not taking the day off today. In fact, the 10-Year Yield continues its sell-off, hovering around 4.61% today. An increase in the 10-year…

#Bond vigilantes are not taking the day off today

#Investing #Economy

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Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #fomc #interestrates #inflation #investing #economy #portfoliomanagement… Investors have exhibited considerable apprehension over the past two days in anticipation of the November Inflation Report, which may influence the Federal…

#Inflation is not under control

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Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #investing #economy #sourcing #interestrates #economics #venturecapital… ⚠️THE NUMBERS TO WATCH NEXT WEEK: Next week we will get some interesting economic data here in the US like Small Caps Business Optimist, Consumer Price Index,…

Another interesting week ahead of us

#Finance #Investing #Economics

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Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #employment #jolts #fed #stocks #investing #markets #sourcing #economy I discussed on Sunday, I am paying more attention to private #employment statistics than to the official ones from the labor department because the revisions…

On the #employment front we have just received some good numbers

#Economy #Finance

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Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #economy #investing #sourcing #portfoliomanagement #realestate… December starts with some interesting economic data that will be released next week. I will be laser-focused on the Job Report, which could move both the bond…

Big employment report next week!

#Economy #Investing

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Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #macron #economy #investing #portfoliomanagement #markets #Macron has a hot potato in his hand. Not only are French credit spreads at levels last seen in 2010 against German bunds, but in an interesting turn of…

French Yielddare trading above Greek Equivalents…

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Everybody is talking about $BTC exponential gains as of late, but I want to point out to my followers that $ETH has performed even better!

#Bitcoin #bitcoin100k #Ethereum

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #inflation #trump #investing #economy #interestrates Today is the busiest day of the week economic data-wise, with the release of the Federal Reserve's preferred #inflation measure, the Core PCE Inflation Rate…

Contrary to the #FederalReserve belief, #Inflation is going up, not down!

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I share an excerpt from the book “Devil Take the Hindmost” about financial bubbles with my followers.

The Tulip-Mania bears an interesting resemblance with #Bitcoin

Will history repeat itself? Interesting times ahead!

#Investing #Technology #Economy

Markets have sniffed since July the high likelihood of a Trump 2.0 presidency.

International markets have sold off since then.

As you can see from the chart below, potential tariffs have hit European Stocks very hard since June, underperforming the $SPX by 17%!

#Investing

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #investing #commoditymarkets #derivatives Adverse weather conditions in Brazil are pushing coffee futures to the moon. Arabica coffee prices have surged to a remarkable 27-year high, with the active…

#Coffee Futures are on a tear. More in my post here below

#Investing #economy #Finance

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On Wednesday, we will get the Core PCE numbers for October.

As I pointed out last month, Cre PCE has stalled well above 2% since May and is slightly rising.

Considering that financial conditions are easing instead of tightening, I would not be surprised if Core PCE tests 3% in 2025!

#Economy

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #investing #fixedincome #portfoliomanagement I frequently receive messages from my followers asking my opinion on Corporate Credit Bonds. I would like to provide my latest thoughts on this asset class at…

Corporate Credit has been very popular for the past 24 months.

Here below are my thoughts on this asset class

#Investing #Economy

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but I suspect this is the first company that could go belly up if we see a big sell-off in #Bitcoin.

MTCR has a market valuation bigger than $NEM and $Gold combined…..

#Investing

I find the $MTSR story fascinating.

Saylor decided to go all-in on $BTC, and that's how he gained popularity. The company’s original $500 million software business is losing money, and I think it has turned into a leveraged Bitcoin play.

Shareholders seem not to be concerned about it….

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #investing #economy #interestrates As I pointed out several times, the US Consumer is the one who will dictate how long this business cycle will grow. Consumption represents 60-70% of GDP, and a…

Keeping a budget is essential during shopping season!

#Investing #Economy

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However, I suspect there might be some good non-US-based company shares that US Investors could scoop up during the first half of 2025 at an attractive discount, also thanks to a strong dollar!

It wouldn't be surprising if we saw a retest of parity as we head into Q1 2025.

After Trump's election, international markets have sold off considerably, and unfortunately, I don't think the sell-off is over.

There is a noticeable surge in bets on an ECB 50 basis point cut in December. This, coupled with the widening interest rate differential between the US and the EU, suggests a clear direction for the Euro in the short term-a depreciation against the dollar.

The #EURUSD exchange rate is dropping significantly today, a trend that is in line with recent economic data. The HCOB Eurozone Composite PMI, which was expected to maintain a level of 50, fell to 48.1 in November 2024, indicating the sharpest contraction in the bloc's private sector activity.

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #bitcoin #investing #portfoliomanagement #interestrates #Bitcoin surpassed 97k dollars overnight; it could be a matter of days before it breaches 100k dollars. Bitcoin's intrinsic value is zero, so this is a pure…

Here my thoughts on #Bitcoin approaching 100K

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Its intrinsic value is zero, and the bet an investor makes is that they can sell their coins to somebody at a higher price.

That's it.

#Bitcoin surpassed 97k dollars overnight; it could be a matter of days before it breaches 100k dollars.

Still, I recommend my followers invest in Bitcoin only an amount that they can lose and still sleep well at night.

Bitcoin is the mother of all Ponzi Schemes.

Andrea Lisi, CFA on LinkedIn: #investing #technology #venturecapital Today, all eyes will be on NVIDIA's results, and I suspect we will see another improvement on both the top and bottom lines. That said, market participants…

In the article below I provide my thoughts on #Nvidia earnings results of today!

#Investing #Stocks #artificialintelligence

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The inception of the #Bitcoin ETFs provided a huge boost to Bitcoin liquidity.

We could hit 100k very soon considering the precarious fiscal position of our country!