Andreas Beerli's Avatar

Andreas Beerli

@andreasbeerli.bsky.social

Economist and social science aficionado using experiments and data to find what works in public and social policy @ KOF Swiss Economic Institute ETH Zurich www.andreasbeerli.com

807 Followers  |  1,458 Following  |  15 Posts  |  Joined: 07.11.2023
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Posts by Andreas Beerli (@andreasbeerli.bsky.social)

Standing in Prisonersʼ Shoes
YouTube video by UZH Department of Economics Standing in Prisonersʼ Shoes

Imagine 48 hours in jail. Would it change how you see prison, or criminal justice itself?

A new study by researchers from the University of Zurich and @kofeth.bsky.social at @ethz.ch shows that firsthand incarceration can directly shift public opinion.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xo0F...

21.02.2026 08:08 — 👍 18    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 2

New RCT: What happens when citizens experience incarceration firsthand?

With Arto Arman, @andreasbeerli.bsky.social, and @aljoshahenkel.bsky.social

Working paper: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

22.02.2026 06:09 — 👍 10    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0

Hispanics are now the largest ethnic group in Texas, making up 40% of the population. Trump carried Latinos in 2024, a massive swing from earlier elections but Texas Democrats eye an opportunity to pull those voters back in.
“They are leaving in droves and going in the opposite direction”

04.02.2026 07:56 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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London is far safer than violent viral videos will have you believe Contrary to social-media lore, it is one of the safest cities in the world

As so often, the best medicine against online hysteria is a dose of fresh air—maybe a leisurely walk along the Thames

31.01.2026 12:20 — 👍 24    🔁 11    💬 0    📌 0
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#DemocraticBacksliding: The erosion of US democracy under Trump is steeper than any recent precedent, including Hungary, Venezuela, Turkey, R//ZZ.l'a/nd

Source: Financial Times @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/b474...

31.01.2026 10:53 — 👍 128    🔁 81    💬 2    📌 5
Professorinnen und Professoren gegen die Halbierungsinitiative – Warum wir Professorinnen und Professoren uns für einen starken Service public einsetzen und die SRG-Halbierungsinitiative ablehnen

Als direkte Demokratie braucht die Schweiz vielfältige und unabhängige Medien. Professorinnen und Professoren aus allen Sprachregionen und Disziplinen setzen sich ein für einen starken medialen Service public und sagen Nein zur Halbierungsinitiative.
www.wissenschaft-fuer-den-service-public.ch

27.01.2026 04:18 — 👍 10    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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The killing of Alex Pretti is a heartbreaking tragedy. It should also be a wake-up call to every American, regardless of party, that many of our core values as a nation are increasingly under assault.

25.01.2026 17:39 — 👍 60242    🔁 19569    💬 3143    📌 1545
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New Paper Alert!📢
"From Moderates to Extremes: How Immigration Polarizes American Politics" 🗽
by @matzat.bsky.social @adreher.bsky.social @langlotzsarah.bsky.social & Christopher Parsons

Insights on how immigration reshapes American politics:
🔗 www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

22.01.2026 07:21 — 👍 7    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Nach Fontana NZZ-Interview: Wirtschaftsjournalist Hansueli Schöchli geht Bei der «Neuen Zürcher Zeitung» hats geknallt: Der langjährige Wirtschaftsjournalist Hansueli Schöchli hat gekündigt. Schöchli hat sich mit dem libertären ...

Die NZZ - und mehr noch ihre Leserinnen und Leser - erleiden einen sehr bedauerlichen Verlust: Hansueli Schöchli verlässt die Redaktion.
Wenn ich nichts übersehen habe, hat die Chefredaktion noch nicht darüber informiert und ihn noch nicht verabschiedet.
www.kleinreport.ch/news/nach-fo...

14.01.2026 06:10 — 👍 25    🔁 11    💬 4    📌 3
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The rise of singlehood is reshaping the world In good ways and bad

It is possible that the relationship recession will not correct itself. A striking 7% of singletons say they would consider a robo-romance with an AI companion.

AI is patient, AI is kind and it won’t ask you to clean the bathroom or get a better job

25.12.2025 21:00 — 👍 8    🔁 1    💬 4    📌 1
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Evidence for a detrimental causal effect of social isolation on cognitive function in older adults
academic.oup.com/psychsocgero...

16.12.2025 15:16 — 👍 111    🔁 34    💬 6    📌 4
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Woah.

Argentina's 1990s preschool expansion program appears to have been a smashing success.

The program increased high school completion by a whole 11.9 percentage points.

The authors estimate that for every $1 spent, the preschool expansion generated about $11 in benefits.

15.12.2025 13:45 — 👍 136    🔁 50    💬 3    📌 6

It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new “euro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US

This view is wrong

A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧵

12.12.2025 12:32 — 👍 1165    🔁 604    💬 25    📌 90
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There’s more to cholesterol than simply “good” or “bad” Standard health tests may miss those at most risk

Standard health tests may miss those at most risk

25.11.2025 17:31 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨 New working paper!

How well do people predict the results of studies?

