The fact that the UK did something stupid and self-destructive does not mean that Trump has not done something with even worse consequences.
02.08.2025 21:36 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@cerianbond.bsky.social
Deputy director, Centre for European Reform, London @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social . Supporter of democracy, the rule of law, the EU & Ukraine. Opponent of authoritarianism, corruption & Putin's Russia.
The fact that the UK did something stupid and self-destructive does not mean that Trump has not done something with even worse consequences.
02.08.2025 21:36 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Hard to disagree. One of many steps Trump has taken to weaken the power & influence of the US in the world.
02.08.2025 19:05 β π 61 π 17 π¬ 3 π 0The West, and especially the Europeans, have done less than they could have done to show that they value the #OSCE.
π @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @cerianbond.bsky.social
Read here: buff.ly/E0CkmLd
Over his 25 years in office, #Putin has violated all ten Helsinki principles and many other #OSCE commitments, including on military transparency.
π @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @cerianbond.bsky.social
Read here: buff.ly/E0CkmLd
Kokeneen brittilÀisen ulko- ja turvallisuuspolitiikan asiantuntijan, suurlÀhettilÀs @cerianbond.bsky.social mielestÀ Etyjin rooli Euroopan turvallisuusarkkitehtuurissa on pitkÀlti unohtunut, ja pÀÀsyyllinen siihen on Vladimir Putinin johtama VenÀjÀ.
www.verkkouutiset.fi/a/venaja-rik...
I'm looking forward to chairing the discussion at @libdems.org.uk conference on 22 September.
31.07.2025 09:09 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I would say Finland and Sweden do well, but that's an unscientific impression rather than the result of deep research such as this (NB - this is not the Tufton St IEA think-tank, but an international body assessing educational attainment, based in Amsterdam): link.springer.com/book/10.1007...
30.07.2025 11:30 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Excellent thread, though I'd say media (il)literacy is only part of problem; broader lack of civic education means people don't understand how a democratic state should function, which bits of government do what, what taxes pay for, what their rights are & why, making them easy prey for charlatans.
30.07.2025 10:06 β π 29 π 6 π¬ 3 π 0Another decade slips by
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
Only when Mikhail Gorbachev rose to power in the Soviet Union in 1985 did the communist bloc start taking CSCE human rights and democracy commitments seriously.
π @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social insight by @cerianbond.bsky.social
Read here: buff.ly/E0CkmLd
Paul Fritch & I thinking along similar lines on reaching back to elements of the Helsinki Process that worked & may be relevant again when peace is restored in Europe - even if I fear thatβs still a long way off. Hereβs my take: www.cer.eu/insights/hel...
30.07.2025 07:02 β π 20 π 7 π¬ 2 π 0We need to walk and chew gum at the same time. Invest in defence and invest in renewables - which also means investing in weakening the Russian economy, so heavily dependent on oil and gas revenues.
29.07.2025 14:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0He added: βIs it what the EU wanted? No. Is it ideal? No. But if this agreement sticks β big if β it will provide a certain degree of predictability.β @nytimes.com
29.07.2025 13:00 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0It might nevertheless be one of the better results Europe could have obtained, said @aslak.bsky.social, a research fellow at @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social.
βA lot of the initial reaction is that this a political defeat, this is a humiliation for the European Union,β Mr Berg said.
buff.ly/CzwH65Q
"Mr. Sefcovic suggested that issues including security, Ukraine and Russia also factored in. Europe has been working hard to keep the United States engaged in NATO at a time when Russia is more aggressively expansionist, ... ."
29.07.2025 13:15 β π 3 π 2 π¬ 0 π 1Governments have to explain that unless Russian imperialism and expansionism are stopped in Ukraine, no-one in Western Europe will be getting welfare. I think that message is already getting through in some countries. If you want a welfare state, you first need a secure state.
28.07.2025 22:44 β π 11 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0Levels of defence spending & defence capability are way below what's needed to deter a Russia which is increasingly on a war footing. Soft power is a good thing, but not much use for defeating military aggression, though we'll need it in future once Russian expansionism has been stopped.
28.07.2025 22:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Thanks!
28.07.2025 17:49 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I have lots of sympathy for this argument, but in the end, it's better for Europe to spend 3.5 per cent less efficiently than it cd, than <2 per cent, also less efficiently than it cd. Best of all, of course, wd be spending 3.5 per cent (or 5 per cent) efficiently. I'm not holding my breath, though!
28.07.2025 16:02 β π 65 π 11 π¬ 8 π 0Romanticizing the Soviet Union is a marker of deep ignorance
No country willingly joined the USSR, Eastern Europe was occupied by Moscow
Thatβs why liberation brought prosperity and safety to those who joined NATO & EU
πΊπ¦ was invaded by π·πΊ not because it was in NATO, but precisely because it wasnβt
This is exactly the point. The Commission played its cards terribly but only because this is what members states pushed it to do, with neither demonstrating vision of a strong and united Europe and the courage to defend it
28.07.2025 09:48 β π 52 π 23 π¬ 1 π 0Having served in the UK Delegation to the OSCE just as Putin came to power & began to undermine the organisation, I'm under no illusions about its weaknesses. But the Helsinki principles from which the OSCE grew are still a good starting point for managing an adversarial relationship with Russia.
28.07.2025 09:11 β π 15 π 5 π¬ 0 π 1Exactly right.
27.07.2025 15:27 β π 33 π 6 π¬ 1 π 0Important & alarming investigation by @hopenothate.org.uk , showing Russian efforts to incite violence & far-right terrorist attacks in the UK (&, I suspect, in Europe & the US too). The govβt needs to step up work on building societal resilience - & demonising migrants wonβt help!
26.07.2025 10:06 β π 119 π 72 π¬ 4 π 2Lets see what comes out. But Shahins take is going to age well - I fear.
@shahinvallee.bsky.social
A lot of experts backed retaliation but alas.
ip-quarterly.com/en/how-eu-bo...
You can purchase the book here: buff.ly/jjV3mfD
23.07.2025 13:00 β π 5 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0If you missed the launch of 'The Routledge Guide to the European Union (2nd edition)'
with @cerianbond.bsky.social, Mark Leonard @ecfr.eu & @armida.bsky.social you can watch the recording here: youtu.be/5eDXPjxPpUA
Happy Launch Day! π Congratulations, and thank you for publishing with us. Sign up for this event below. β¬οΈ
22.07.2025 12:22 β π 0 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0π
JOIN US - ONLINE TODAY: Hybrid launch of 'The Routledge Guide to the European Union (2nd ed)' with @cerianbond.bsky.socialβ¬, Mark Leonard βͺ@ecfr.euβ¬ & @armida.bsky.socialβ¬
Email reception@cer.eu for further info & registration
@tandfresearch.bsky.social @routledgebooks.bsky.social
Look forward to speaking at this @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social event tomorrow to launch @cerianbond.bsky.social's book. Expect lots of discussion about the EU's direction of travel and future of the institutions.
21.07.2025 12:13 β π 7 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0