Dan Falkenheim's Avatar

Dan Falkenheim

@thefalkon.bsky.social

Fact Checker and super googler at Sports Illustrated | WNBA, NFL mainly | Currently working on MS in Analytics @ Georgia Tech | Most of the time thinking about LOTR, sci-fi and film

462 Followers  |  394 Following  |  120 Posts  |  Joined: 31.10.2024  |  2.0463

Latest posts by thefalkon.bsky.social on Bluesky

everyone touches the ball on this! (phoenixโ€™s inverted P&R has been hard to guard as is.) good ball movement to start.

04.10.2025 00:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Andraya Carter and Chiney Ogwumike nailing what the players are fighting for (to be paid what they deserve!) and critiquing Cathy โ€” all before the WNBA finals tip off โ€” is exemplary work.

03.10.2025 23:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Like, what do you do against *this*?

bsky.app/profile/stev...

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For more numbers, check out the article!

It's been so fun to watch Alyssa Thomas shine this season and in the playoffs.

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Scatter plot showing Alyssa Thomas's individual seasons by usage rate (x-axis) and effective field goal percentage (y-axis). She set career highs in both usage rate and effective field goal percentage this season.

Scatter plot showing Alyssa Thomas's individual seasons by usage rate (x-axis) and effective field goal percentage (y-axis). She set career highs in both usage rate and effective field goal percentage this season.

This season, Alyssa Thomas set career highs in *both* usage rate and effective field goal percentage.

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Horizontal bar plot showing the WNBA triple double leaderboard (regular season + playoffs). Alyssa Thomas has the most by far.

Horizontal bar plot showing the WNBA triple double leaderboard (regular season + playoffs). Alyssa Thomas has the most by far.

Alyssa Thomas is responsible for 41% of the triple-doubles ever recorded in a WNBA non-exhibition game.

She also has *10* more triple-doubles than all other players with one career triple-double combined.

(Data via @acrossthetimeline.com)

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Scatter plot showing WNBA individual seasons by assists per game (x-axis) and points per game (y-axis). Alyssa Thomas is the only player in league history to average 15+ points and 9+ assists per game.

Scatter plot showing WNBA individual seasons by assists per game (x-axis) and points per game (y-axis). Alyssa Thomas is the only player in league history to average 15+ points and 9+ assists per game.

This year, Alyssa Thomas became the only player in WNBA history to average at least 15 points and 9 assists per game in a single season.

(Data via @acrossthetimeline.com)

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
By the Numbers: Alyssa Thomas Is the WNBAโ€™s Best-Kept Secret As the Mercury prepare for their WNBA Finals series against the Aces, letโ€™s break down the career of Phoenixโ€™s triple-double threat.

As good as Alyssa Thomas is, she isnโ€™t always discussed to the same degree as the WNBA's other generational superstars, like Aโ€™ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart

She should be. For SI, I broke down the numbers behind why AT is the WNBA's best-kept secret:

www.si.com/wnba/alyssa-...

02.10.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
30.06.2025 23:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

I wonder if people outside of Seattle realize just how good Gabby Williams has been.

She's one of four players averaging at least 10 points and 3 steals + blocks per game. The others are A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Alanna Smith. (Data: @acrossthetimeline.com)

Should be an All Star!

27.06.2025 20:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

such a huge credit to the Valkyries players and coach Natalie Nakase for the way Golden State has played.

it ainโ€™t easy gelling as a team with new players, a new coach and a short training camp, and then being competitive right out of the gate.

15.06.2025 14:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion | How Underpaid Are W.N.B.A. Players? Itโ€™s Embarrassing.

great read:

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/o...

07.06.2025 00:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nobel Laureate and labor economist Claudia Goldin on WNBA pay inequity:

"These numbers suggest that the average WNBA salary should be roughly one-quarter to one-third of the average NBA salary [...] Instead, the average WNBA salary is but a minuscule fraction โ€” a mere 1/80th"

07.06.2025 00:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's really impressive how good Kiki Iriafen has been so early into her career.

I'd love to see the Mystics experiment more with some Iriafen and Shakira Austin lineups. (Although maybe Dolson's three-point shooting is needed to unlock space for Iriafen.)

04.06.2025 00:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Spalding's official basket ball guide for women : containing the official rules revised for 1916-17 / edited by Senda Berenson Abbott Spalding's official basket ball guide for women : containing the official rules revised for 1916-17 / edited by Senda Berenson Abbott

There are some gems in here!

babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=in...

