You can catch my full, open course on accessibility in visualization here:
openvisualizationacademy.org/courses/acce...
@singmann.bsky.social
Associate Professor at UCL Experimental Psychology; math psych & cognitive psychology; statistical and cognitive modelling in R; German migrant worker in UK
You can catch my full, open course on accessibility in visualization here:
openvisualizationacademy.org/courses/acce...
๐จNew paper altert๐จ
As a synthesis of my PhD research, we revisited the prevailing assumption about the mechanisms underlying repetition learning, and re-evaluated these assumption in light of recent findings.
Now out in Perspectives on Psychological Science:
doi.org/10.1177/1745...
The decline effect (Protzko & Schooler, 2017) is an observed phenomenon where effect sizes in experiments apparently diminish in size from the first paper demonstrating the effect to later replications. This has been taken as a symptom of an unhealthy scientific ecosystem, possibly caused by the "winner's curse" (selection on significance and regression to the mean), publication bias or opportunistic analyses. I show that decline effects can arise as an artifact from a much simpler source: the original article determining the sign of the effect in a meta-analysis. Moreover, such artifactual decline effects will show correlations with some of the same experimental properties that one would expect from biases from poor behavior, such as the sample size of the original study.
New draft: "Decline effects, statistical artifacts, and a meta-analytic paradox". In this manuscript I show how a common practice in meta-analysis (eg the 2015 Open Science Collaboration) creates artifactual signatures of poor scientific behavior. PDF: raw.githubusercontent.com/richarddmore... 1/x
02.02.2026 14:56 โ ๐ 71 ๐ 28 ๐ฌ 5 ๐ 3Academics vying for a spot in Epsteinโs world. There are so many. I feel the need to make a thread, so I donโt keep confusing them. 1/
31.01.2026 21:02 โ ๐ 2901 ๐ 1414 ๐ฌ 73 ๐ 219I haven't read the study, but hat-tip for what I really hope is a Britney reference in the title. <chef's kiss>
02.02.2026 22:50 โ ๐ 4 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 1You can test new tech ideas using the Seinfeld Test
Would the product eliminate the plot of an episode? (Google maps, cell phones, paypal, battery packs)
Good tech.
Would the product inspire new Seinfeld plots? (NFTs, AI chatbots, crypto currency, blindboxes, metaverse land sales)
Bad tech.
IWW IU 520 (Railroad Workers) PRESENTS: TROLLEY PROBLEM SOLUTION "Slip the switch" by flipping it while the trolley's front wheels have passed through, but before the back wheels do. This will cause a controlled derailment bringing the trolley to a safe halt.
Union workers solved the trolley problem, you're welcome
31.01.2026 01:45 โ ๐ 8276 ๐ 2406 ๐ฌ 37 ๐ 145Great paper giving a rational explanation for the gambler's "fallacy".
29.01.2026 17:45 โ ๐ 9 ๐ 3 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0First post of the year, new paper out today: we present possibly the biggest case of systematic Measurement Schmeasurement in tech use. It seems that most studies on gaming (videogame) addiction/disorder haven't measured gaming after all. This research took years, so long ๐งต doi.org/10.1098/rsos...
28.01.2026 09:56 โ ๐ 193 ๐ 100 ๐ฌ 8 ๐ 20New preprint by @semihaktepe.bsky.social ๐
We compare ANOVA/SDT/GLMM for binary judgments in 20 datasets of the truth effect. #lme4
Main conclusion:
"GLMMs are a theoretically sound and practically robust method and thus superior for analyzing binary judgments in social and cognitive psychology.โ
How many versions of the Iowa Gambling Task (IGT) exist? And how much does this affect research using the IGT? More than you might think. ๐งต
25.01.2026 11:16 โ ๐ 96 ๐ 44 ๐ฌ 3 ๐ 6This random online comment from 2018 remains one of the last half-century's most important works of political commentary. crookedtimber.org/2018/03/21/l...
