Sarah Binder

🤣🤣 2 big, 2 small. On purpose! And I used a ⚖️ 🤓

No shortage of carbs for this ❄️🌨️ 😂

The Federal Reserve is still playing defense The Federal Reserve is still playing defense. Four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve is still playing defense.

Here are four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve.

Read the latest from @sarahbinder.bsky.social & Mark Spindel: goodauthority.org/news/the-fed...

The Federal Reserve is still playing defense The Federal Reserve is still playing defense. Four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve.

The Fed might seem on a roll. Today it drew support from SCOTUS; last week, from markets & key GOP senators. But the Fed is not out of the woods. New @goodauth.bsky.social post w/ Mark Spindel on why Fed remains on defense & vulnerable to POTUS efforts to steer it. goodauthority.org/news/the-fed...

Insulating Legislative Agencies A broad range of views on democracy to help break the stalemate caused by partisan conflict.

New post for @democracyproject.bsky.social's
"100 ideas" on the challenges of president-proofing legislative agencies-- especially GAO. Time is running out for Congress to consider ways to protect its non-partisan watchdog from a vortex of presidential power.

democracyproject.org/posts/insula...

Powell goes full Schattschneider 🤓!

Expand the scope of conflict, get audience off the sidelines & into the game. Gambit to rally political support for Fed & put Trump on defensive. Reminder that Fed depends on political support (from lawmakers, markets, judges, POTUS) to secure its “independence”

I did notice that (having failed originally to find the McGovern/Massie resolution when I searched for joint resolutions + Venezuela 🙄)

Need to order up a "Living in a Pre-Chadha World" t-shirt from @mollyereynolds.bsky.social 🤓

The global implications of the US military operation in Venezuela | Brookings Brookings scholars assess the global implications of the U.S. military operation in Caracas, Venezuela.

Where's Congress on Venezuela? New Brookings post: Don't count on Congress but don't count it out either. Bipartisan Sen. WPR discharge vote today is case in point: WH failed to keep GOP in line. POTUS use of force is not a cakewalk for POTUS or slim GOP majorities. www.brookings.edu/articles/the...

Over 30% of petitions filed in 2025 have hit magic 218. True, lawmakers file fewer petitions today than @ height of bipartisan conservative coalition (1930s/40s). But remarkable hit rate today reflects Speaker overreach, stifling a pivotal majority faction in era of slim at-risk fragile majorities.

Discharge rule continues campaign for 2025 MVP award🏆! Coalition to extend ACA support hits 218 signatures, matching record 4 "entered" discharge petitions set 90 years ago (1937-8). Speakers today may have peak agenda power, but that's no match for angry 218 (and an organized minority).

Rare House discharge success today. Reminder that the rule was born of legislators' frustration with an overbearing and overreaching Speaker (Czar) Joe Cannon in 1910. Granted, Speakers Cannon & Johnson had different reasons to batten down the floor agenda. But overreach can sometimes prove costly!

🤔

Family of four 🤗

Now this is a great speech for a POTUS to deliver when he visits the Federal Reserve (in 1937). Watch FDR live! (starts at .22)

sarahbinder.weebly.com/uploads/3/1/...

Or read the whole speech here 🤓

www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ad...

What to expect while you're expecting (Massie's discharge petition ...)

Massie introduced rule on July15 to discharge unrelated bill. Rule has to be pending in Rules panel for 7 *legislative* days before he can file discharge petition. So it'll be Sept before he can file petition. At that point, any MC can sign it at Clerk's desk. www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...

I think these institutional consequences deserve far more attention than they've received-- especially with respect to the reputation and relevance of the Senate's neutral expert parliamentarian going forward. This issue matters regardless of one's views about reforming the filibuster!

Three big takeaways from that “One Big Beautiful Bill.“ Republican tactics seem likely to weaken the Senate – and make fiscal crisis more likely.

Senate GOP tactics to make 2017 tax cuts "permanent" required nuclear move on Senate floor-- weakening authority of the parliamentarian, blowing hole in Byrd Rule, & possibly making future debt crisis more likely. New @goodauth.bsky.social post on fallout from OBBB

goodauthority.org/news/three-b...

No kings 🤣

Correct. That’s listed at very end of Budget Committee memo from minority staff:

“Still Under Review

Support for Artificial Intelligence. This provision provides federal aid to states under the condition that states agree not to regulate AI. (Section 0012)”

And yes, this assumes GOP majority continues to follow past practice in how Senate handles points of order under budget law /reconciliation. That process protects the “3/5th discipline” senators baked into Byrd rule to place some limitations on what majorities can stuff into reconciliation.

Reminder on Byrd process:

Parliamentarian has identified OBBB text that violates Byrd rule. Her advice doesn’t block text. She’s saying: If GOP still keep Byrd-offending text in OBBB & send it to floor, a senator can cry fowl (😉). Supporters would then need 60 votes to keep each proposal in bill.

Several Additional Provisions in Republicans’ “One Big, Beautiful Bill” Are Subject to 60-Vote Threshold, According to Senate Parliamentarian | U.S. Senate Committee On The Budget The Official U.S. Senate Committee On The Budget

Senate parliamentarian never sleeps! More Byrd droppings! These Ag panel droppings will get most 👀:

Mandating ⬆️ state $$ contributions to fund SNAP & banning undocumented from food benefits

These Byrd calls very slightly shift OBBB to center. Likely angers hawks, but might help Thune.

Full list ⬇️

'Tis the (Byrd bath) season!

Byrd droppings piling up from S Banking text. GOP-sought savings from Fed/CFPB are good reminder of Fed's *structural* independence. Guessing Byrd rule blocks zero'ing out of CFPB & Fed staff salary cuts, since Fed is self-funded & not reliant on Congress for appropriations.

Just adding: a procedural move can be “out of order” (meaning it is arguably *not* in accordance with established Senate procedure), but that doesn’t stop a majority from doing it. Turning routine Byrd challenge into question chair turns over to Senate *might* not be in order but chair could do it

Trump wants Congress to vote for his rescissions. Are Republicans willing to own the cuts? President Trump has sent a “rescission” package to Capitol Hill, proposing $9.4 billion in cuts to international aid and public broadcasting.

Why did Trump send such a narrow and small rescission request to Congress? New @Brookings.edu FixGov post on the politics and rules of rescinding appropriations spending under federal budget law— and what’s at stake.

www.brookings.edu/articles/tru...

Time flies 🥲

Yes: you can see (one metric) of impact of SALT cap repeal by state partisanship below. Dems hold all the seats where taxpayers have most to gain from repeal (green oval). But a set of both blue & red states would be hard hit by Medicaid ✂️. Those red state votes of course matter for fate of OB,BB.

Suggests speed bumps ahead in Senate (assuming swing district GOP walk the plank to ensure House passage, which seems historically reasonable bet). Recalling unpopularity of 2017 tax cuts, this year’s version (even if ✂️✂️ pared back in Senate) seems eventually ripe 🎯 for Dems come 2026 midterms.