Ian W

Ian W

@fplstrategic.bsky.social

Here to chat FPL, analytics, visualizations, and the occasion other thing. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Will make jokes on a lot of things. Provide weekly (most of the time) rundowns of a variety of team xG/G prediction models. https://fplstrategic.substack.com/

585 Followers 311 Following 416 Posts Joined Oct 2024
2 weeks ago

With that BUR fixture out of the way, at least now when the CHE players score big and hurt my rank I'll know it was just variance and not any poor decisions by me.

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1 month ago

I have Foden, Cunha, and Guehi that I would consider moving. I have 3 FTs, but I would like to float a couple going forward. A WC could refresh the team and some of the 'fine enough' players. But that said, the short term fixture swings only last a couple weeks so might be best to wait for more info

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1 month ago

Hmmm, maybe WC time. Don't want to to much, though

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1 month ago

Same bench 1 as you. So glad Foden and Haaland subbed on πŸ˜•

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1 month ago

Tempted

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1 month ago

BOU vs LIV is my FPL Keeper Derby. I started Allison over Petrovic. What would you have done?

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1 month ago

I must not spend enough time on social media, I thought NOR was a coding logic test πŸ˜‚

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1 month ago

If you've got both then that means 100% πŸ‘

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2 months ago

Sesko or Watkins?

Watkins seems the better pick, but the fixtures are average for the next little while before they improve.

Sesko has the fixtures now, but I would expect less output from him on average.

Both keep enough money ITB for potential moves, but Watkins does rule out a CHE defender.

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2 months ago
Preview
GW21 Predictions Team xG/G Predictions for GW21 2025/26

Care to see which team is predicted to score what? Check it out here:
open.substack.com/pub/fplstrat...

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2 months ago

I've kept it on Mr consistent. Consistently 2 points πŸ˜•

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2 months ago

Still waiting for several weeks of DCL points. Must be the postal delays around the holidays

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2 months ago

AI submitting teamsheets with 13 starting players. . .

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2 months ago

Trying to figure out if it is your VC, Bench 1, or just an unowned players encouraging this πŸ€”πŸ˜‚

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2 months ago

I'll DM you my numbers

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2 months ago

6 weeks of sample isn't a "put this to bed" amount of time. I expect it is a bit of a 'more points than expected' at the start of the season and a 'fewer points than expected' in the last couple games. I would still back them to get the most CSs/defensive points going forward.

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2 months ago

True story πŸ˜•

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2 months ago

The cup started!?

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2 months ago

Could be proxied by just taking the 45 plus any added time and splitting it into 3 equal slices per game and having second half 'thirds'.

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3 months ago

In the spirit of commiseration (not competition).
4, 4, 2, 0->4

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3 months ago

To be fair, you burn a FT any time you use your FH, so 1 less negative.

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3 months ago

Haven't tried before

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3 months ago
Transfer of Szoboszlai & Salah -> Saka & Palmer

Selling this week. The options seem tasty (not fully decided on who yet).

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3 months ago

I also got 4 pt Anderson πŸ˜‚

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3 months ago

I did not. I did get an auto sub, but Guehi was 2nd Bench 😒

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3 months ago

Start:
Andersen (vs CRY),
Anderson (at EVE), or
Guehi (at FUL)?

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3 months ago

I'm keeping. Did Sensei (mostly just needed him for 17) and Mateta (tougher and congested fixtures) to O'Reilly (good fixtures including 17) and Woltemade (great fixture this week).

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3 months ago

Still need to fully evaluate. I have 2 FTs I want to use to maximize the refresh, so selling is tempting for multiple reasons. But need to see if the timing works for buying someone.
You?

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3 months ago

I've been very lucky to start the season so about time I take some weeks on the chin. Van Hecke brought me some joy. At least we don't have long to wallow

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3 months ago

I have no one, doubt the MUN players will get enough negative points to bring me up πŸ˜‚

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