Philippe J. Fournier

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, March 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:

🔴LPC 46%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 10%
⚜️BQ 5%
🟢GPC 5%
🟣PPC 1%

→ 338canada.com/20260306-nan...

[Nanos Research, Feb.13-March 6, 2026, n=1,023]

#canpoli

338Canada British Columbia | Innovative Research poll, February 2026

📊B.C. provincial voting intentions from Innovative Research:

🔵CPBC 47%
🟠NDP 39%
🟢GPBC 10%

→ 338canada.com/bc/20260220-...

[Innovative Research, Feb.6-Mar.3, 2026, n=991]

#BCpoli

Les chiffres : la CAQ en déroute, malgré la course à la chefferie Le PQ est toujours favori, mais il pourrait glisser en territoire minoritaire...

🎧Nouvel épisode du balado Les chiffres : la CAQ en déroute, malgré la course à la chefferie

📊 @ericgrenier.bsky.social et moi décortiquons les derniers sondages au Québec ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/les-chiffr...

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, March 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 30%
🟠NDP 9%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟣PPC 4%
🟢GPC 3%

→ 338canada.com/20260301-lia...

[Liaison Strategies, Feb.23-March 7, 2026, n=1,000]

#canpoli

📊Léger: Approval of federal government hits >50% in every polling region.

🍁338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

338Canada🍁federal update | March 8, 2026

🔴LPC 201
--------------------majority: 172 seats
🔵CPC 112
⚜️BQ 25
🟠NDP 4
🟢GPC 1

Details here → 338canada.com/federal.htm

Find your riding here → 338canada.com/districts.htm

338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals New polls from Léger, Nanos, Liaison, Ipsos, and Abacus Data point to growing Liberal momentum and rising government approval — even as voters show little appetite for an early election.

338Canada🍁federal update | March 8, 2026

🔴LPC 201
---------------majority : 172 seats
🔵CPC 112
⚜️BQ 25
🟠NDP 4
🟢GPC 1

www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals New polls from Léger, Nanos, Liaison, Ipsos, and Abacus Data point to growing Liberal momentum and rising government approval — even as voters show little appetite for an early election.

📊New polls point to growing Liberal momentum and rising government approval — even as voters show little appetite for an early election.

🍁338 Sunday Update: Major Winter Surge for the Liberals ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

Un PQ fort chez les francophones… mais pas à l’abri d’un scénario minoritaire Malgré une avance de 20 points du PQ auprès de la majorité francophone, la fragmentation du vote pourrait produire des résultats serrés et inattendus.

⚜️Un PQ fort chez les francophones… mais pas à l’abri d’un scénario minoritaire

📊Ma chronique pour l'infolettre Qc125 ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/un-pq-fort...

YouTube video by Éric Grenier The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre go abroad in search of wins

The Numbers: Carney, Poilievre go abroad in search of wins

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRkK...

338Canada Alberta | Abacus Data poll, February 2026

📊Alberta provincial voting intentions from Abacus Data:

🔵UCP 49%
🟠NDP 36%
🔴ALP 9%
🟢GRN 2%
🟣PT 2%

→ 338canada.com/alberta/2026...

[Abacus Data, February 20-25, 2026, n=1,000]

#ABpoli

Abacus Data: Canadians Give Carney a Passing Grade on Trump Fresh polling finds plurality approval for the Prime Minister’s handling of Canada–U.S. relations — but stark partisan divides remain.

📊Abacus Data: Canadians Give Carney a Passing Grade on Trump

🍁The latest from @canadianpolling.bsky.social for the 338 newsletter ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/abacus-dat...

Carney, Poilievre Go Abroad in Search of Wins Globetrotting is suddenly all the rage.

📊Leaders globetrotting, widening LPC lead, new polls out of B.C., Alberta & Quebec... Plenty to discuss in this new episode of The Numbers !

🎧Carney, Poilievre Go Abroad in Search of Wins ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/carney-poi...

Rien n’est joué pour le Parti québécois Si le parti de Paul St-Pierre Plamondon reste favori en vue des prochaines élections provinciales, la course est en train de se corser sérieusement, montre une nouvelle projection Qc125.

Mise à jour Qc125 | 5 mars 2026

⚜️PQ 63 -------- majorité : 63 sièges
🔴PLQ 45
⚫️PCQ 11
🟠QS 6
🔵CAQ 0

lactualite.com/non-classe/r...