24.01.2026 17:42 โ ๐ 3447 ๐ 1205 ๐ฌ 18 ๐ 31Most popular decision-making models assume that cognitive processes are static over time. In our new paper in Psych Review, we offer a simple extension to evidence accumulation models that lets researchers account for systematic changes in parameters across time ๐
psycnet.apa.org/fulltext/202...
Here it is! #rstats
19.01.2026 20:50 โ ๐ 35 ๐ 11 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0Too many significance tests!!
Made this little graphic for my #stats class, showing the various kinds of (N)HST and how interpreting confidence intervals can replace all of them.
Made with #rstats #ggplot (duh)
I am happy to share that our preprint โ๐ช๐ผ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฎ: ๐ ๐ง๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ด๐ป๐ถ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ตโ is now out.
Huge thanks to @bayslab.org, Julie de Falco, Zahara, @cjungerius.bsky.social, @ivntmc.bsky.social, Adam, and Xiaolu for the lovely collaboration.
doi.org/10.31234/osf...
๐ New blog post! ๐
Ever made a *spaghetti* line chart and wondered how you can make it more accessible and more aesthetically pleasing at the same time? ๐
Read this blog post: nrennie.rbind.io/blog/accessi...
#DataViz #RStats
It's the 3rd of January 1939, your name is professor James Smith and you are staring at a drawing of a fish. It's not a regular fish. It is a completely impossible fish.
06.01.2026 22:27 โ ๐ 1158 ๐ 525 ๐ฌ 10 ๐ 110The details of this paper post mortem are pretty shocking.
10.01.2026 12:09 โ ๐ 4 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0As the new year is bringing only more of the mess of the last, I am reminded of this banger from ten years ago. Things should have been much cooler by now but instead we have tech billionaires in cahoots with increasingly right-wing governments:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=R8ca...
New Year, New Colour Tool
for you data visualizers and maybe the odd designer
obumbratta.com/colour
After 5 years of data collection, our WARN-D machine learning competition to forecast depression onset is now LIVE! We hope many of you will participateโwe have incredibly rich data.
If you share a single thing of my lab this year, please make it this competition.
eiko-fried.com/warn-d-machi...
Merry Christmas
24.12.2025 21:55 โ ๐ 2612 ๐ 791 ๐ฌ 9 ๐ 32How well do we really understand the human mind? This question is at the heart of UCL Beautiful Minds - a brand new eight-part season of podcasts and documentaries that dives deep into the complexities of human cognition and neurodiversity.
๐ง Listen here: uclpress.co.uk/introducing-...
Advances in Statistical Model Evaluation Submission deadline: 31 December 2026 The Special Issue accepts theoretical, methodological, applied, and philosophically oriented research on frequentist, Bayesian, and information-theoretic advances in statistical model evaluation.
Topics of interest for this call for papers include but are not restricted to: โข Methodological advances in fit assessment, parametric bootstrapping, cross-validation, and/or other frequentist model evaluation methods โข Methodological advances in prior and/or posterior predictive model checking, specification and use of informed priors, Bayes factors, and/or other Bayesian model evaluation โข Methodological advances in minimum description length, normalized maximum likelihood, and/or other information-theoretic model evaluation methods โข Practical applications and tutorials of advanced model evaluation methods โข Philosophy of science issues underlying statistical model evaluation โข Critiques/perspectives/commentaries on statistical model evaluation
Announcement: I am excited to be co-editing (with Li Cai) an upcoming Special Issue of the Journal of Mathematical Psychology on "Advances in Statistical Model Evaluation." Proposals due Feb 1. Details: www.sciencedirect.com/special-issu...
Please repost!
#quantpsych #mathpsych #philsci #statsky
He made beer thatโs also a vaccine. Now controversy is brewing: shared just as an interesting story. www.sciencenews.org/article/vacc...
21.12.2025 01:30 โ ๐ 48 ๐ 15 ๐ฌ 5 ๐ 9Love this short opinion piece on โmechanical bypassโ in analogy to โspiritual bypassโ.
21.12.2025 04:42 โ ๐ 180 ๐ 64 ๐ฌ 9 ๐ 8H0 H0 H0 ๐
20.12.2025 23:47 โ ๐ 180 ๐ 43 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 4