Chad P. Bown

COMING APRIL 2026

How to Win a Trade War Two top trade experts with popular economics podcasts argue for a new way of operating between the biggest economic powers in the world.We used to ...

Simon & Schuster are publishing in the United States...

SCOOP: We have figured it out!

@soumayakeynes.ft.com and I are getting the Trade Talks team back together - not to podcast, but to write a book explaining

HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR

Look for it at your local bookstore in April 2026, or pre-order it here or wherever you get yours

a.co/d/d4qPo3p

Trump says he'll double steel tariff to 50 percent The president spoke in Pennsylvania Friday evening at a U.S. Steel facility.

Donald Trump said on Friday that he is doubling his steel tariff on steel to 50 percent, from 25 percent currently, to prevent billions of dollars worth of foreign steel from continuing to enter the United States.

by Doug Palmer
www.politico.com/news/2025/05...

Trump Tariffs Ruled Illegal by Federal Judicial Panel

U.S. Court of International Trade said the president had overstepped his authority under the federal emergency powers law he invoked.

by Tony Romm & @anaswanson.bsky.social

Donald Trump orders US chip software suppliers to stop selling to China Move by Washington is latest effort to stymie geopolitical rival’s technological advance

NEW EXPORT CONTROLS?

US reportedly orders EDA companies to stop selling semiconductor design software to China.

How export restrictions threaten economic security Fear that a foreign government will impose export restrictions that imperil another country's economic and national security has driven part of the recent turn to industrial policy and the increased u...

MY LATEST: Fear that a foreign export restriction will imperil economic security has driven part of the recent turn to tariffs.

How even modest cooperation between like-minded countries over trade/industrial policy now requires that they also commit not to use export restrictions on each other.

UK closes in on US trade pact with lower tariff quotas for cars and steel London to offer concessions on digital services tax in deal that could be agreed this week

UK and US are reportedly close to a limited trade pact that cushions the impact of Trump’s “liberation day” tariffs by granting lower-tariff quotas for British car and steel exports, according to officials in London and Washington.

by @aimewilliams.bsky.social et al

Tariffs, tariffs, tariffs According to US president Donald J. Trump, "tariff" is the most beautiful word in the dictionary. Since he entered office, he has imposed a vast number of tariffs globally. He first imposed a global t...

Tariffs, tariffs, tariffs www.piie.com/events/2025/...
With @chadpbown.com and @aranchagonzalez.bsky.social

i think TARIFF might mean something different here in Glasgow

a huge honor to be invited to Glasgow for the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy conference

they don’t like tariffs

Exclusive | Ford Halts Shipments of F-150s and Other Models to China Retaliatory tariffs have raised Chinese duties on vehicle imports from the U.S. to 150%.

Ford stops exporting pickup trucks, SUVs and sports cars to China because of retaliatory tariffs, the latest effect on the auto sector from the Trump’s escalating trade war.

by Mike Colias

in retrospect, i guess that is *OPPOSITE* of bucket list then

US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart

which i think just means Statista charges people for a chart they could get for free from our website at PIIE?

and note Statista has not asked if they can post this chart or charge for it.

hmmmm

so maybe go to the PIIE website and get the free version?

www.piie.com/research/pii...

Share of China and U.S. trade affected by punitive tariffs 2025 | Statista In April 2025, 100 percent of China's exports to the United States were affected by the U.S.

BUCKET LIST!!!

have become a Statista chart

Focus, for a moment, on all of the goods that remain hit by Trump's massive new tariff barrage.

Excellent explainer and data viz from @nassosstylianou.bsky.social et al

Clarification of Exceptions Under Executive Order 14257 of April 2, 2025, as Amended MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE THE SECRETARY OF HOMELAND SECURITY THE UNITED STATES TRADE

The Presidential Memorandum exempting smartphones — errr, things that have semiconductors in them — from some of Trump’s tariffs is now available

In historical terms, today’s exemptions do mirror Trump’s exceptions for smartphones and consumer electronics during the Trump 1.0 tariff barrage of 2018-19…

Trump excludes smartphones from reciprocal tariffs after market rout Exemption is first sign of softening of levies against China and provides a huge boost for Apple

Some big exemptions to Trump's reciprocal tariffs here, notably on consumer goods like smartphones, laptops, earphones etc. Big win for US tech, esp Apple. www.ft.com/content/3eb4...

Trump excludes smartphones from reciprocal tariffs Tech including routers and selected computers get reprieve after a week of turbulence in US markets

Trump reportedly has now decided to also exclude smartphones from the steep tariffs he first announced April 2. (Details on implementation TBD)

by @aimewilliams.bsky.social et al

TARIFF CHART UPDATE (Apr 11 edition):

- Chinese average tariffs on imports from US are now 147.6% (Jan 20, 2025: 21.2%)

(China announced 125% matching tariffs overnight)

just like President Trump's tariffs, would like to announce that i too am on pause for the next 90 days

can confirm. US average tariff on China of 134.7 percent is still a "really, really high tariff"

Source: www.piie.com/research/pii...

Trump's trade war timeline 2.0: An up-to-date guide President Donald Trump has started his second term in office with momentous plans to change US trade policy to achieve various economic and nontrade related aims. Below is a timeline that tracks the d...

The White House 145 percent number also does not account for the average US tariff on China also increasing because of the Trump 2.0 tariffs imposed on steel/aluminum/derivatives (Mar 12) and automobiles (Apr 3) also affected imports from China.

www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

The 113.9 percentage point tariff increase here DIFFERS from the 145 percent mentioned by the White House because the latter does not account for numerous factors, including the April 5, 9, and 10 tariff increases did not apply to all imports from China. bsky.app/profile/mega...

US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart

TARIFF UPDATE (Apr 10 edition):

- US average tariffs on imports from China are 134.7% (Jan 20, 2025: 20.8%)

- Chinese average tariffs on imports from US are 106.6% (Jan 20, 205: 21.2%)

NOTE: US average tariffs on imports from rest of world are now up to 10.5% (Jan 20, 2025: 3.0%)

Modifying Reciprocal Tariff Rates to Reflect Trading Partner Retaliation and Alignment By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, including the International Emergency

Here is Trump Executive Order PAUSING tariffs on trade surplus countries & RAISING trade surplus tariffs on China to 125% (from 84%)

Note:
- US-China tariff chart to be updated soon
- Yesterday's crazy high tariffs on rest of world were only suspended on Apr 10 - ie, were in effect for 24 hours!!!

with a h/t to @simonlester.com

CBP has received an EO!

Source: content.govdelivery.com/bulletins/gd...

Absolutely piercing insights from this guy:

Source: www.ft.com/content/e5ba...