Should have been clearer in thread this data is draft, looks to be imperfectly cleaned, likely suffers from under- and mis-reporting and misses a lot of what was going on at the local level.
25.02.2026 19:20 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Should have been clearer in thread this data is draft, looks to be imperfectly cleaned, likely suffers from under- and mis-reporting and misses a lot of what was going on at the local level.
25.02.2026 19:20 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Should have been clearer in thread this data is draft, looks to be imperfectly cleaned, likely suffers from under- and mis-reporting and misses a lot of what was going on at the local level.
25.02.2026 19:20 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I've written a entire draft of a book on this and then the FT just... tweeted it out?
25.02.2026 16:52 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Blog: Millions Lost Access to PEPFAR-Supported HIV Drugs During the US Foreign Assistance Pause
(Data available at the blog)
www.cgdev.org/blog/million...
And both testing as well as broader monitoring of PEPFAR’s impact will be crucial to understanding—and maximizing—the impact of the new global health compacts. As a first step, the full and final data on PEPFAR coverage in 2025 must be published.
24.02.2026 18:56 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0This is a partial view, with unverified data, covering only a few measures, and ignoring potentially larger differences in some subgroups. The State Department needs to ensure access to services returns in full, everywhere.
24.02.2026 18:55 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Those numbers don't reflect a larger dropoff during the year as the foreign assistance pause and USAID shutdown were underway: the number of people receiving ARTs with PEPFAR support fell by 3.7 million in Q1 2025.
24.02.2026 18:55 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0In 2025 PEPFAR supported 67 million people to receive testing and counselling, down from 84 million in 2024, and supported 100,000 fewer on antiretrovirals.
24.02.2026 18:55 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
New blog: Millions Lost Access to PEPFAR-Supported HIV Drugs During the US Foreign Assistance Pause
The US State Department has collected data on the performance of PEPFAR in 2025, but is yet to officially release it. But some data has become available...
Linking TVET w/ labour mobility could improve quality & outcomes, while supporting employers & economic growth: the manifestation of “aid in the national interest.”
New @cgdev.org research w/ @irexintl.bsky.social outlines why donors should do this & how they can.
www.cgdev.org/tags/skills-...
"Borjas’s February 2026 working paper attempted to answer whether H-1B workers earn less than comparable native-born workers... [the] findings result from substantial data errors."
eig.org/the-flawed-p...
“there is no strong nexus between the humanitarian response and U.S. national interests” --sad to be living in a country which doesn't think humanitarian interests *are* national interests.
23.02.2026 01:52 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
...Across the seven countries barred from U.S. aid, at least 6.2 million people are facing 'extreme or catastrophic conditions,' according to the UN."
The countries: Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Malawi, Mali, Niger, Somalia, and Zimbabwe.
www.theatlantic.com/health/2026/...
"This time, [USAID] programs that survived the initial purge precisely because they were judged to be lifesaving are slated for cancellation...the administration will soon end all of the humanitarian funding it is currently providing [to] seven African nations...
23.02.2026 01:42 — 👍 9 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
...but now the chairman of the Board of Peace appears to have much grander ambitions for the group.
I'm not sure the line that there's nothing to see here is sustainable.
www.devex.com/news/world-b...
Interesting stuff from Sophie Edwards at Devex on Ajay Banga and the World Bank's role in the Board of Peace. As the World Bank communications team is at pains to point out, the Bank should be involved in Gaza reconstruction and the UN told the Bank to work with the Board to deliver that....
21.02.2026 14:32 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
The Supreme Court reprieve comes too late for a lot of people who used work in garment factories in Lesotho in Haiti.
www.wsj.com/world/americ...
www.npr.org/2025/07/20/n...
The US says its G20 presidency will be about economic prosperity through better regulation, affordable and secure energy, and new technologies and innovations.
You know what would help with all three? Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) contract transparency.
www.cgdev.org/blog/us-g20-...
New Blog for CGD:
US Aid Cuts Fueled Conflict in Africa
www.cgdev.org/blog/us-aid-...
"Moderna's CEO announced the company will no longer invest in new Phase 3 vaccine trials for infectious diseases: 'You cannot make a return on investment if you don't have access to the U.S. market. Vaccines for Epstein-Barr virus, herpes, and shingles have been shelved.” 9:12 AM Feb 12, 2026 604.8K Views
In terms of what cures are being lost:
- Epstein-Barr virus is perhaps the major trigger for multiple sclerosis
- herpes simplex virus causes cold sores, genital herpes, infections in babies, deadly meningitis
- shingles virus causes an intensely painful disease
Blog: The Global Collapse in Funding for the Food Insecure
www.cgdev.org/blog/global-...
But especially at times of tight funding, ensuring assistance to the forgotten food crises across Africa, South Asia, and Central America is an urgent priority.
12.02.2026 12:29 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0It is not that Palestine or Yemen should receive less funding—one look at the ongoing devastation and suffering in those countries suggests the reverse. And war zones are extremely complex—and much more expensive—environments to provide support.
12.02.2026 12:28 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0In years of food insecurity over the period 2017-2022, Palestine and Yemen both received around $2 billion a year more finance than might be expected given the number of food insecure, while many other countries see considerably less humanitarian support than might be predicted.
12.02.2026 12:28 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Looking across years just under 50 percent of the total variation in funding can be attributed to the recipient country. This means that where the food insecure are, even more than their number, determines humanitarian funding levels.
12.02.2026 12:27 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Food insecure = (at least) facing high or above-usual acute malnutrition or are depleting essential livelihood assets to avoid that.
2019-2024, each additional person food insecure associated with $73 in additional humanitarian support. 2025, that fell to $38.
New blog: The Global Collapse in Funding for the Food Insecure
Picture: Countries receiving more or less annual humanitarian support than predicted from number of people food insecure ($bn) 2017-2025.
Thread...
Thanks to the British Academy and Carnegie Endowment for allowing me to contribute to their conference and paper series on global disorder. A lot of other (great) papers here:
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/programmes/g...
Fixing the political economy of migration will be the central determinant of the course of the global economy over the next half century.
Paper: www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/documents/60...
The economic challenges presented by migration to subsets of the population in both receiving and sending countries can (should) be addressed through policies that allow markets, communities, and individuals to respond flexibly to shifting opportunities.
11.02.2026 14:33 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0