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Nick Vavich

@badgerintweed.bsky.social

Retired Marine Colonel. OEF/GWOT/Balkans Veteran. Husband. Dad to kids, dogs, and cats. Friend of animals anywhere. Reader. NAFO. Pacific Northwesterner. Believer in messy democracy and centrism.

2,875 Followers  |  2,501 Following  |  4,142 Posts  |  Joined: 18.11.2024
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Posts by Nick Vavich (@badgerintweed.bsky.social)

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Russia’s Wagner Group pivots to European sabotage, say western officials Recruiters involved with fighter group are said to be targeting agents for operations on Nato soil

How do you stop this? Defeat Putin in Ukraine.

www.ft.com/content/dbd1...

15.02.2026 19:45 β€” πŸ‘ 243    πŸ” 108    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 1
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Navalny Was Poisoned With Frog Toxin, European Governments Say

This is why governments lie. It was 100% clear it was a lie at the time but then responsible actors spend years trying to prove the Kremlin lied. Here’s some advice for next time: the Kremlin always lies!

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/14/w...

15.02.2026 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 237    πŸ” 70    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 2
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Russia dismisses Navalny poisoning statement as "disinformation" and "mockery of the dead" Maria Zakharova, spokesperson for Russia's Foreign Ministry, has described a statement by five European countries regarding Alexei Navalny being poisoned with the toxin epibatidine in a penal colony a...

🀑 Russia dismisses Navalny poisoning statement as "disinformation" and "mockery of the dead"

15.02.2026 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 69    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1
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Rubio Calls For The End Of A Tolerant, Democratic Europe And The Crowd Goes Wild Just over an hour ago, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called for the end of a tolerant, democratic Europe and its break-up into a disparate group of smaller, Trumpist states, and the Europeans in t...

Europe has become the abused spouse grateful just not to be beaten. Believing this jellyfish is a fool's errand.

open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

15.02.2026 02:24 β€” πŸ‘ 271    πŸ” 80    πŸ’¬ 25    πŸ“Œ 3
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Rubio Calls For The End Of A Tolerant, Democratic Europe And The Crowd Goes Wild Just over an hour ago, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called for the end of a tolerant, democratic Europe and its break-up into a disparate group of smaller, Trumpist states, and the Europeans in t...

Free piece just released. Marco Rubio called on tolerant, democratic, liberal Europe to destroy itself and embrace a Trump-like future. He received a standing ovation and we are told some people are reassured. If so, Europe will deserve everything coming its way. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

14.02.2026 11:25 β€” πŸ‘ 562    πŸ” 283    πŸ’¬ 64    πŸ“Œ 59
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Today, I spoke on War & Politics 24 about the narratives Russian propaganda uses to impose the idea that Europe has failed, grown weak, and that Putin is winning. We discussed how to counter this and develop our own narrative. Listen via the link β€” www.youtube.com/watch?v=6dJi...

11.02.2026 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2
Vladimir Solovyov is upset that Russia is slowing down Telegram
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor Vladimir Solovyov is upset that Russia is slowing down Telegram

Meanwhile in Russia: Vladimir Solovyov was upset by a double whammy of Telegram being slowed down after Starlink was cut off, since Russian troops extensively relied on both services. He also griped about the rollout of Russia's deeply flawed MAX messenger.
youtu.be/I-euYSppLf8

12.02.2026 06:03 β€” πŸ‘ 308    πŸ” 78    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 6
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A senior Russian general survived an assassination attempt in Moscow

14.02.2026 19:16 β€” πŸ‘ 117    πŸ” 24    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 4

If Rubio gave a speech to Europe in 1941, he wouldn’t mention that the Germans invaded France.

14.02.2026 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 216    πŸ” 66    πŸ’¬ 21    πŸ“Œ 1
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Putin isn’t really winning. Europe needs to make that clear Behind Russia’s victory narrative in Ukraine is a system under strain. To fight back, the β€˜middle powers’ must work harder on their own story

Discovering @peterpomerantsev.bsky.social through www.ft.com/content/36b5... Very interesting.

07.02.2026 07:29 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Putin isn’t really winning. Europe needs to make that clear [FREE TO READ] Behind Russia’s victory narrative in Ukraine is a system under strain. To fight back, the β€˜middle powers’ must work harder on their own story

Wars are fought not just with tanks, but with stories too. Putin’s story is that Russia’s victory is inevitable, while Europe is weak. Democracies can challenge this tale. Read on in my FT essay (gift link if fast) πŸ‘‰πŸΌ as.ft.com/r/06908caf-b...
#informationwar #ukraine #russia

08.02.2026 12:33 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Kaja Kallas @kajakallas.bsky.social :

The size of the Ukrainian Army is not the problem, because they haven’t attacked Russia.

The size of the Russian Army is a problem for all its neighbors.

The size of the Russian military budget is a problem for all.

πŸ“Ή: euronews

11.02.2026 13:40 β€” πŸ‘ 345    πŸ” 100    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3
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Reality Reshaped Podcast Episode Β· Autocracy in America Β· S3 E3 Β· 27m

This is the single best assessment of Trump’s regime I have heard:

podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/a...

@anneapplebaum.bsky.social

09.02.2026 16:33 β€” πŸ‘ 177    πŸ” 69    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 3
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Pete Hegseth’s Attack on Harvard The anger at the Ivy League is about status envy, not war-fighting.

Hegseth, among others, is using the school as a punching bag to express the generic social anxiety and status-based resentment that drives much of the MAGA movement.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

09.02.2026 23:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1141    πŸ” 280    πŸ’¬ 66    πŸ“Œ 31
State TV explains Russia's diplomatic strategy
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor State TV explains Russia's diplomatic strategy

Meanwhile in Russia: state TV explains that contrasting statements by Sergey Lavrov and Kirill Dmitriev are part of the same strategy, designed to prompt Trump to pressure Ukraine into accepting a deal allegedly reached by Putin and Trump in Anchorage.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRRx...

