Nicholas Fenton

CRINK Economic Ties: Uneven Patterns of Collaboration This brief explores the post-2022 economic ties among China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea—the so-called CRINK states.

Check out the recent brief from me, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, and Tina Dolbaia on the differing patterns of economic engagement between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as part of an ongoing effort to understand the "CRINK" states from @geopolitics.csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/cri...

«Ο Πούτιν πιέζει, το Κίεβο αντέχει» – Αναζητούνται πραγματικές «εγγυήσεις ασφαλείας» | ΤΟ ΒΗΜΑ Ο Νίκολας Φέντον, πολιτικός επιστήμονας, ειδικός σε ζητήματα Ρωσίας και Ουκρανίας εξηγεί στο «Βήμα» την προοπτική περί παροχής εγγυήσεων ασφαλείας «τύπου άρθρου 5 του ΝΑΤΟ» στην Ουκρανία.

My thoughts on the recent diplomatic efforts to land a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine in @tovimagr.bsky.social www.tovima.gr/2025/08/23/w...

"A ce stade, on ne peut pas faire face" : comment l'industrie de défense russe menace l’Europe Les capacités de production russes ont massivement augmenté depuis le début de la guerre. Dans quelques années, le Kremlin disposera d’une puissance de feu inédite.

Some recent comments from me in @lexpress.fr on the Russian defense industry www.lexpress.fr/monde/a-ce-s...

Trump and Putin tackle Ukraine conflict in Anchorage without Zelenskyy Trump is set to meet Putin in Alaska to discuss the Ukraine conflict, but Zelenskyy is absent. Expectations for a peace deal are tempered amid high tensions.

I had the chance to speak with @scrippsnews.bsky.social about how Russia's grinding progress on the battlefields of Ukraine is affecting Putin's calculus headed into today's summit in Alaska www.scrippsnews.com/politics/rus...

Which Donald Trump will negotiate with Putin in Alaska? When U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in Helsinki in 2018, the pair alarmed allies with a friendly encounter where Trump sided with the Russian leader over his own intelligence agencies on election interference.

New comments from me in @reuters.com about tomorrow's Trump-Putin Alaska summit www.reuters.com/world/europe...

A High-Stakes Meeting in Alaska Russia and Ukraine both have a lot on the line in Friday’s Trump-Putin summit.

Comments from me in @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social about the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, and what Putin might be thinking heading into the big meeting in Alaska thedispatch.com/newsletter/m...

L’analista Usa: “Servono più pressioni su Putin, non cercare risultati a tutti i costi” Parla Nicholas Fenton, direttore aggiunto del Programma Europa, Russia ed Eurasia del Center for Strategic Studies. “Il presidente russo sogna una nuova Yalta,…

My comments yesterday for La Repubblica on the upcoming Trump-Putin summit www.repubblica.it/esteri/2025/...

Trump eleva ameaça contra Rússia e mobiliza submarinos nucleares Presidente norte-americano anuncia o envio de dois submarinos nucleares para 'regiões apropriadas', em resposta a comentários 'provocativos' de Dmitri Medvedev, número dois do Conselho de Segurança do...

My thoughts on the recent online dust-up between Trump and Medvedev in @correiocb.bsky.social (PT) www.correiobraziliense.com.br/mundo/2025/0...

What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood.

New piece in @foreignpolicy.com from me and @msnegovaya.bsky.social outlining why sanctions on Russia matter and ways to tighten them. Russia's economic adaptation since 2022 has been impressive, but there are real issues that tougher sanctions could exploit foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/04/t...

What the Next Round of Sanctions Against Russia Should Look Like Moscow has successfully restructured its economy on an impressive war footing, but there are weaknesses under the hood.

🚨 NEW: @nicholasfenton.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social argue in @foreignpolicy.com that economic statecraft alone is not enough to slow Russia's war effort––weapons & intelligence support for Ukraine remains key to forcing Moscow to negotiate in good faith ⬇️
foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/04/t...

✍️ Then and now, a containment strategy seeks to check Moscow’s power & avoid a direct conflict. Today, replicating Kennan’s approach in Europe is not enough—new times call for new thinking.

📌 @maxbergmann.bsky.social @msnegovaya.bsky.social @hannanotte.bsky.social Michael Kimmage + Jeffrey Mankoff

A Long-Term Russia Strategy for Europe No matter the outcome in Ukraine, Russia will remain a strategic threat to Europe and European interests. A European containment strategy reworked for the particularities of the present can help Europ...

With Russia set to challenge the West for years to come, what’s the best long-term strategy? Our new @erep.csis.org report explores the need for a renewed approach—potentially a modern take on Cold War-era containment. Please read, comment and share!
🔗 www.csis.org/analysis/lon...

How US sanctions on Russian oil could send prices soaring for Americans Speaking to Newsweek, experts outlined the impact of potential sanctions on Russian oil.

My thoughts in @newsweek.com about the potential risks/challenges from U.S. "secondary tariffs" on purchasers of Russian hydrocarbon exports. To increase pressure on Russia, policymakers should target the financial/shipment firms that enable Russian sales www.newsweek.com/us-sanctions...

YouTube video by DW на русском Жесткие санкции и милитаризация: как экономика России справляется на третий год войны?

Got the chance to talk about the Russian economy, banking system, and sanctions with @news.dw.com alongside my fantastic colleague, Tina Dolbaia www.youtube.com/watch?v=1qca...

