Justin the Seer

I have been getting the sense that the CCP has been on a Fake It Till You Make It binge for some time.

This statement should not minimize their achievements, but the signs of a debt splurge since 2014 are alarming.

Hopefully, all the CapEx pays off the debt load and doesn’t stir strong pushback.

This drought, and future ones, will directly affect their ability to build nuclear power plants.

A Revision on the Bill of Rights, Part III The main problem with the notion of self-defense is it imposes on justice, for everyone has the right for a fair trial. Therefore, using a firearm to defend oneself is not legal because if the attacke...

About three months late, but I assume that means I am fashionably on time 🤔

9 years ago, I foresaw this situation in my legal analysis of the Third Amendment conducted with Philosophy of Law frameworks and innovations through historical
analysis.

A Revision on the Bill of Rights, Part III The main problem with the notion of self-defense is it imposes on justice, for everyone has the right for a fair trial. Therefore, using a firearm to defend oneself is not legal because if the attacke...

About three months late, but I assume that means I am fashionably on time 🤔

9 years ago, I foresaw this situation in my legal analysis of the Third Amendment conducted with Philosophy of Law frameworks and innovations through historical
analysis.

A year from the November 2024 Presidential Election, and nothing on the continual infringement of the Oath of Office of the President of the United States. Article II, Section One, Clause 8, of the United States Constitution, or the good faith clause, is under attack by Donald Trump.

My final year-end review is on tech and what it is bringing:

A year-end review of some significant ideological shifts I noticed:

As the new year nears, here are some posts on historical moments to keep an eye on:

A year into the new administration in the US, and here are some forward-looking estimates and commentaries about it:

Recent updates on China’s economy indicate that between February and April 2026, financial troubles will balloon. The updates suggest a manufacturing crisis and areas unable to bear the burden of debt loads.

A brief on my forecasts on China and the method:

A Fifty-Five-Year March A few months ago, I alluded to a troubling US political trend that started in 1970 and climaxed with Trump’s presidency—a fifty-five-year march toward the far right by a subsection of the conservative...

Two events and a recent show this week remind me of an article I wrote on the rise of the Newest New Far-Right, a variant of biblical proportions:

1. Trump’s encouragement of Nigerian Christian Fundamentalists could cause a disaster

2. J.D. Vance Bible-thumps wife, again

3. The Family on Netflix

The bestowing of monarchal cultural artifacts on Donald Trump will cause an inescapable euphoric high, which he will become addicted to.

The metaphoric nuclear reactor core is heating up. Will American Democracy withstand its pop?

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I thought you may be interested in an estimate I conducted last year on the K-shaped economy. For more insights, scroll around on my LinkedIn or Bluesky.

Trump’s military build-up along Central and South America, and his urge to help the Right in those regions, reminded me of some estimates, below. It seems like an open play at pushing the South rightward, repeating an old American tendency. Is this another hint of the Frost Bite Wars?

Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is…... Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is ...

This event reminded me of an estimate I conducted and emailed to a scientist in 2023.

Another sign the world is terraforming backward to the Jurassic period.

Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is…... Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is ...

This event reminded me of an estimate I conducted and emailed to a scientist in 2023.

Another sign the world is terraforming backward to the Jurassic period.

Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is…... Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is ...

This event reminded me of an estimate I conducted and emailed to a scientist in 2023.

Another sign the world is terraforming backward to the Jurassic period.

Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is…... Nearly a year ago, I reached out to an entomologist about my concern about mosquito-borne diseases, and 6 months ago, I made my concern public because of calculations I made to forewarn about what is ...

This event reminded me of an estimate I conducted and emailed to a scientist in 2023.

Another sign the world is terraforming backward to the Jurassic period.

I want to call attention to this post because Russia’s oligarchs have grown angrier due to the economic issues rising in the country, Australia is on a mad dash to build alliances, Africa has been feeling socioeconomic tremors, & eyes have been moving toward the EU as people wonder about its future.

These seven trends are still going strong, and I have listed them in the order of events reported in the past few weeks:

1. Boardroom-stylized conflicts
2. Cyberspace conflicts
3. Tropicalization
4. Ideological rifts
5. Cultural existential crisis
6. Nu Industrial Revolution
7. Global South rumbles

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I am a free-range social scientist, and you may be interested in my estimate. In November 2024, I estimated the current economic contours and dubbed it the HENRY Economy.

Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers Se... Update on an April 28th, 2024 forecast: The American economy is being held on the shoulders of HENRY (High Earner, Not Rich Yet), which is encapsulated in three articles. First, "US Consumers See Hig...

I am a free-range social scientist, and you may be interested in my estimate. In November 2024, I estimated the current economic contours and dubbed it the HENRY Economy.

Private credit cash pivots from 'risky' West to emerging markets
+
Emerging market portfolio inflows drop to $26 billion, lowest level since May, IIF says
———————
Two Reuters articles allude to conflicting thoughts in the EM space. Who made the miscalculation? My bet is on private credit

I want to share an estimate that warned about this outcome and the question societies need to answer to survive in this epoch

I want to share an estimate that warned about this outcome and the question societies need to answer to survive in this epoch