10.02.2026 02:11 β€” πŸ‘ 237    πŸ” 91    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 2
Pundits admit Russia is not winning
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor Pundits admit Russia is not winning

Meanwhile in Russia: both hosts loudly interrupted panelists who conceded that Russia isn't actually winning in Ukraine. Participants argued about whether liquidating Zelensky would change things for the better and urged Trump to kidnap or assassinate him.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsdS...

11.02.2026 06:42 β€” πŸ‘ 311    πŸ” 117    πŸ’¬ 23    πŸ“Œ 13

Watch until the end.

08.02.2026 21:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Congratulations, AntΓ³nio JosΓ© Seguro, on your election as President of Portugal.

The Portuguese citizens have spoken and, in the face of devastation caused by the storms, demonstrated remarkable democratic resilience.

Portugal’s voice for our shared European values remains strong.

08.02.2026 21:22 β€” πŸ‘ 470    πŸ” 70    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 5
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The End of the Nuclear-Arms-Control Era The last significant treaty is about to expire, and Trump isn’t putting anything in its place.

Trump says he worries about "nuclear" as the world's biggest problem, but he's letting the last major arms treaty - one even the Russians want - lapse.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

03.02.2026 14:36 β€” πŸ‘ 656    πŸ” 234    πŸ’¬ 49    πŸ“Œ 5

I think you know the answer. The β€œnegotiations” have been an excuse to hold back necessary equipment and aid.

05.02.2026 17:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1717    πŸ” 632    πŸ’¬ 45    πŸ“Œ 14
Vladimir Solovyov threatens Mark Rutte and fixates on toilets
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor Vladimir Solovyov threatens Mark Rutte and fixates on toilets

Meanwhile in Russia: state TV host Vladimir Solovyov threatened NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and rejoiced that Russian strikes are depriving Ukrainians of electricity and indoor plumbing.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=MH8w...

05.02.2026 02:51 β€” πŸ‘ 204    πŸ” 77    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 4
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Federal Agents Are Violating the Rights of Americans ICE and the National Guard are acting with impunity.

link to the transcript, and to listen on the Atlantic website

www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/202...

09.01.2026 14:49 β€” πŸ‘ 643    πŸ” 228    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 15
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Trump hangs picture of himself with Putin in White House After months of tension the Russian leader has taken pride of place above a photo of the US president and his granddaughter

He treats it like a family photo

www.thetimes.com/article/e9fd...

28.01.2026 12:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2315    πŸ” 908    πŸ’¬ 253    πŸ“Œ 110
Vladimir Solovyov predicts an alliance between Russia and the US, threatens Ukraine and Europe
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor Vladimir Solovyov predicts an alliance between Russia and the US, threatens Ukraine and Europe

Meanwhile in Russia: Vladimir Solovyov threatened Ukraine and Europe, predicting a future military alliance between the US and Russia. He claimed to understand Trump better than anyone else. If you want to see Orwellian propaganda in real life, watch this.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PcO...

25.01.2026 21:23 β€” πŸ‘ 480    πŸ” 242    πŸ’¬ 53    πŸ“Œ 25
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Trump is making the world fall in love with China Countries that once saw American success as their own now view the US as an adversary and Beijing as a model

β€œAmerica prevailed in the cold war because it insisted on not simply being powerful…It made people imagine that the victory of the US was their own victory…without America standing for freedom, or at least pretending to do so, what’s the point of being pro-American?”

www.ft.com/content/658e...

16.01.2026 18:40 β€” πŸ‘ 152    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 12    πŸ“Œ 3
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Trump claims the US needs to buy Greenland to secure the Arctic.

This map proves that is a lie.

Washington used to have bases all over the island. Now they rely on just one.

The 1951 Defense Treaty allows the US to build more bases if they ask

18.01.2026 10:41 β€” πŸ‘ 85    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1
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How Crypto Is Used for Political Corruption This new source of money is giving the administration unprecedented new powers.

"We’re actually seeing new super PACs being established. One of them has already committed to spending $100 million in the midterms. And we’re seeing politicians and candidates speaking very frankly about wanting to install pro-crypto candidates"
more here:
www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/202...

16.01.2026 12:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1319    πŸ” 664    πŸ’¬ 61    πŸ“Œ 37
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Trump’s Most Dangerous Gambit His irrational obsession with Greenland could lead to global conflict.

Danish and Greenland ministers just left the White House. It did not go well.
I have a long discussion here of Trump's attempt to get Greenland and why it could lead to World War III.

(Gifted.)

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

14.01.2026 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2138    πŸ” 978    πŸ’¬ 228    πŸ“Œ 153
Russian experts discuss Greenland
YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor Russian experts discuss Greenland

Meanwhile in Russia: state TV experts rejoiced about Trump's approach towards Greenland, since they believe it ushers in a cynical new world order, where the U.S. withdraws from NATO, gets control over the Western Hemisphere β€” and Russia takes the rest.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=B3BF...

15.01.2026 05:45 β€” πŸ‘ 754    πŸ” 363    πŸ’¬ 49    πŸ“Œ 41

Nuclear defense is why we built a base on Greenland in 1951. We had this idea 75 years ago. The base has been there since then. You don’t have to invade a country where you already have everything. Invasion just destroys what you have and much else besides.

17.01.2026 01:36 β€” πŸ‘ 3144    πŸ” 797    πŸ’¬ 108    πŸ“Œ 20