01.06.2025 03:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Late night rabbit hole: Laughing at these two โ€œwrong guardingโ€ pictures from Spaldingโ€™s Official Basketball Guide for Women (1917)

01.06.2025 03:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
The image shows two shooting charts. The chart on the left plots the Atlanta Dream's shot frequency vs. league average โ€” they take more threes and less midrange shots outside the paint vs. league average. The chart on the right plots the Atlanta Dream's shooting efficiency โ€” they are more efficient on right-wing threes and shots inside the paint.

The image shows two shooting charts. The chart on the left plots the Atlanta Dream's shot frequency vs. league average โ€” they take more threes and less midrange shots outside the paint vs. league average. The chart on the right plots the Atlanta Dream's shooting efficiency โ€” they are more efficient on right-wing threes and shots inside the paint.

Karl Smesko's system is alive and well in Atlanta: The Dream rank third in Rim or 3 shot frequency (70.3%) and have increased their effective field goal percentage from 45.2% last season to 49.1% this year.

There's still room to grow in efficiency, too.

31.05.2025 18:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

The Sun posted their starting five for today's matchup against the Atlanta Dream.

Love to see the Sun continue to give Saniya Rivers a starting role off the bat. Even though Connecticut is a different group than last season, they have a fun squad and seem to be building in the right direction.

25.05.2025 18:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Valkyries hold off Sparks to improve to 2-1 led by French rookies Leite, Salaรผn The Golden State Valkyries used breakout games from French rookies Carla Leite and Janelle Salaรผn to beat the Los Angeles Sparks 82-73 on Friday.

"They really stepped up and impacted this game."

There's a new dynamic duo in town, and they're French and rookies and suddenly the Valkyries' key players | @sfchronicle.com

www.sfchronicle.com/sports/artic...

24.05.2025 05:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 59    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image Post image

Jonquel Jones looking dapper af at the 2025 Met Gala ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ˜ฎโ€๐Ÿ’จ

#WNBA #MetGala #MetGala2025 #FashionAndBuckets

05.05.2025 23:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 75    ๐Ÿ” 17    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

Aaliyah Nye is such a sharpshooter

02.05.2025 23:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Happy first WNBA preseason game day to all who celebrate ๐Ÿฅณ

02.05.2025 22:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

definitely! it should be fun. it's an interesting puzzle to find ways to have them fit together in a way that's beneficial for the team.

01.05.2025 20:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Moving Reese a bit further from the basket should create more space and more efficient opportunities for Cardoso. (In theory.)

Julia's reporting indicates the Sky see Cardoso as more of the low-post fulcrum. I'm interested how Reese adapts and how the two play off each other.

01.05.2025 19:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The charts show where the Reese, Cardoso and the Sky offense w/ both on the floor were more or less efficient compared to WNBA league average.

(I calculate shot efficiency here as field goal attempts + points on shooting fouls. It's like a blend of eFG% and TS%)

01.05.2025 19:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Julia wrote a great article on Angel Reese diversifying her shot profile ahead of Year 2.

Here are a few charts (zoom in!) to hammer home why that's important.

Both Reese and Cardoso took most of their shots close to the rim. Neither was particularly efficient and the Sky's offense suffered,

01.05.2025 19:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
A graph of the average WNBA home team point differential between 1997-2024. From 1997 to 2017, the average hovered around 3.25 points. There is a notable drop between 2020-2022 (COVID). The average dropped to 0.8 last season.

A graph of the average WNBA home team point differential between 1997-2024. From 1997 to 2017, the average hovered around 3.25 points. There is a notable drop between 2020-2022 (COVID). The average dropped to 0.8 last season.

So, this surprised me, but maybe it shouldn't have:

Between 1997 and 2017, WNBA home teams won by ~3.25 points on average.

Then, an obvious COVID dip.

In '24, that number dropped to a ~0.8 point advantage. Is it small-sample noise, or could it be the effect of charters?

21.04.2025 20:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

love the Aneesah Morrow/Saniya Rivers double tap for the Sun

15.04.2025 00:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

trying to drive to the hoop only to be met by Ezi Magbegor and Dominique Malonga is nightmare fuel

14.04.2025 23:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Shyanne Sellers shooting chart. She shoots above average from almost everywhere.

Shyanne Sellers shooting chart. She shoots above average from almost everywhere.

Shyanne Sellers' career shooting chart is pretty, pretty good.

Sellers and Paige Bueckers are the only two players in the draft who shot at least 45% from the paint, 35% from the midrange and 40% on above-the-break threes this season.

Data and viz via CBB Analytics

14.04.2025 16:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@thefalkon is following 20 prominent accounts