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Ian W

@fplstrategic.bsky.social

Here to chat FPL, analytics, visualizations, and the occasion other thing. 🇨🇦 Will make jokes on a lot of things. Provide weekly (most of the time) rundowns of a variety of team xG/G prediction models. https://fplstrategic.substack.com/

585 Followers  |  311 Following  |  416 Posts  |  Joined: 28.10.2024
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Posts by Ian W (@fplstrategic.bsky.social)

With that BUR fixture out of the way, at least now when the CHE players score big and hurt my rank I'll know it was just variance and not any poor decisions by me.

23.02.2026 17:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I have Foden, Cunha, and Guehi that I would consider moving. I have 3 FTs, but I would like to float a couple going forward. A WC could refresh the team and some of the 'fine enough' players. But that said, the short term fixture swings only last a couple weeks so might be best to wait for more info

30.01.2026 22:21 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Hmmm, maybe WC time. Don't want to to much, though

30.01.2026 02:31 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Same bench 1 as you. So glad Foden and Haaland subbed on 😕

25.01.2026 05:46 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Tempted

25.01.2026 05:45 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

BOU vs LIV is my FPL Keeper Derby. I started Allison over Petrovic. What would you have done?

24.01.2026 17:30 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I must not spend enough time on social media, I thought NOR was a coding logic test 😂

23.01.2026 17:09 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

If you've got both then that means 100% 👍

23.01.2026 17:08 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Sesko or Watkins?

Watkins seems the better pick, but the fixtures are average for the next little while before they improve.

Sesko has the fixtures now, but I would expect less output from him on average.

Both keep enough money ITB for potential moves, but Watkins does rule out a CHE defender.

06.01.2026 16:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
GW21 Predictions Team xG/G Predictions for GW21 2025/26

Care to see which team is predicted to score what? Check it out here:
open.substack.com/pub/fplstrat...

06.01.2026 15:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I've kept it on Mr consistent. Consistently 2 points 😕

05.01.2026 20:08 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Still waiting for several weeks of DCL points. Must be the postal delays around the holidays

05.01.2026 17:11 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

AI submitting teamsheets with 13 starting players. . .

05.01.2026 17:10 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Trying to figure out if it is your VC, Bench 1, or just an unowned players encouraging this 🤔😂

31.12.2025 14:56 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I'll DM you my numbers

19.12.2025 17:33 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

6 weeks of sample isn't a "put this to bed" amount of time. I expect it is a bit of a 'more points than expected' at the start of the season and a 'fewer points than expected' in the last couple games. I would still back them to get the most CSs/defensive points going forward.

17.12.2025 17:34 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

True story 😕

17.12.2025 04:22 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

The cup started!?

17.12.2025 00:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Could be proxied by just taking the 45 plus any added time and splitting it into 3 equal slices per game and having second half 'thirds'.

16.12.2025 17:56 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

In the spirit of commiseration (not competition).
4, 4, 2, 0->4

10.12.2025 17:13 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

To be fair, you burn a FT any time you use your FH, so 1 less negative.

09.12.2025 17:10 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Haven't tried before

09.12.2025 16:58 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Transfer of Szoboszlai & Salah -> Saka & Palmer

Transfer of Szoboszlai & Salah -> Saka & Palmer

Selling this week. The options seem tasty (not fully decided on who yet).

08.12.2025 18:44 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I also got 4 pt Anderson 😂

08.12.2025 18:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I did not. I did get an auto sub, but Guehi was 2nd Bench 😢

08.12.2025 04:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Start:
Andersen (vs CRY),
Anderson (at EVE), or
Guehi (at FUL)?

06.12.2025 01:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I'm keeping. Did Sensei (mostly just needed him for 17) and Mateta (tougher and congested fixtures) to O'Reilly (good fixtures including 17) and Woltemade (great fixture this week).

06.12.2025 01:16 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Still need to fully evaluate. I have 2 FTs I want to use to maximize the refresh, so selling is tempting for multiple reasons. But need to see if the timing works for buying someone.
You?

04.12.2025 21:37 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I've been very lucky to start the season so about time I take some weeks on the chin. Van Hecke brought me some joy. At least we don't have long to wallow

04.12.2025 17:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I have no one, doubt the MUN players will get enough negative points to bring me up 😂

04.12.2025 02:31 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0