Ariel Edwards-Levy

Congratulations!

As we wrap up another semester, my public opinion students have put together a great survey. If you have 5 minutes to spare, my students and I would thrilled if you'd take it: virginia.az1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...

Oh I have definitely told people I was working on a survey with that I "resent the questions"

We really need to stop asking items like this using agree-disagree scales or comparable formats. These estimates aren't informative.

academic.oup.com/poq/article/...

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

imo yes because "reindict" sounds like a close relative of the reindeer

good evening only to the people frantically emailing copy editors to determine if "re-indict" needs a hyphen

if you had an alpaca farm I would want to go visit as often as possible just so I could say "alpaca bag"

This is a bad survey question that likely exaggerates any Holocaust skepticism.

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

www.jstor.org/stable/26952...

genuinely trying to do something else and all I can think is that if I had an alpaca farm I'd name them "mountblancaca," "matterhornaca," "jungfrauaca" and so on

I used to get gerunded at

"Slowing!"
"Turning!"
"Braking!!!"

JOB ALERT -- KFF Health News is hiring for a Georgia-based reporter, alongside some fabulous 🍑 state colleagues: kff.bamboohr.com/careers/110

Remarkably few of the immigrants arrested in big-city ICE operations have had violent criminal records, via Albert Sun:
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

to any equally slow-on-the-uptake transplants from warmer climates: you're welcome

a fun fact about me is that when I moved from LA to DC, people warned me about black ice but did not mention that it wasn't literally black, and so then I spent several months a) thinking "huh, I guess black ice isn't really that common" and b) wiping out dramatically on the sidewalk

The variability over the past five years (and within Trump and Biden's respective terms) is interesting here, since it suggests that sentiments are picking up at least something beyond ossified partisanship

this is Wheaton metro escalator* erasure

*longest in the Western Hemisphere!

really enhanced by the notification directly above it

(media.defense.gov/2025/Dec/04/..., pg 59)

hate that Slack notifications always say "You asked me to remind you..." like, yes, my past self had expectations of me that my present self has not met, go away

'twas the night before Christmas, and all through the house, not a creature were stirring, except for you, who was raising your voice to yell, "I'm reading! I don't want to be disturbed! I'm beginning to read Italo Calvino's new novel!"

Democracy and the Broken GOP It's not just Trump.

typically good @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social piece on the bind Republican politicians are in: goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/democracy-...

i'm "specific joke polling"

incidentally have I mentioned that as part of a Black Friday sale this year, when we bought "low-40s temps" and "pitch black at 5 pm" they also threw in "get personally attacked by gusts of wind"

i would not like to think about the inauthentic survey responses that other people found so funny. i loved the availability of longitudinal panel data. i hated the idea of an intruder therein

covered in bio and implied elsewhere as the prevailing general condition

fyi I am absolutely not above writing several pages of additional methodology pastiche in this style, Simon & Schuster, call me

i mean to tell you that the survey has a sample size of 1,245 US adults

i mean to tell you that it was conducted October 27-30

i mean to tell you that the sample was obtained from a probability based panel

i mean to tell you that the margin of sampling error for total respondents is +/-3.1 at the

Word cloud visualization for 2025 showing your 50 most-used words, sized by frequency. Top 10: "survey" (150×), "polling" (99×), "public" (89×), "poll" (76×), "gallup" (72×), "opinion" (71×), "news" (66×), "joke" (48×), "tell" (47×), "political" (45×) (from Anisota's Annual Bluesky Harvest)

normally I am moderately anti-word cloud but I am posting this in the spirit of self-deprecation

(via anisota.net/harvest)

2025 KFF Marketplace Enrollees Survey | KFF This survey explores how ACA Marketplace enrollees expect to respond if their premium payments doubled as expected in 2026 when enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire. About a third would very...

A key mission of @kff.org public opinion work is to amplify the voices of the people directly impacted by healthy policy debates. Today we release a great example of this- a survey of ACA Marketplace Enrollees
www.kff.org/public-opini...

honestly if you opened more editions with "YOU LOOK AT IT with YOUR EYES, doofus"