parker fleming

DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD is now live on cfb-graphs.com.

You can net success rates for all games in a week, or for a specific team, see their net success rate in every game.

just want to see how it looks

playing around with just making this a square. the rectangle does look better on social, IMO, but the square is nice too

📊🏈COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S MOST EFFICIENT TEAMS
2025 FULL SEASON

↗️🟢: Good Offense, Good Defense
↖️🔵: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work
↘️🟡: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work
↙️🔴: We're Trying Our Best!

📊🏈DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD?
Season Net Success Rate
FBS vs FBS 2025

~DISASTER GRAPH~

Numbers & Words: The Roster Lessons to learn from Indiana and Miami with Parker Fleming (PREVIEW) Podcast Episode · Phantom Island · 01/23/2026 · 6m

Today, for paid subscribers of Phantom Island: @statsowar.bsky.social joins me to talk about what roster lessons other teams can take from Indiana and Miami (and what red herrings we should avoid) podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...

For Phantom Island subscribers, I'm back on with Ryan Nanni talking about the roster-building lessons we can learn from Indiana and Miami this year. Enjoy.

i thought the graph was funny, but for those of you who are interested, Indiana had a negative net success rate: -0.0140

📊🏈DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD?
Net Success Rate in the National Championship

Enjoyed this conversation with UM Professor Justin Angle and Montana's Chief Revenue Officer Marcus Welnel about the state of money in college athletics.

Check out A New Angle wherever you listen to podcasts!

🏈📊CFP SEMI-FINAL 1 ADVANCED STATS PREVIEW
MIAMI VS OLE MISS

they are!

🏈📊New Year's Eve Bowls Advanced Stats Previews

RELIAQUEST BOWL: IOWA v VANDERBILT
SUN BOWL: ARIZONA STATE v DUKE
CITRUS BOWL: NEBRASKA v UTAH
LAS VEGAS BOWL: TEXAS v MICHIGAN

cfb-graphs.com

a reminder that rushing overview cards are live on cfb-graphs.com

Tech’s defense against Oregon’s offense is gonna be some absolute heavyweight stuff. Can’t wait.

1000 yard rushers (regular season only) in FBS:

2025: 31 (4 QBs)
2024: 39 (5 QBs)
2023: 39 (2 QBs)
2022: 38 (1 QBs)
2021: 46 (2 QBs)

1000 yard receivers (regular season only) in FBS:

2025: 11
2024: 21
2023: 24
2022: 23
2021: 30

www.cfb-graphs.com/protected/ru...

new feature

"Wins Above What An Avg Team Would Be Expected to Have Against Your Schedule" v1

1 IND +7.21
2 UGA +6.75
3 OHST +6.31
4 TAMU +6.12
5 BYU +5.64
6 OKLA +5.55
7 ORE +5.50
8 BAMA +5.37
9 TT +5.31
10 OM +5.29
11 ND +4.79
12 VAN +4.62
13 MIA +4.29
14 UTA +4.16
15 MICH +4.16
16 TUL +4.05
...
19 JMU +3.34

📊🏈 College Football's Most Efficient Teams
Opponent-Adjusted EPA/Play Through the Regular Season

🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense
🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work
🟡⬇️➡️: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work
🔴⬇️⬅️: We're Trying Our Best

🏈📊College Football's Most Efficient Teams
Opponent-Adjusted EPA/Play through Week 14

🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense
🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work
🟡⬇️➡️: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work
🔴⬇️⬅️: We're trying our best!

came over here just to see the follow up tbh

Numbers & Words: How to Talk about Strength of Schedule with Bill Connelly and Parker Fleming Podcast Episode · Phantom Island · 10/31/2025 · 50m

2. @espnbillc.bsky.social and @statsowar.bsky.social on strength of schedule

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...

Updated EPA by Quarter Chaos Table:

Obviously, good teams are going to be good across situations, but could serve as the basis for some personnel diagnostics for teams - why are we under/over-performing out of schedule? What groupings do those situations force us to be in that we need to supplement?

Teams like Ole Miss and Tennessee thrive in "off-schedule" plays, relatively, while teams like Oregon, USF, Oregon, A&M are capitalizing on "on-schedule" situations.