@338canada.bsky.social
Editor-in-Chief 338Canada丨Rédacteur en chef Qc125丨Chroniqueur @ L'actualité, The Walrus & Politico Canada丨Co-host The Numbers podcast丨Prof astronomy & astrophysics丨Occasional cat pictures🤍丨📍Montréal
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:
🔴LPC 46%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 5%
🟢GPC 5%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20260306-nan...
[Nanos Research, Feb.13-March 6, 2026, n=1,023]
#canpoli
📊B.C. provincial voting intentions from Innovative Research:
🔵CPBC 47%
🟠NDP 39%
🟢GPBC 10%
→ 338canada.com/bc/20260220-...
[Innovative Research, Feb.6-Mar.3, 2026, n=991]
#BCpoli
🎧Nouvel épisode du balado Les chiffres : la CAQ en déroute, malgré la course à la chefferie
📊 @ericgrenier.bsky.social et moi décortiquons les derniers sondages au Québec ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/les-chiffr...
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 30%
🟠NDP 9%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟣PPC 4%
🟢GPC 3%
→ 338canada.com/20260301-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, Feb.23-March 7, 2026, n=1,000]
#canpoli
📊Léger: Approval of federal government hits >50% in every polling region.
🍁338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
338Canada🍁federal update | March 8, 2026
🔴LPC 201
--------------------majority: 172 seats
🔵CPC 112
⚜️BQ 25
🟠NDP 4
🟢GPC 1
Details here → 338canada.com/federal.htm
Find your riding here → 338canada.com/districts.htm
338Canada🍁federal update | March 8, 2026
🔴LPC 201
---------------majority : 172 seats
🔵CPC 112
⚜️BQ 25
🟠NDP 4
🟢GPC 1
www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
📊New polls point to growing Liberal momentum and rising government approval — even as voters show little appetite for an early election.
🍁338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
⚜️Un PQ fort chez les francophones… mais pas à l’abri d’un scénario minoritaire
📊Ma chronique pour l'infolettre Qc125 ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/un-pq-fort...
The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre go abroad in search of wins
www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRkK...
📊Alberta provincial voting intentions from Abacus Data:
🔵UCP 49%
🟠NDP 36%
🔴ALP 9%
🟢GRN 2%
🟣PT 2%
→ 338canada.com/alberta/2026...
[Abacus Data, February 20-25, 2026, n=1,000]
#ABpoli
📊Abacus Data: Canadians Give Carney a Passing Grade on Trump
🍁The latest from @canadianpolling.bsky.social for the 338 newsletter ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/abacus-dat...
📊Leaders globetrotting, widening LPC lead, new polls out of B.C., Alberta & Quebec... Plenty to discuss in this new episode of The Numbers !
🎧Carney, Poilievre Go Abroad in Search of Wins ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/carney-poi...
Mise à jour Qc125 | 5 mars 2026
⚜️PQ 63 -------- majorité : 63 sièges
🔴PLQ 45
⚫️PCQ 11
🟠QS 6
🔵CAQ 0
lactualite.com/non-classe/r...
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:
🔴LPC 49%
🔵CPC 35%
⚜️BQ 5% (25% in QC)
🟠NDP 5%
🟢GPC 3%
→ 338canada.com/20260301-leg...
[Léger, Feb.27-March 2, 2026, n=1,627]
#canpoli
📉After Years in Power, Quebec’s Struggling CAQ Seeks a Way Forward
My latest for @thewalrus.ca ↓ thewalrus.ca/quebecs-gove...
📊Si le PQ demeure en tête des intentions de vote au Québec, il voit maintenant son rival historique apparaître dans son rétroviseur.
⚜️Sondage Léger : le PLQ grimpe, la CAQ au plancher
www.qc125.ca/p/sondage-le...
Léger : « Si un référendum avait lieu sur la souveraineté du Québec, voteriez-vous POUR ou CONTRE la souveraineté du Québec ? »
🔴65% Contre
🔵26% Pour
qc125.com/20260301-leg...
📊Intentions de vote au Québec, sondage Léger:
⚜️PQ 31% (-1)
🔴PLQ 30% (+4)
⚫️PCQ 15% (+1)
🔵CAQ 13% (-4)
🟠QS 9% (+2)
→ qc125.com/20260301-leg...
[Léger, 27-février-2 mars 2026, n = 1 041]
#polQC
❄️Winter bump? Rolling trackers from Nanos and Liaison now mirror online firms, reinforcing a broader consensus in favour of the Liberals.
📊My latest → www.338canada.ca/p/polls-alig...
📊Latest polls Align on Wider LPC Lead
🔴LPC +6, Abacus Data
🔴LPC +7, Innovative
🔴LPC +9, Léger
🔴LPC +10, Liaison
🔴LPC +11, Nanos
🔴LPC +13, Angus Reid
🔴LPC +13, Research Co.
🔴LPC +15, Mainstreet
🍁My latest for the 338 newsletter ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/polls-alig...
📊Preferred PM tracker, Nanos Research (Feb.6-27, 2026):
🔴56% Mark Carney (+2)
🔵22% Pierre Poilievre (-3)
(Comparison with previous 4-week wave)
338canada.com/20260227-nan...
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 11%
⚜️BQ 5%
🟢GPC 5%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20260227-nan...
[Nanos Research, February 6-27, 2026, n=1,015]
#canpoli
📊B.C. provincial voting intentions from @pallasdata.bsky.social :
🟠NDP 42%
🔵CPBC 40%
🟢GPBC 11%
🟡ONE 5%
→ 338canada.com/bc/20260226-...
[Pallas Data, February 25-27, 2026, n=1,256]
#BCpoli
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:
🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 9%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟢GPC 3%
🟣PPC 2%
→ 338canada.com/20260222-lia...
[Liaison Strategies, February 16-28, 2026, n=1,000]
#canpoli
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Abacus Data:
🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 38%
🟠NDP 7%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟢GPC 3%
🟣PPC 1%
→ 338canada.com/20260221-aba...
[Abacus Data, February 18-23, 2026, n=1,500]
#canpoli
338Canada🍁federal update | March 1, 2026
🔴LPC 190
----------------majority: 172 seats
🔵CPC 120
⚜️BQ 26
🟠NDP 6
🟢GPC 1
Details here → 338canada.com/federal.htm
Find your riding here → 338canada.com/districts.htm
338Canada🍁federal update | March 1, 2026
🔴LPC 190
---------------majority : 172 seats
🔵CPC 120
⚜️BQ 26
🟠NDP 6
🟢GPC 1
Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? 338 Sunday update ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
📊Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? Fresh polls point to widening gaps in leader ratings and vote intention.
🍁338 Sunday Update: Leader Effect? ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
📊Mise à jour Qc125 | 27 février 2026
⚜️PQ 66
------------majorité : 63 sièges
🔴PLQ 43
⚫️PCQ 10
🟠QS 6
🔵CAQ 0
www.qc125.ca/p/mise-a-jou...