Recently had the chance to speak with @thedispatchmedia.bsky.social about the current state of the Russian economy, the potential for new sanctions on Russia, and how Moscow looks at this current phase of the war in Ukraine thedispatch.com/newsletter/m...

Trump Threatens New Financial Penalties For Russia Amid Stalled Peace Talks Max Bergmann, director of the Europe, Russia and Eurasia program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, reacts to President Trump's announcement of new secondary tariffs on Russian goo...

NEWS | @erep.csis.org expert @maxbergmann.bsky.social joined Bloomberg to discuss President Trump's announcement of new secondary tariffs on Russian goods if Russia does not agree to a peace deal with Ukraine.

Watch the full interview: www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...

💰 Russia's Wartime Economy: @marie-doha.bsky.social broke down key findings from our comprehensive analysis on the economics of Russia's war machine.

✍️ Takeaways + more below:
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
@msnegovaya.bsky.social @nicholasfenton.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social

Hanna Notte on What the Israel-Iran War Means for Russia | Russian Roulette | CSIS Podcasts Hanna Notte returns to the show for a conversation with Max and Maria about what the most recent round of hostilities between Israel and Iran, plus the U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, mean...

In this week’s episode of Russian Roulette, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and I speak with the always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social about how the recent war between Iran and Israel, along with U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, are shaping Russia’s strategy in the Middle East. Tune in today!

Russia’s economy boomed after the invasion of Ukraine—it’s now running out of steam Record-low unemployment and ultra-hot inflation have put Russia “on the brink” of a recession, its economy minister said.

I recently spoke with Lily Mae Lazarus at @fortune.com about Russian fears of an economic recession, and the role the country's chronic labor shortage plays in constraining growth fortune.com/2025/06/22/r...

The Russian Wartime Economy: From Sugar High to Hangover Russia is muddling through the sanctions, with its economy impacted but not ruined and its defense industry able to maintain the current levels of attrition. Moscow hence sees no need to end the war, ...

If you haven't already, be sure to check out the full report now from @csis.org www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

Активы ФНБ могут закончиться. Стратегия Трампа по Украине и Ирану. Мария Снеговая*: Особое мнение YouTube video by Живой Гвоздь

Finally, @msnegovaya.bsky.social spoke with Живой Гвоздь about our analysis and how we understand the ways the Russian economy has adapted to both war and sanctions (RU) www.youtube.com/live/Ceufwhy...

YouTube video by Ходорковский LIVE Мария СНЕГОВАЯ: Война в Иране Путину на руку. Как выстояла экономика России. Новые санкции

Additionally, @msnegovaya.bsky.social shared our findings with the team at Ходорковский LIVE (RU) www.youtube.com/watch?v=is20...

Российская экономика смогла перестроиться на военный лад. Насколько она теперь устойчива? И в чем сейчас ее главная слабость? — Meduza Война и связанные с ней рекордные расходы на оборону и безопасность раскалили российскую экономику, но теперь она начала замедляться.

Russian speakers should also be sure to listen to @msnegovaya.bsky.social discuss our work on the @meduzaproject.bsky.social podcast, Что Случилось meduza.io/episodes/202...

YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies The Russian Wartime Economy

Our team has been thrilled with the reception of our recent report, "The Russian Wartime Economy: From Sugar High to Hangover." Check out a discussion on our work w/ @maxbergmann.bsky.social, @msnegovaya.bsky.social, @eribakova.bsky.social, and Vladislav Inozemtsev www.youtube.com/watch?v=rk_7...

The Russian Wartime Economy | CSIS Events Join the CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program for a panel discussion on the current state of the Russian wartime economy.

HAPPENING NOW: CSIS experts @maxbergmann.bsky.social and @msnegovaya.bsky.social with Elina Ribakova and Vladislav Inozemtsev discuss The Russian Wartime Economy: From Sugar High to Hangover.

Tune in here🔽:

www.csis.org/events/russi...

The Russian Wartime Economy | CSIS Events Join the CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program for a panel discussion on the current state of the Russian wartime economy.

LIVE NOW: @erep.csis.org unpacks their latest report on Russia's wartime economy, covering structural changes to the economy since 2022, chokepoints threatening its sustainability, and possible scenarios for the Western sanctions regime.

Watch here: www.csis.org/events/russi...

The Russian Wartime Economy | CSIS Events Join the CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program for a panel discussion on the current state of the Russian wartime economy.

If you'd like to learn more about our paper, be sure to tune into our livestreamed panel discussion on Tuesday, June 17 from 11 AM-12:30 PM. www.csis.org/events/russi...

Sanctions on Russia are working It’s the right time to tighten the screws further

Additionally, we're thrilled to have @martinsandbu.ft.com give his take on our work in the pages of the @financialtimes.com on.ft.com/3FCUVf5

Overall, we conclude that while Russia's economy faces significant challenges, it does not show any signs of imminent collapse. The current level of economic pressure alone will likely not be enough to get Putin to negotiate with Ukraine in good faith. Western policymakers must plan accordingly.

If new sanctions effectively cut into Russian export revenues, they could create real problems for Russia, at least initially. In this moment of acute pressure, combined with further military support for Ukraine, Western diplomats would stand a better chance of forcing Russia to accept a ceasefire.