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Aris

@arisfpl.bsky.social

Twitter refugee. Very talented at data analytics. Sadly, that talent mostly gets utilized analyzing Fantasy Premier League. Follow for lots of visualizations and infographics that are sure to help you screw up your FPL squad.

1,239 Followers  |  232 Following  |  1,176 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024
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Posts by Aris (@arisfpl.bsky.social)

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โšฝ โšฝ FPL GW29 LINEUP

๐Ÿ”„ 0/1 - We ROLL
๐Ÿงข Salah ๐Ÿ‘‘
๐Ÿฆ ยฃ0.3 ITB
๐ŸŒŽ 559.8k OR (๐Ÿ”ป from 343.9K OR prior week)

Massive punt bringing in Salah last GW resulted in a HUGE red arrow despite having Ekitike & Bruno. When the table goes against you, best to stop betting. Instead, we double down on Salah. GL all! ๐Ÿ˜œ๐Ÿ˜œ

03.03.2026 18:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

5 goals for Liverpool. ZERO GA for Palah. It's so so over. Get this man a one-way ticket to Saudi.

28.02.2026 16:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
a group of clowns are posing for a photo and one has a mcdonald 's hat on ALT: a group of clowns are posing for a photo and one has a mcdonald 's hat on

This Villa squad is Morgan Rogers playing alongside ten hobos who should rightfully be in the 2nd division of Italy. No idea how this team is top 3 in EPL and still in UEL.

27.02.2026 21:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you're a crazy person like me and have brought in Salah for a punt, let me know in the replies. I've seen at least a few of us who may well need to order some meds together after this GW. @fplnightmare.bsky.social @dexdesignkg.bsky.social

27.02.2026 18:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โšฝ โšฝ FPL GW28 LINEUP

๐Ÿ”„ 3/2 Palmer, Saliba, Raya -> Salah, Hill, Darlow (-4)
๐Ÿงข Salah ๐Ÿ‘‘
๐Ÿฆ ยฃ0.3 ITB
๐ŸŒŽ 343.9K OR

In poker, this would be me on tilt after many bad beats. At my lowest OR since GW15. Need to take some risks & have some fun. Salah punt for 4 GW. It's just a game. YOLO! Good luck all.

27.02.2026 17:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ Clean Sheet Odds GW28

๐Ÿฅ‡ Arsenal (vs CHE) 39.5%
๐Ÿฅˆ Liverpool (vs WHU), United (vs CRY) 37.5%
๐Ÿฅ‰ Newcastle (vs EVE), City (at LEE), Brentford (at BUR), Bournemouth (vs SUN) 36%

Others: Villa (at WOL) 34%

GW27 Recap 1) Chelsea โŒ 2) Palace โœ… Arsenal โŒ 3) Villa โŒ City โŒ

source: checkthechance.com

27.02.2026 15:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Gabs deserves an Oscar for that acting performance

22.02.2026 17:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Declan Rice has demolished my triple Ars DEF. Smh.

22.02.2026 17:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I mentioned this in my lineup post. I'm absolutely floored by this stat:

The last time Haaland scored against Newcastle? August 21, 2022. His first EPL match against them. Since then? 8 matches where he was fit (including cups), ZERO goals. Insane.

Will this be the GW where he turns it around?

21.02.2026 13:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โšฝ โšฝ FPL GW27 LINEUP

๐Ÿ”„ 0/1 We Roll!
๐Ÿงข Palmer ๐Ÿฅถ๐Ÿฅถ
๐Ÿฆ ยฃ0.0 ITB
๐ŸŒŽ 252.7K OR

Last decision was Anderson vs Kayode. Captain decision was easy w/ Haaland's history vs Newcastle. 9 matches, 1 goal, 2 assists. Howe focuses on stopping him. Thiago & Bruno in the mix, but Palmer the choice. Good luck all!

21.02.2026 13:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ Clean Sheet Odds GW27

๐Ÿฅ‡ Chelsea (vs BUR) 47.5%
๐Ÿฅˆ Arsenal (at TOT) & Palace (vs WOL) 43%
๐Ÿฅ‰ Villa (vs LEE) & City (vs NEW) 36%

Others: Liverpool (at NFO) 34%, Brentford (vs BHA) 32%, United (at EVE) 31.5%

GW26 Recap: 1) Arsenal โŒ โŒ 2) City โœ… 3) Palace โŒ Forest โœ…

source: checkthechance.com

19.02.2026 19:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

More important than FPL, Gabs well may have cost Arsenal two pts there

18.02.2026 21:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hard to tell now. Are Gab TCers winning or losing?

