Brian Mills's Avatar

Brian Mills

@bmmillsy.bsky.social

Associate Professor, University of Texas at Austin https://sites.google.com/utexas.edu/bmmillsphd

292 Followers  |  127 Following  |  932 Posts  |  Joined: 13.11.2024
Posts Following

Posts by Brian Mills (@bmmillsy.bsky.social)

With very large numbers of n’s you don’t need randomization, and with LLM’s we can generate very large numbers of n’s, so I think all of science is solved by now. I don’t see any problems with this.

03.03.2026 23:27 — 👍 84    🔁 17    💬 5    📌 1

In the interest of their safety, I sure hope all these guys batted left handed...😬

03.03.2026 20:44 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

So you're saying you found the right key...

03.03.2026 18:48 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

NAASE invites nominations for the positions of President-elect (to serve 2026-2028, then 2028-2030 as president) and at-large executive committee member (2026-2030). Nominations should be sent to the chair of the nominating committee Mike Leeds (Temple University) by March 31, 2026.

02.03.2026 21:11 — 👍 1    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

NAASE invites nominations for the 2026 Larry Hadley Service Award recipient. Nominations should explain how the person “has distinguished herself or himself through service to NAASE and the field of sports economics” and be sent to Frank Stephenson (Berry College) by 3/31/26.

02.03.2026 20:52 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

3rd UMBC Sports Econ Conference Update

47 papers as we reach the submission deadline for the 3 day conference in June.

02.03.2026 18:41 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

The critique of unmeasured confounding is often levied in a lazy/broad way. It is trivially true in any observational study. But if the critic can't think of a plausible such confounder and posit a reasonable direction/magnitude of its bias then they're not doing productive science.

01.03.2026 18:47 — 👍 110    🔁 19    💬 7    📌 8
An anti-facist open letter from 23 retired Harvard Business School professors

Anti-fascism should have broad support across the American political spectrum. Elections need to be defended. Here's an open letter from retired professors at HBS in which we call for business leaders to address that need.
#econsky #academicsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/an-a...

28.02.2026 14:54 — 👍 89    🔁 31    💬 0    📌 3

Ah. I'm usually adding one at a time when I get them, rather than big batch adds.

27.02.2026 21:43 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Huh. Just popped on to see and it seems to be running OK for me.

27.02.2026 19:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

They recently-ish updated the interface and I've found it to be waaaaaay faster than it used to be. But I haven't been on since last week. How "lately" are we talking?

27.02.2026 18:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

How many wins can Early Winn win if Early Winn doesn't leave early?

27.02.2026 15:09 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

This is the kind of thing the internet was made for

27.02.2026 14:59 — 👍 9    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

Learned today that McLean was a 2-way player in the minors and somehow managed to strike out at about 2x the rate as a batter than he strikes people out as a pitcher. Probably a good choice to hang up the bat.

26.02.2026 23:03 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

(Better measures perhaps of extremity of that left tail, but I would argue SD measures aren’t a good one for that specific question - but I’m supposed to be listening to @danturkenkopf.com in class right now so … 😂)

26.02.2026 22:00 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I’ve got lots of those measures too!

26.02.2026 21:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

NAASE is organizing sessions for the SEA conference to be held in Houston, TX Nov 21-23, 2026.

To submit a paper, please email Frank Stephenson (Berry College) by March 28:
--Name, affiliation, and email for presenter and all coauthors
--The paper's title and abstract.
--Two JEL codes

26.02.2026 19:44 — 👍 3    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

That's just one measure of course. Not definitive in any way.

26.02.2026 18:50 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Post image Post image

I don't see much evidence of this but my data end in 2022. For example, here is win percent skewness 1904-2022 (AL/NL) and 1955-2022 (NBA) - though 2022 trending that direction.

26.02.2026 18:49 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I think the PE investment in sports is interesting and potential incentives they distort in these organizations is worth looking at.

But the profit motive and comfort in losing has been the case since the start of organized professional sports.

26.02.2026 18:31 — 👍 13    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0

If the the 21 month old's response is any indication, I make the absolute worst grilled cheese imaginable.

26.02.2026 15:22 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Also likely to be heterogeneity in ability to discern incorrect calls.

26.02.2026 15:15 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

There is evidence the umps make more correct calls in higher leverage situations. Teams will save challenges for these situations. This suggests to me challenges may be least successful in such situations. Makes the equilibrium success rate even more uncertain in my book.

26.02.2026 15:14 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Point stands, but the text description here (412 million) is off by multiple orders of magnitude right?

26.02.2026 14:00 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Job Posting: Kansas City Royals - Analyst-Research and Development The Kansas City Royals are hiring.

InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Kansas City Royals – Analyst-Research and Development blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...

26.02.2026 13:01 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

I’m sure Sperfuffly is the name chosen carefully, not an indicator of the quality of the AI underlying the self driving technology.

25.02.2026 15:45 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

This is on a different planet when it comes to bad analysis.

24.02.2026 23:15 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Most Conservative Students Don’t Feel Persecuted on Campus A new survey of college students contradicts Republican rhetoric that campus culture is hostile to right-wing views.

Almost like the the general public have been dramatically influenced by bullshit propogandists wrt confidence in colleges.

College campuses are an incredible & welcoming place.

2% of students/recent grads & just 3% identifying as Republican feel otherwise.

www.insidehighered.com/news/student...

24.02.2026 16:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
University of Florida - Details - Postdoctoral Associate (Postdoctoral Associate - UF Sports Analytics Lab)

Well this is neat: explore.jobs.ufl.edu/en-us/job/53...

24.02.2026 16:23 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

20 years before 2006, I was 2. Closing in on more years with pitch data for me than years with no pitch data 😭

24.02.2026 16:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0