Giorgia Di Capua (Ph.D.)

Looking for research on weather extremes in the Mediterranean? Check out our PREVENT-Improved Predictability Of Extremes Over The Mediterranean From Seasonal To Decadal Timescales HORIZON project 🌦️☀️
preventmed-climate.eu
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social is leading WP5-Environmental and socioeconomic impacts

UK weather: Spring may become driest on record with no rain in sight There has been a lack of rainfall in many parts of the UK so far this spring and there is little or no rain in the immediate forecast.

This Spring (March-April-May) may end up being the driest on record for the UK.

This would also make it the driest of any season in a dataset that goes back to 1836.

Spring in 1852 currently holds the record for driest season at 100.7 mm averaged across the UK.

www.bbc.co.uk/weather/arti...

Per salvare il pianeta non è ancora troppo tardi! Italia, Germania Capua del Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) nel giorno dello sciopero per il clima indetto da Fridays for Future.

Per i nostri follower italiani: la scienziata del PIK @giorgiadc.bsky.social spiega perché non è troppo tardi per stabilizzare il riscaldamento globale. Fino a 2°C le conseguenze sarebbero più o meno prevedibili, ma oltre, ad esempio a 4°C, l’impatto è incerto.
www1.wdr.de/radio/cosmo/...

I always loved snow, but recently it has become for me a symbol of hope, that all is not lost

HISTORIC DAY IN AUSTRALIA
Both South Australia and Queensland had their February hottest day in history with 48.7C at Oodnadatta and 47.5C at Birdsville.
Records are being brutalized allover Oceania and SE Asia.
More updates coming...

Marine heatwave cause of mass fish deaths and coral bleaching - Oceanographic A mass fish death in Western Australia has been linked to severe marine heatwaves while coral bleaching intensifies due to climate change.

Marine heatwave cause of mass fish deaths and coral bleaching

oceanographicmagazine.com/news/marine-...

We have lost 8200 km3 of global glacier ice since 1976. The International Year of Glaciers’ Preservation, led by @wmo-global.bsky.social &
@unesconow.bsky.social, aims to raise awareness & advocate action to mitigate the consequences of glacier melt.
Find out more: bit.ly/4h55fda

"Europe made more electricity from sunshine than coal last year, a report has found, in what analysts called a 'milestone' for the clean energy transition."

We are proud to supply Irish data for @ember-energy.org's "European Electricity Review 2025" ☘️

An extremely dangerous and potentially record-breaking bomb cyclone is just hours away from severely impacting Ireland, especially, and the northern parts of the UK. Storm Éowyn will unfortunately reach its peak intensity right at landfall with wind gusts possibly exceeding 200 km/h (124 mph).

In 10 days, it is EGU25 submission deadline! 🚨

If your work involves large-scale dynamics and extreme weather/climate events, then consider submitting your abstract to the "Atmospheric Rossby Waves and Jet Dynamics" session! 🌬️〰️🌀

Invited speakers: Peiqiang Xu (IAP) and Talia Tamarin-Brodsky (MIT)!

This really doesn't help with rainfall extremes

📈 In 2024, greenhouse gases reached their highest annual levels ever recorded in the atmosphere.
🌁 Carbon dioxide concentrations reached 422 ppm, 2.9 ppm higher than in 2023, & methane 1897 ppb, 3 ppb higher.
▶️ All details, charts and data in the
#GCH2024 report: bit.ly/40kQpcz

#jobsinpotsdam Physicists in Earth system science listen up:
📢applications open for W3 #Professorship in Earth System Dynamics
👩‍🏫Lead research on ocean, atmosphere & cryosphere dynamics
🥈Joint role with PIK & Potsdam University
▶️ www.uni-potsdam.de/fileadmin/pr...

Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection Abstract. We apply causal effect networks to evaluate the influence of spring North Atlantic extratropical sea surface temperatures (NA-SSTs) on the summer East Atlantic (EA) pattern seasonal predicta...

New paper published just before Christmas 🎄 “Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection” by Carvalho-Oliveira et al. wcd.copernicus.org/articles/5/1...

Understanding the mechanisms and atmospheric drivers that contribute to hot and dry compound extremes in Europe it’s a challenge that here we tackle with a causal discovery method. Great experience for me personally to work with this talented team of early career scientists

#AGU24 For the first session of the day, my colleague will kindly present for me in "Heat Waves Behind the Scenes: Drivers, Mechanisms, Changes, and Impacts - A11E"

Just in time

Pianura padana standing out as usual

I have a new fully funded PhD available, open to international students on "Monsoons at the kilometre scale". @ncas-uk.bsky.social University of Reading with CASE support from the Met Office and working with Dr Richard W Jones www.findaphd.com/phds/project... #monsoon #highres

Don’t miss Yinglin’s #AGU24 talk on nonlinear mechanisms responsabile for heatwaves at global scale 🔥🌞 having seen the dry run, I can warmly recommend

North and South America saw the most wildfire activity in 2024 according to #CopernicusAtmosphere data. Europe had a relatively average season except for Portugal, some countries of Eastern Europe and the Balkans.

All details in our latest article: atmosphere.copernicus.eu/cams-global-...

'Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model simulations'

our new paper in @pnas.org with S. Bartusek, R. Seager. J. Schellnhuber and M. Ting investigating the tail behaviour of extreme heatwave trends.

@iiasa.ac.at @columbiaclimate.bsky.social @lamontearth.bsky.social

Characterizing heatwaves based on land surface energy budget - Communications Earth & Environment Global heatwave days can be classified into sunny-humid, sunny-dry, advective, and adiabatic types, with sunny-dry days showing the most widespread increase from 2000 to 2020, causing carbon uptake re...

☀️How do heatwaves differ in their physical mechanisms? Our latest study identifies four distinct types of heatwaves, each driven by different mechanisms and exhibiting unique impacts on ecosystems and historical trends. www.nature.com/articles/s43...

The first ice-free day in the Arctic Ocean could occur before 2030 Nature Communications - The first day with no sea ice in the Arctic will be a visible sign of climate change. This work reveals that this could occur before 2030 already and becomes more likely as...

There is a small chance that the first sea ice free day in the Arctic Ocean could occur before 2030 if the right sequence of weather events occur, based on #CMIP6 models. rdcu.be/d2gBK www.colorado.edu/today/2024/1... @clnhz.bsky.social @naturvetenskap.bsky.social @colorado.edu @instaar.bsky.social

tigramite/tutorials/causal_discovery/tigramite_tutorial_heteroskedastic_ParCorrWLS.ipynb at master · jakobrunge/tigramite Tigramite is a python package for causal inference with a focus on time series data. The Tigramite documentation is at - jakobrunge/tigramite

Causal discovery loves conditional independence tests -- here's our CI test of the month: ParCorrWLS can deal with heteroskedastic data! Tigramite tutorial: github.com/jakobrunge/t... NeurIPS paper: proceedings.neurips.cc/paper_files/...

I won't be there in person but my colleague will kindly present for me 🙏

Currently preparing my #AGU slides: "Indian Summer Monsoon as a Driver of Summer Heatwaves in the Eastern Mediterranean" ☀️ 🔥 for A11E: Heat Waves Behind the Scenes: Drivers, Mechanisms, Changes, and Impacts on Monday, 9 December 08:30 – 10:00.

I've created a starterpack for my colleagues here at PIK. If you want to follow us and hear about the work we do, look no further!

If I've missed anyone, let me know and I'll add them!

Tropical and mid-latitude causal drivers of the eastern Mediterranean Etesians during boreal summer link.springer.com/article/10.1...