What do 12 billion card transactions say about house prices and consumption?
In a new working paper, my co-authors Knut Are Aastveit,
@jesper-bojeryd.bsky.social, Magnus Andreas Haare Gulbrandsen, @ragnarjuelsrud.bsky.social and I investigate "What do 12 billion card transactions say about house prices and consumption".
www.norges-bank.no/en/news-even...
11.11.2025 19:23 โ
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Using de-identified data on debit card payments and e-invoices for the near population of Norway, we study how housing wealth changes affect household spending. We focus on the 2014 oil-price collapse that created regional variation in house prices through differential exposure to the oil sector.
11.11.2025 19:22 โ
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Comparing public workers in oil vs non-oil regions, we find the three-year marginal propensity to spend is 3.6%. The granular data enable us to show the consumption response is concentrated in home improvement, furnishings, and vehicles, and driven by a reduction in credit backed by home-equity.
11.11.2025 19:22 โ
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The share of the spending response accruing to locally produced goods and services stands for 80% of the consumption decline. Collateral & wealth effects are key channels linking housing wealth to consumption; household balance-sheet heterogeneity is quantitatively important for the propagation.
11.11.2025 19:21 โ
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EJM - Econ Job Market
The research department of Norges Bank is hiring a research economist for an permanent position. Apply by November 24 and check details at econjobmarket.org/positions/11...
18.10.2025 17:29 โ
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Excited to share our latest research on VoxEU! Together with @claudenbach.bsky.social, @kasperroszbach.bsky.social and #talinasondershaus, we explore how 'Buy Now, Pay Later' (BNPL) services improve credit access and risk assessments in consumer banking.
24.02.2025 10:20 โ
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Buy Now Pay (Less) Later: Leveraging Private BNPL Data in Consumer Banking
In a new paper, @claudenbach.bsky.social, @elinmolin.bsky.social, #talinasondershaus and I show that Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) isnโt just changing how people shopโit has spillovers to mainstream bank lending because of proprietary data BNPL lenders hold.
www.norges-bank.no/en/news-even...
15.02.2025 09:42 โ
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Users of BNPL are more likely to get approved for traditional bank loans, enjoy lower interest rates, and display better repayment behavior. Banks benefit too, using BNPL data to assess risk more accurately and price discriminate.
15.02.2025 09:41 โ
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So while BNPL has been shown to be associated with high coats for some users, it also helps expand credit access and promote financial inclusion. #BNPL #Fintech #Credit
15.02.2025 09:40 โ
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Here's a great starter pack of economists working on AI.
Who else should be on this list?
bsky.app/starter-pack...
01.12.2024 19:30 โ
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Here is a #starterpack with #centralbank #researchers bsky.app/profile/did:...
22.01.2025 21:17 โ
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Program for the IBRN meeting. Full details are available on www.newyorkfed.org/ibrn
The #IBRN International Banking Research Network has its winter meeting, with great papers on Climate and Financial Intermediation and Non-Bank Financial Institutions. Thanks to the #BancodeMรฉxico and in particular #GeorgiaBush for hosting and to all #centralbanks for great papers and presentations.
22.11.2024 13:46 โ
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On November 1, the #DallasFed and #NorgesBank organized the 2nd Women in Central Banking conference for female PhD students. The 3rd edition will be at #BancadItalia. Thanks to all the participants and to our colleagues at the #DallasFed. Program details: www.dallasfed.org/research/eve...
17.11.2024 13:40 โ
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Thanks to Mantos Delis, Sotirios Kokas, Sofia Anyfantaki, the Bank of Greece and the other organizers of the @endlesssummerconference for a great program and wonderful hosting.
16.09.2024 05:39 โ
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A great opportunity for female PhD students doing research in areas relevant for central banks. Submission deadline August 15. #dallasfed #norgesbank #phdstudents #conference
18.05.2024 22:17 โ
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Some colleagues at the University of Groningen were so kind to write down why mandatory teaching in Dutch is not a way to improve the quality of Dutch university education. dvhn.nl/meningen/Opi...
22.02.2024 10:50 โ
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#IBEFA is inviting papers for its sessions at the 2025 ASSA in San Francisco. Always great sessions with excellent papers with policy relevance. Submission deadline March 25. ibefa.org/call4papersa...
06.02.2024 08:12 โ
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Call for papers for the @CebraOrg annual meeting #CEBRA24 in Frankfurt. @NorgesBank invites papers for a special session on "Housing and Consumption". The submission deadline is March 10.Submit at: cebra-events.org/call-for-pap...
22.01.2024 18:04 โ
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