@josephzander.bsky.social

308 Followers 178 Following 1,958 Posts Joined Jul 2023
8 hours ago

The casino plot in TLJ, although a little awkwardly inserted, was good on its own terms.

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11 hours ago

I would criticise you for judging the movie based on its synopsis instead of watching it but I do it too.

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1 day ago
Preview
Subprime, bank runs, and the Global Financial Crisis A brief diversion to some background points.

Noo, this is outdated!

kevinerdmann.substack.com/p/subprime-b...

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1 day ago

Unironically it occasionally annoys me that miniatures are all the same height. I can kind of accept it for Space Marines, if you grew them all to the same height it would be easier to armour them, but historical miniatures? Ridiculous!

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2 days ago

The dolphins could speak but they all got blasted by the Havana ray.

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2 days ago

"Don't be stupid, be a smartie, come and join the Nazi party."

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2 days ago

In self defence, rather than defence of others, is a funny one. US entry into WW1 and 2 was prompted by attacks, but was the US really in danger? How about Afghanistan; that seems like a better case of self-defence than either war. Defence of others gets you Gulf 1, Korea, etc...

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2 days ago

bsky.app/profile/jose...

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2 days ago

A group of barely restrained thugs who wrestle people to the floor then beat them for the deplorables' amusement Vs conscientious professionals who deploy violence in a carefully monitored and regulated octogon

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3 days ago

The longer the Moscow internet outage lasts, the better online gaming is going to be.

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3 days ago
Jabba the Hutt saying "Han, what if everyone who smuggled for me dropped their oil when LLoyd's of London declared the Straits high risk?"
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3 days ago
Han Solo saying "It's the ship that made the Straits of Hormuz in 12 parsecs"
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3 days ago

Also, We Need to Talk About Kevin is a bad film that masquerades repeating the audience's stereotype of school shooters back to them as edification.

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4 days ago

that's why weird dudes online are so obsessed with sea mine retention

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4 days ago

Is the poppy organic?

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4 days ago

Lol, autocorrected prior to poor. Anyway, no more replies.

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4 days ago

Well that's what a poor expectation is. You are also implicitly asserting a prior.

I'm going to stop replying, this is going nowhere.

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4 days ago

I'm not sure what you mean about projecting outcomes, but obviously in a Bayesian sense we all have our own priors about what we expect about a person described in such a way.

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4 days ago

Having expectations about a person who I know a small number of things about is different from creating a hypothetical person.

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4 days ago

No, I refered to a real group of people (drivers) and a specific person.

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4 days ago

I don't need to create a hypothetical person to say that actually existing people seem to be deterred from speeding offenses by fines more effectively than I would expect the man who Sam saw throwing the brick through the window to be.

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4 days ago

Sometimes when I use the word specific I mean that I have been very presice about my meaning. Sometimes when I use the specific it is because I mean something applies only in some cases rather than the general. That was the latter usage.

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4 days ago

You've have inferred something far too general from something I said that's quite specific.

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4 days ago

What is it that I'm supposed to be getting wrong about mental illness?

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4 days ago

You asked me to what extent and I suggested an extent. There's no point quibbling about if you think I use the word effective weirdly.

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4 days ago

When I say "By that definition" that should make it clear that I'm talking about the definition given above and nothing else; not the actual law.

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4 days ago

Something is effective if it has any effect at all. How effective does it need to be to be worth doing? Well, I'd say if a million dollars of fines were taken for every life saved it's worth doing, but a trillion trillion is too much, so the line is somewhere in between.

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4 days ago

No, if someone had a gun on them they still might not go through with it.

You're talking about degrees of certainty, but the definition given only talked about absolutes. That's the biggest problem with it.

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4 days ago

Right, so this is about financial penalties for traffic offenses.

Deterrance is not a binary. To be an effective deterrant, fines merely need to prevent some, not all, traffic offenses or reduce their intensity (and the corresponding risk to the public).

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4 days ago

How could it be?

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