ISM Services PMI Employment index since 2005
ISM Services Prices index (advanced 3m) vs core PCE 3m/3m. The ISM Prices index implies core PCE near 4%.
ISM New Orders index for past 20y
This was a *very* bad report. Employment down, implies ~4% annualized core PCE, and demand is clearly weak given new orders.
*US JULY ISM SERVICES PMI FALLS TO 50.1 FROM 50.8; EST. 51.5
05.08.2025 14:04 — 👍 855 🔁 213 💬 13 📌 54
A back-in-the day photo of me with my lifelong friend, Jeff Dowd , whom you may know from his activism (one of the "Seattle 7"), his indie cinema work (Sundance), or as the acknowledged inspiration for The Dude in The Big Lebowski.
Jeff now needs funds for urgent medical reasons. DM me for 411.
05.08.2025 02:13 — 👍 11 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
The whole US economy is currently a bunch of financial institutions in paragliders riding the updrafts from the massive bonfire of the last stack of VC cash
04.08.2025 19:50 — 👍 397 🔁 148 💬 3 📌 7
klye schwarber outside a wawa pointing at a delicious iced beverage
POV: you're a baseball and this is the last thing you see
18.06.2024 00:29 — 👍 282 🔁 64 💬 6 📌 6
Every single one! Across all unions I’ve worked at (BCTGM, an AFT affiliate, and now at an seiu local)
05.08.2025 00:29 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I’ll post what I want him to do to himself on Twitter
05.08.2025 00:06 — 👍 17 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
"Mamdani's allies plan to make a strong push next year for Albany to tax the rich." Yes and we're starting tonight.
Fellow DSA members in New York State: last call to join our campaign kickoff call (start time: 7:30pm EDT).
#TaxTheRich #NY4All #DignityNotDetention
actionnetwork.org/events/campa...
04.08.2025 22:37 — 👍 19 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0
Look at what happens to student test scores (top panel) and home values (bottom panel) when school bonds are authorized (red line).
04.08.2025 21:45 — 👍 37 🔁 12 💬 3 📌 2
Lmfaaaaaaaoooooo the bubble can’t pop soon enough for me personally. A nadir in human achievement
04.08.2025 20:52 — 👍 33 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Every time I have tried to go to Al & Bea’s this summer it has been closed. It’s definitely on me, im just stupid. But I really want a frigging burrito from them
04.08.2025 18:53 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Halalsam
04.08.2025 02:36 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
It was actually definitely summer 2020 where he said it first. Dude’s one of the smartest people ive met on here and he clocked it immediately. January 2029 is going to be really bad and I’m glad I don’t live in dc anymore
04.08.2025 02:01 — 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I remember when Sam said it was the United States’s years of lead, in 2021. He was right then and he’s right now. Years of lead
04.08.2025 01:53 — 👍 20 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
✋ say no more
04.08.2025 01:45 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
No but this is one of the more intriguing appeals for a movie I’ve ever seen lol. Adding it to my list!
04.08.2025 01:38 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
“But they’re in Fidi office buildings!” I don’t care. When they’re outside it doesn’t have to be lit like that
04.08.2025 01:35 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
This isn’t so bad as that. It’s just not interestingly lit. I’m feeling thirsty for rich lighting after watching small axe: lovers rock again
04.08.2025 01:34 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
Larry put margin call on his plex so I’m watching margin call, never seen it before.
04.08.2025 01:23 — 👍 17 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0
It is very easy to feel things if you let love into your heart
04.08.2025 00:28 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I can hear the heart beating as one
04.08.2025 00:12 — 👍 19 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
Niemöller was asked by his concentration camp cellmate why he had ever supported Hitler and the Nazis. Reportedly, this is what he had to say for himself:
03.08.2025 14:00 — 👍 2522 🔁 828 💬 49 📌 72
The antifa supersoldiers reminded me of Don’t Look Up though. Cringey 😬
03.08.2025 15:53 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
It’s hard to talk about what is happening as it is happening
03.08.2025 02:29 — 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Eddington was good. It reminded me of Terra em Transe.
03.08.2025 02:27 — 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
ive long held this view but the problem the post-clinton democratic party has is that it genuinely doesn't believe in anything. everything's negotiable, they're happy to veer rightward on crime, immigration, trans rights, fuck over labor, whatever they feel they need to roll over on they'll do it
13.10.2024 19:22 — 👍 1074 🔁 144 💬 19 📌 6
I tell so many people about your office chair thing. I was in a room on a college campus and one of my union members came in and looked around and was like “there’s $10,000 worth of office chairs in here” and we discussed your practice
02.08.2025 16:48 — 👍 16 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
The funny thing about trump firing the BLS person is that those jobs numbers will be what gets Powell to lower rates. But the jobs numbers can’t be that low. But the rates also can’t be that high. He’s stuck in a dullard’s corner
02.08.2025 16:16 — 👍 28 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
I kinda think the way people use ChatGPT is sort of aspirational because it seems to emulate the way rich people have sycophants lying to them all the time until they lose touch with reality and also their entire minds
01.08.2025 12:17 — 👍 13602 🔁 2675 💬 27 📌 1
Tesla Ordered to Pay More Than $240 Million Over Fatal Autopilot Crash
Tesla was found partially liable by a Florida jury for a fatal 2019 crash involving its driver-assistance "Autopilot" feature.
Every previous lawsuit around Tesla's driver-assistance features had been dismissed or settled out of court, but a Florida jury has set a new precedent in a case of a fatal crash, saying the automaker must pay hundreds of millions in compensation and punitive damages.
01.08.2025 22:53 — 👍 376 🔁 63 💬 3 📌 5
speaking as a macroeconomist, this is extremely bad !
01.08.2025 18:38 — 👍 124 🔁 16 💬 3 📌 0
• Novelist, The Great Eastern, Destiny Express.
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• Past President, WGAW
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• Professor, USC School of Cinematic Arts
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next station is the end of history, please gather your belongings as you exit
Posting about music, action movies, and occasionally Delaware corporate law.
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