@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇

24.11.2025 15:43 — 👍 94    🔁 42    💬 2    📌 2
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Economist Philippe Aghion: ‘Macron’s legacy will be better than people think’ France’s new Nobel laureate on stimulating growth, the power of creative destruction — and why Karl Lagerfeld helped him with his homework

on.ft.com/4pxTY97

23.11.2025 18:52 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Don’t cheer the end of America’s obesity crisis just yet The evidence so far is weak

Some surveys are starting to show a fall in America’s obesity rates. But as with all surveys, these findings come with caveats

22.11.2025 17:40 — 👍 9    🔁 3    💬 5    📌 0

„Even if the plan falls apart, this arrogant and confusing ultimatum […] will do permanent damage to America’s reputation as a reliable ally, not only in Europe but around the world.“

22.11.2025 12:23 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

Haha, that‘s cool! curious for the slides too, keep us posted

19.11.2025 04:44 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Ultraprocessed Food and Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Precursors Among Women This study evaluates the association of the consumption of ultraprocessed foods and the risk of early-onset colorectal cancer (<50 years) in participants of the Nurses’ Health Study II.

Ultraprocessed food intake and early-onset colon adenomas (pre-cancer) in a large cohort of >29,000 women followed for >24 years
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

13.11.2025 16:13 — 👍 144    🔁 39    💬 5    📌 2
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Featured in the latest Bulletin on Health: Pain Management and the Opioid Epidemic

www.nber.org/bh/20253/pai...

13.11.2025 13:00 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

In an ongoing project, we ask which countries citizens prefer as benchmarks for policy decisions.

Pilot data from the UK show that Denmark is ranked as one of the most preferred reference countries, particularly in relation to migration policy.

08.11.2025 16:08 — 👍 20    🔁 8    💬 4    📌 1
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Solar in China has become too big to fail No other country could have done it

China is changing the clean-energy game. If its solar panels, EVs and wind turbines are not gifts to the world in themselves, their ever-shrinking prices are an undoubted, and most welcome, boon

06.11.2025 03:40 — 👍 32    🔁 9    💬 2    📌 0
Malengo Scholar Profiles: Violet Nampala, Uganda–Germany University Scholar
YouTube video by Malengo Inc. Malengo Scholar Profiles: Violet Nampala, Uganda–Germany University Scholar

Introducing the world to our amazing Malengo students, vol. 2:

Please meet Violet Nampala from Uganda, who is studying Energy Systems Engineering at Deggendorf Institute of Technology, Germany!

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ru9R...

05.11.2025 04:15 — 👍 6    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The people’s AI? | The Enlightened Economist The title of Maximilian Kasy’s new book The Means of Prediction cleverly riffs off Marx’s concept of the means of production for th age of AI. These means, Prof Kasy argues, are data, computational…

Some lovely first reviews of "The Means of Prediction" are out:

www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog/index.p...
(by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social)

1/n

01.11.2025 17:06 — 👍 15    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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🚨Next time you hire, don’t take it easy! In a new working paper, @elliottash.bsky.social, Jason Sockin, and I show the difficulty of the interview signals to workers whether the job is a good fit. 🚨

Paper link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

31.10.2025 22:06 — 👍 31    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 0
Local Labor Market Effects of the 2002 Bush Steel Tariffs†
By James Lake and Ding Liu*
President George W. Bush imposed safeguard tariffs on steel
in early 2002. Using US input-output tables and a generalized
difference-in-difference methodology, we analyze the local labor
market employment effects of these tariffs depending on the local
labor market’s reliance on steel as an input and as part of local production. The tariffs did not boost local steel employment but substantially depressed local employment in steel-consuming industries
for many years after Bush removed them. The tariffs also led to a
persistent exit of steel-intensive manufacturing establishments, suggesting a role for plant-level fixed entry costs in translating the temporary shock into persistent outcomes

Local Labor Market Effects of the 2002 Bush Steel Tariffs† By James Lake and Ding Liu* President George W. Bush imposed safeguard tariffs on steel in early 2002. Using US input-output tables and a generalized difference-in-difference methodology, we analyze the local labor market employment effects of these tariffs depending on the local labor market’s reliance on steel as an input and as part of local production. The tariffs did not boost local steel employment but substantially depressed local employment in steel-consuming industries for many years after Bush removed them. The tariffs also led to a persistent exit of steel-intensive manufacturing establishments, suggesting a role for plant-level fixed entry costs in translating the temporary shock into persistent outcomes

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The large increase in steel tariffs under GW Bush did not cause an increase in steel-industry employment.

But it did hurt the US industries that use steel to make things, reducing employment there long after the tariffs were gone.

New in @aeajournals.bsky.social —> doi.org/10.1257/pol....

29.10.2025 14:41 — 👍 62    🔁 27    💬 0    📌 3
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🚨A new AI model can forecast malnutrition rates in Kenya with 89% accuracy one month in advance and provide up to 6 months of lead time for intervention.

This could save countless lives by getting resources to at-risk areas before crisis hits.

How it works 👉 bit.ly/4n1oer6 via Conversation UK

15.10.2025 13:02 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Juristische*r Werkstudent*in (20–40 %) Zur Verstärkung ihres Teams sucht die SMRI ab sofort eine*r juristische*r Werkstudent*in (20-40 %) an ihrem Standort in Freiburg.

Bei der @isdh.ch ist noch bis zum 26. Oktober eine Stelle für eine studentische Hilfskraft ausgeschrieben; eine sehr gute Gelegenheit, einen ersten Schritt zu einer Karriere im Bereich der Menschenrechte zu gehen.

www.isdh.ch/de/aktiv-wer...

14.10.2025 05:26 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1