Joe Glauber

I wrote a short piece about the negative US ag trade balance. www.aei.org/research-pro...

As ceasefire negotiations continue, what’s at stake for Ukraine’s agriculture sector, Russia’s agriculture sector, and global food security?

@foodwater.csis.org experts Caitlin Welsh, Emma Dodd, and @jwglauber.bsky.social explain: www.csis.org/analysis/cea...

www.aei.org/research-pro...

#NowReading Impact of proposed U.S. tariffs on agricultural trade flows in the Western Hemisphere

🖊️ By @jwglauber.bsky.social, @vpineiro.bsky.social , and Juan Pablo Gianatiempo.

🔗Read the #blog here: on.cgiar.org/3DiILqo

@cgiar.org

How U.S. tariffs might impact countries of Latin America and the Caribbean The possible return of trade wars.

www.ifpri.org/blog/how-us-...

And another one: www.aei.org/research-pro...

How Trump tariffs might impact countries of Latin America and the Caribbean The possible return of trade wars.

www.ifpri.org/blog/how-tru...

China has made some adjustments to administered prices since losing the WTO case,. Most of those stock levels were built in the late 2000s and early 2010s and they have come down some over the past few years.

China has large stocks, but India rice really stands out re exports.
www.datawrapper.de/_/0lxBu/?v=3

2/ Its the comparison with countries of similar income levels where it gets dicey without knowing more about what their total food expenditures look like.

Sure. I am not arguing that the US doesn't spend a smaller share of total household expenditures than most of the countries on the chart--most are far poorer than the US and would be expected to be spending a larger share of income on food.

Big issue--this only includes food expenditures at home. 56% of US food expenditures are for food away from home. These are not included in the chart. Unfortunately, comparable data for other countries oftentimes don't exist so you can't easily compare the two.

Plus the added bonus of the smell of mimeo ink.

Excited to be part of this @aei seminar on trade policy w/ @DarciVetter Gregg Dodd, Sharon Bomer-Lauritsen and Craig Thorn. www.aei.org/events/us-in... Today @ 1pm ET

On Jan 29 (1:00-3:00pm ET) please join me and an excellent panel for what should be a great discussion on US trade policy and agriculture. www.aei.org/events/us-in...

From my IFPRI colleague Rob Vos: www.ifpri.org/blog/populat...

A quick (unofficial!) look at recent OTDS numbers gives some insight into the impasse. India almost 10% OVER proposed cap. As pointed out in previous post, US would have been over in 2019/20 and 2020/21 but under in 2021/22 (shown here). www.datawrapper.de/_/vzcvz/

www.ifpri.org/blog/d%C3%A9...

Under the Cairns proposal, the cap on overall trade distorting support for the United States would be a hefty USD 31.183 billion., but the US would have exceeded this cap in 2019 and 2020 (due to record COVID and trade war payments). www.datawrapper.de/_/Mdd61/