Latest post assesses current state of the war. Looks at the state of American decision-making, how it was caught out by Iranian response, the difficulty reopening Strait of Hormuz, and why hardliners in Iran may make it difficult to get a ceasefire. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/the-split-...
1/ Russian journalist and analyst Yuri Baranchik asks plaintively: "why have they started terrorising the people?" He joins the dots between various recent actions by the Russian government, including the blocking of Telegram, and warns of a "1917 [or] 1989" scenario. ⬇️
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 12, 2026 (1/2)
■ Record 7-day equipment, drone, and unarmored vehicle losses; 5th-highest daily drone losses
■ Casualties below average; 30 km² of 🇷🇺 territorial gains confirmed
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/tcLVlAGKT8I
1/ Messages hacked from a Russian general's phone illustrate the sweeping scale of corruption at all levels of the Russian army. They highlight a top-to-bottom pyramid of extortion and bribery to obtain promotions and influence, plus scams and theft of military resources. ⬇️
"Ignoring lessons of modern wars - in an era when war has never been more visible - will hurt you. America & Middle East nations found this out the hard way during the week." My weekly update on #Ukraine, the Middle East & the Pacific.
mickryan.substack.com/p/a-strategi...
More than 70,000 women are serving in Ukraine’s Armed Forces. Every day they risk everything to defend their motherland, freedom, and values—while challenging long-standing stereotypes. This is 20% more than in 2022, when russia launched its full-scale invasion. Duty called, and women answered.
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 8, 2026 (1/2)
■ 🇷🇺 gains but at a high cost: 930 casualties, record equipment and drone losses, highest land-based losses of 2026
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/rRE-4YY1KbQ
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 7, 2026 (1/2)
■ 2nd-largest overnight attack wave of 2026, but interception rate high
■ 2nd-highest drone losses; record 7-day losses of equipment, drones, and unarmored vehicles
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/vArA_pX-eZk
"As the 2nd week of Epic Fury dawns, it is worth pausing the tactical scorecard — destroyed missile launchers & sunken Iranian navy ships — and asking a tough question. What signal is this war sending to the leaders of China and Russia?" mickryan.substack.com/p/selective-...
1/ Russian forces are being driven back in parts of Ukraine, following the Starlink shutdown and degradation of Telegram. This has prompted one Russian warblogger who is fighting in Ukraine to post a blistering denunciation of the leadership in Moscow. ⬇️
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 4, 2026 (1/2)
■ Record 7-day equipment losses; 4ᵗʰ-highest drone losses; heavy unarmored vehicle losses
■ Engagements below average; casualties near average; no confirmed territorial change
■ ...
📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/p6PcNn20dZA
Something interesting to point out from the data.
The difference in 2025’s total loading and 2009’s loading was only 7.6 million tons.
So far in 2026, they’re already 6.5 million tons lower than 2025.
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 2, 2026 (1/3)
■ Record equipment losses: 2nd-highest drone losses and substantial land-based equipment losses
■ Engagements and casualties remain below average; no confirmed territorial change
■ ...
📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/r-tZa7RPJ4Y
How Hamas destroyed Iran’s Axis of Power
Iran’s once‑powerful network of proxies faltered after the Gaza War, Houthi escalations, and Syria’s political shift, leaving Tehran's Axis of Resistance broken and fragmented.
malcontentnews.substack.com/p/how-hamas-...
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 1, 2026 (1/2)
■ 4th-highest drone activity, 3rd-highest drone losses; substantial land-based equipment losses
■ Engagements & casualties below average; no confirmed territorial change
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/jzqGzSMEDlQ
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — FEB 9, 2026 (1/3)
■ 2nd-highest number of engagements to date (record set on Feb 1); highest casualties this month; no territorial change
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/vNDbRpzRVEk
⚡️ OVERNIGHT ATTACKS
■ 2nd-largest overnight attack wave this year so far
■ Air defence performed well, with 91% of drones intercepted and 24 of 39 missiles shot down
■ Still, 19 locations were hit and 3 were affected by debris
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/maKl_Qf1DP0
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — FEB 5, 2026 (1/3)
■ Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average; no confirmed change in territory
■ Record 7-day equipment and drone losses; heavy losses of unarmored equipment and artillery
■ ...
📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/l6uDlHOVZ20
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — FEB 1, 2026 (1/2)
■ Record number of engagements; increased casualties; freezing temperatures
■ Unusually low drone usage and losses; despite January being a record month; six tank losses
■ ...
📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/nfpZPFUjiLQ
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 31, 2026 (1/2)
■ Engagements remain high, but casualties are below average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Notable armored vehicle losses; snowfall in the north
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/swbMTNJixxg
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 29, 2026 (1/2)
■ Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Record 7-day drone losses; first downed aircraft of 2026; heavy losses of armored vehicles
■ ...
📈 lookerstudio.google.com/s/oM-LXqUhGLk
This is how three-year-old Ivanko reacts to his mom telling him they'll have even less electricity now:
"It’s good that at least we get some, even if just a little. Our Defenders have no electricity at all. We have to be grateful to them."
📹: taisiialand / Instagram
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 26, 2026 (1/2)
■ New 🇷🇺 area gains confirmed; 217 km² net gained in the last 30 days with 28,000 casualties
■ Engagements and casualties remain below the 7-day average; snowfall in Kyiv
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/jdTG9Cc4eC0
Here are my comments on why Trump abandoned his maximalist demands about ownership of Greenland. From a military perspective, it's a fascinating example of how small states can use military force to deter great powers from aggression.
Nobody in America is safe. If Trump’s secret police force will execute a government employed VA nurse on camera for us all to see and then lie about it, then they won’t hesitate to kill you next and lie about you.
This is fascism. They are Nazis.
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — JAN 24, 2026 (1/2)
■ Engagements and casualties below the 7-day average; no area change confirmed
■ Equipment losses also below average, with drone losses close to it
■ ...
📈 See dashboard for full data:
lookerstudio.google.com/s/pqEP9fSuAgE
Up to 414,000 Russians killed since February 2022 - The Russia-Ukraine War Situation Report, day 1,429
Today’s full Russia-Ukraine War SITREP No. 975, for 21-22 January 2026, is 75 pages long and is a full report.
malcontentnews.substack.com/p/up-to-4140...
And you do a fantastic work dear Ragnar
🧵⤵️👌👌The most impressive thing is your consistency. I admire you, my friend.
“We are taking the sign out of the window. The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy. But from the fracture, we can build something better, stronger, and more just. This is the task of the middle powers.”
globalnews.ca/news/1162087...
Very good piece here from @anneapplebaum.bsky.social. Hard to disagree with her conclusion: "Years of careful diplomacy, billions of dollars in trade, are now at risk because senators and representatives who know better have refused to use the powers they have to block him. Now is the time." 👇
