Dogs always brighten days!
07.12.2025 15:30 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@joesarling.bsky.social
Economist working in UK real estate investment βͺ Big on placemaking, housing, regeneration, capital markets βͺ Inspired by connecting systems thinking to research & economics βͺ FRSA Find me cycling, running, and hiking in the Peak District & on Zwift π΅π»ββοΈπ
Dogs always brighten days!
07.12.2025 15:30 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Good job this age predictor wasn't around last year...
07.12.2025 15:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Take *that* algorithm
06.12.2025 22:51 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Just switched over. 530-odd chase, first three batters gone for <30, now 266-4. This could be wild slogging!
05.12.2025 23:08 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Scotland v Brazil!
France v Norway!
France v Senegal!
England vs Croatia!
Train travel during short winter days
04.12.2025 15:39 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Clarity is kindness! As many others have already said, this is well worth a read. More case-making threads please from politicians of all parties. Let's debate substance.
01.12.2025 09:52 β π 14 π 6 π¬ 0 π 0It's a remarkable study - really interesting detail and charts.
bsky.app/profile/joes...
"These estimates suggest that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%"
Link: www.nber.org/papers/w34459
Fun in the sun βοΈππ₯Ά
28.11.2025 21:13 β π 5 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Christmas decorations are starting to go up!
27.11.2025 21:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0"[Uncertainty, lower investment, and diverting management time] have potentially been more important than the effects of reduced trade with the EU, at least initially, although the ways in which Brexit affects productivity will change over time and the trade effects may well become more important."
26.11.2025 08:47 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0"Comparing these with contemporary forecasts β providing a rare macro example to complement the burgeoning micro- literature of social science predictions β shows that these forecasts were accurate over a 5-year horizon, but they underestimated the impact over a decade."
26.11.2025 08:43 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0"These large negative impacts reflect a combination of elevated uncertainty, reduced demand, diverted management time, and increased misallocation of resources from a protracted Brexit process."
26.11.2025 08:43 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0"These estimates suggest that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%"
Link: www.nber.org/papers/w34459
A freezing, sunny walk on an old railway line βοΈπ₯Ά
25.11.2025 15:21 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Having major French A-Level flashbacks right now
23.11.2025 17:50 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Epic! Love this ππ₯β€οΈ
23.11.2025 17:10 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Sun and snow π
21.11.2025 10:34 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0And get involved in this. @hayleylever.bsky.social is *outstanding*.
bsky.app/profile/gmmo...
And that does it. Final day at @gmmoving.co.uk. It's been a privilege. And an absolute blast. Now for a week off before a new adventure!
20.11.2025 20:50 β π 4 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I ask as a fellow working breed dog.
19.11.2025 13:34 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Are *you* the labrador?
19.11.2025 13:24 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Commute into town βοΈππ
19.11.2025 12:56 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Policy & investment needs to focus creating the conditions for people to move more (whatever the activity; it really can be *anything*!) in their lives to realise this wide-ranging benefit.
This demands recognising spatial variation, encouraging plurality, and measuring system maturity.
Very excited to be receiving @birdyword.bsky.social's The Land Trap tomorrow. As a fellow land economics and policy geek it should be a proper read. I'm sure it'll build on the brilliant work of Andro Linklater's 'Owning the Earth' - my favourite history book on land to date.
17.11.2025 19:59 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0"...we show that exposed municipalities [to the Tour de France] experience declines in far-right support of 0.03β0.04 standard deviations. The effect exceeds 0.1 [SDs] in recent elections and is strongest in poorer areas and in towns with high prior far-right support"
Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
This is a fascinating thread with clear walk-through.
Tl;dr - cost of living, the economy, and health are the three most important issues for people.