Simon Hix

And here’s the link to the paper! 🤦‍♂️ doi.org/10.1177/0010...

lol! Here it is: doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Perhaps of interest to @catherinedevries.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @heikekluever.bsky.social @erik-jones.bsky.social @chriswratil.bsky.social @miriamsorace.bsky.social @rdanielkelemen.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social (I'm sure I'm missing lots of people. Sorry!).
10/

We also find an interesting mechanism: the effect of policy loss is stronger for people who are more highly educated (who are more likely to have more information about what the EU does)
9/

This effect is robust across our 6 measures of EU policy outputs as well as with 2 different ways of conceptualising “policy loss”: immediate (the distance to policies in the same year), or cumulative (distance to all policies prior to a given year).
8/

At the individual level, pooling <1.1 million respondents in the Eurobarometer surveys, the further EU policies are from an individual’s preferences, the less they like it
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At the aggregate level, the EU was most popular when it delivered policies that were more centrist (so minimised the "policy loss" for most EU citizens) and became less popular when average policy loss was higher
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Across all of our measures of EU policies, what the EU has delivered has moved “leftwards” over time, although some measures suggest a move back towards the centre in recent years
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To test this explanation we measure EU citizens (from almost 50 years of Eurobarometer surveys) and annual EU policy outputs (using 6 different methods) on the same scale
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Our explanation for this pattern is that, at the individual level, citizens support the EU more (less) if it delivers policies closer to (further from) their left-right preferences.
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What we do in the paper is try to explain why the relationship between political preferences and support for the EU has changed over time, e.g. why people on the right supported European integration most in the 1970s, and why the left support the EU most today.
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NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
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Eek! Tragic to see this in my old home town

Berlin’s political fragmentation is, of course, nothing new. Rising fragmentation has been evident since the emergence of the Greens in the 1980s and the Left Party in the 1990s. Compared to the 2016 and 2021 state elections, Berlin’s party system would actually be even a bit less fragmented.

A key European ally of the United States is preparing, together with European allies, for the possibility of invasion by the United States

This is a sentence I thought I would never write!

She's at it again! Another outstanding Substack by @laurenleek.eu, this time looking under the hood of AirBnB listings in London. Amazing analysis, with important policy implications, e.g. this quote
open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

Starmer ready for closer alignment with the EU 'in the national interest' It is the clearest indication yet the PM wants to pursue a closer relationship with Europe in a broader number of areas.

I’ll believe it when I see it …

Starmer ready for closer alignment with the EU 'in the national interest' www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Trump now owns Venezuela The US president has a growing appetite for military adventure

Interesting analysis by @edwardluce.bsky.social, eg. why it’s not going to be easy to run Venezuela, and this is (in part) about cutting off oil to Cuba
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

Decline, what decline? The myth of dying Europe There is a widespread view that, by comparison with the USA, Europe is in economic and social decline. But, Zucman argues, it's not true

The story of Europe’s economic decline while US is 'soaring' is everywhere.

But it is wrong. It is a myth.

Europe delivers more leisure, longer life expectancy, less inequality than the US.

Gabriel Zucman dismantles the myths.

Interesting insights on the institutional implications of the EU decision last night

Article 20 TEU for ”enhanced cooperation“ is mentioned in the Conclusions of the European Council on the reparations loan for Ukraine. A smart move! It allows to go ahead without Orbán, Fico and Babiš. Is the #EU24 the new EU? #EUCO 1/3

Paul Marshall: Implementation of Brexit became a fiasco

"Real communism has never been tried"

The cleavage inside the EU deepens.

🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷

How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments:

shorturl.at/2ekBj

TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of Voting Advice Applications (VAAs) on electoral outcomes and voter behavior in the European Parliament elections in Germany, Italy, and France. The text mentions a novel regression discontinuity design and statistical analysis of VAA usage and voter alignment.

NEW -

Quality Not Quantity: How a VAA Affected Voting Behavior in Three Large-Scale Field Experiments - https://cup.org/491pwNQ

- @fresejoris.bsky.social, @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

Excellent piece on the decline of the “Brussels effect”, by @pmdfoster.bsky.social and @bmoens.bsky.social. This figure, in particular, tells a lot of the story giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

Few thoughts on the "Polish exodus" from the UK.

1. It's not an 'exodus', it's a slow drip. We're fine, thanks.
2. Migration is really complicated.
3. The absolute cheek of the very same media attacking Poles for years lamenting their departure.
4. What you can do?

THREAD 🧵

West Ham and Fiorentina both lost at home today, and are both in the relegation zone and likely to be relegated. I preferred it when they were both 6th or 7th in their respective leagues. It's like they have some weird cosmic link. 🤷‍♂️

46 years ago today
London Calling is the third studio album by English punk rock band The Clash, originally released as a double album in UK on this day in 1979 at CBS Records

#punk #punks #punkrock #theclash #londoncalling #history #punkrockhistory #otd

De must read voor dit weekend, een interview met de eminence grise van de vergelijkende politicologie. Zette Nederland in 1968 internationaal op de kaart met zijn klassieker Verzuiling, Pacificatie en Kentering in de Nederlandse Politiek