18.02.2026 21:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Arsenal CS wiped

18.02.2026 21:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Mid-GW update. 40 pts & putrid 9.9m GW rank. Large tumble in OR which will get worse after the ARS/WOL match.

BUT there is upside: 1) Avoided Gabs TC. In many yrs playing FPL, I never TC'd a DEF. Just don't get the strategy/math. 2) Got off lucky benching Thiago. He could've easily had a hatty. ๐Ÿฅต๐Ÿ˜ฎโ€๐Ÿ’จ

13.02.2026 17:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's not that he can't see the problem, but rather that he IS the problem. Brings chaos everywhere he goes. Always has.

12.02.2026 15:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Haaland off at HT. That can't be just normal rest. Smells like a knock.

11.02.2026 20:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
UK being โ€˜colonised by immigrantsโ€™, says Man United co-owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe Britainโ€™s seventh-richest man, who vocally backed Brexit then moved to Monaco, also hits out at people on benefits

Very sad for United fans. This garbage of a human being represents your club. For a pathetic bitch like Ratcliffe, no amount of money will bring morality or grace. Only focus is me me me. Zero regard for the rest of humanity. Hope this cunt dies alone & miserable.
www.theguardian.com/business/202...

11.02.2026 19:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Nothing wrong with growing out your hair.

10.02.2026 22:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 87    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

Pls sell Thiago before next GW

10.02.2026 20:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Absolutely brutal gauntlet of threats that I'll be watching from behind the couch this week. Will be happy with going sideways and not losing too much ground. ๐Ÿซฃ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿซฃ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿซฃ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿซฃ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

10.02.2026 19:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

LiveFPL appears to be off on quite a few things rn. I'd give it 30 min before it's honed in on the right numbers.

10.02.2026 19:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โšฝ โšฝ FPL GW26 LINEUP

๐Ÿ”„ 2/2 Nunes+LeFee -> Saliba+Mainoo
๐Ÿงข Gabs
๐Ÿฆ ยฃ0.0 ITB
๐ŸŒŽ 145.6K OR

My 50/50 was Thiago vs Mainoo. Decided to take a flyer on Mainoo and pray for a lucky haul. Like everyone else on the planet, I'm hoping for Arsenal CS, so Thiago pts would mud me anyhow. Good luck everyone! #FPL

10.02.2026 19:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ooof. Stupid mistake on my part. The 1 CS odds are not correct, as pointed out in my comments. Just redid the math.

CORRECT Arsenal DGW CS Odds:

Zero CS - 29%
At least one CS - 71%
Two CS - 20.5%

For the Gab TC crowd, the odds of zero CS for Arsenal are higher than two CS by ~8.5% ๐Ÿค”

10.02.2026 17:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not ideal obviously, but he has good fixtures coming up beyons this GW and there's no one I'm willing to take a hit for. I'm hoping for defcon and nothing else tbh.

10.02.2026 16:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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GW26 lineup question. Thiago or Mainoo?

Thiago - works against my triple Ars DEF. But if Brentford score, good chance he's involved. Also, my rule of thumb is never bench pen takers.

Mainoo - in last 3 matches, 2 assists & 1 def con. The ceiling is low but can see United scoring 3-4 at West Ham.

10.02.2026 14:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Richards if you're ok on enough FT to manage bgw31

09.02.2026 20:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That would be the odds of ONLY 1 CS. Not the odds of at least one CS. I was trying to convey the odds of at least one CS, which I think is more relevant here. Though I can see how the lack of available characters made my post less than clear.

09.02.2026 19:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšจ Clean Sheet Odds GW26

๐Ÿฅ‡ Arsenal (at BRE) 39.5% (at WOL) 52%; 1 CS 91.5%, 2 CS 20.5%
๐Ÿฅˆ City (vs FUL) 45%
๐Ÿฅ‰ Palace (vs BUR), Forest (vs WOL) 43%

Others: Liverpool (at SUN) 39.5%, Chelsea (vs LEE) 37.5%

GW25 Recap: 1) Arsenal โœ… 2) Fulham โŒ 3) Chelsea โŒ, United โœ…

source checkthechance.com

09.02.2026 19:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ #FPL GW25 RECAP

๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฝ 90 pts
๐ŸŒŽ ๐ŸŸข 145.8K OR โ†—๏ธ from 291.9K

The Iceman Cometh. Cut the rank in half thanks to ๐Ÿฅถ. Really need that to get back on track. Got contributions from everyone 'cept Andersen and Ekitike. Already used my 2 FT. Nunes + Le Fee -> Saliba + Mainoo. Triple Arsenal DEF FTW!

08.02.2026 21:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 13    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0