338Canada | Leger federal poll, March 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Léger:

🔴LPC 49%
🔵CPC 35%
⚜️BQ 5% (25% in QC)
🟠NDP 5%
🟢GPC 3%

→ 338canada.com/20260301-leg...

[Léger, Feb.27-March 2, 2026, n=1,627]

#canpoli

After Years in Power, Quebec’s Struggling CAQ Seeks a Way Forward | The Walrus Christine Fréchette and Bernard Drainville offer rival visions for rebuilding the party

📉After Years in Power, Quebec’s Struggling CAQ Seeks a Way Forward

My latest for @thewalrus.ca ↓ thewalrus.ca/quebecs-gove...

Sondage Léger : le PLQ grimpe, la CAQ au plancher Si le PQ demeure en tête des intentions de vote au Québec, il voit maintenant son rival historique apparaître dans son rétroviseur.

📊Si le PQ demeure en tête des intentions de vote au Québec, il voit maintenant son rival historique apparaître dans son rétroviseur.

⚜️Sondage Léger : le PLQ grimpe, la CAQ au plancher

www.qc125.ca/p/sondage-le...

Qc125 Québec | Sondage souveraineté Léger, mars 2026

Léger : « Si un référendum avait lieu sur la souveraineté du Québec, voteriez-vous POUR ou CONTRE la souveraineté du Québec ? »

🔴65% Contre
🔵26% Pour

qc125.com/20260301-leg...

Qc125 Québec | Sondage Léger, mars 2026

📊Intentions de vote au Québec, sondage Léger:

⚜️PQ 31% (-1)
🔴PLQ 30% (+4)
⚫️PCQ 15% (+1)
🔵CAQ 13% (-4)
🟠QS 9% (+2)

→ qc125.com/20260301-leg...

[Léger, 27-février-2 mars 2026, n = 1 041]

#polQC

❄️Winter bump? Rolling trackers from Nanos and Liaison now mirror online firms, reinforcing a broader consensus in favour of the Liberals.

📊My latest → www.338canada.ca/p/polls-alig...

Polls Align on Wider LPC Lead Winter bump? Rolling trackers from Nanos and Liaison now mirror online firms, reinforcing a broader consensus in favour of the Liberals.

📊Latest polls Align on Wider LPC Lead

🔴LPC +6, Abacus Data
🔴LPC +7, Innovative
🔴LPC +9, Léger
🔴LPC +10, Liaison
🔴LPC +11, Nanos
🔴LPC +13, Angus Reid
🔴LPC +13, Research Co.
🔴LPC +15, Mainstreet

🍁My latest for the 338 newsletter ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/polls-alig...

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, February 2026

📊Preferred PM tracker, Nanos Research (Feb.6-27, 2026):

🔴56% Mark Carney (+2)
🔵22% Pierre Poilievre (-3)

(Comparison with previous 4-week wave)

338canada.com/20260227-nan...

338Canada | Nanos Research federal poll, February 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 11%
⚜️BQ 5%
🟢GPC 5%
🟣PPC 1%

→ 338canada.com/20260227-nan...

[Nanos Research, February 6-27, 2026, n=1,015]

#canpoli

338Canada British Columbia | Pallas Data poll, February 2026

📊B.C. provincial voting intentions from @pallasdata.bsky.social :

🟠NDP 42%
🔵CPBC 40%
🟢GPBC 11%
🟡ONE 5%

→ 338canada.com/bc/20260226-...

[Pallas Data, February 25-27, 2026, n=1,256]

#BCpoli

338Canada | Liaison Strategies federal poll, February 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:

🔴LPC 43%
🔵CPC 33%
🟠NDP 9%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟢GPC 3%
🟣PPC 2%

→ 338canada.com/20260222-lia...

[Liaison Strategies, February 16-28, 2026, n=1,000]

#canpoli

338Canada | Abacus Data federal poll, February 2026

📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Abacus Data:

🔴LPC 44%
🔵CPC 38%
🟠NDP 7%
⚜️BQ 6% (28% in QC)
🟢GPC 3%
🟣PPC 1%

→ 338canada.com/20260221-aba...

[Abacus Data, February 18-23, 2026, n=1,500]

#canpoli

338Canada🍁federal update | March 1, 2026

🔴LPC 190
----------------majority: 172 seats
🔵CPC 120
⚜️BQ 26
🟠NDP 6
🟢GPC 1

Details here → 338canada.com/federal.htm

Find your riding here → 338canada.com/districts.htm

338 Sunday Update: Leader Effect? Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? Fresh polls point to widening gaps in leader ratings and vote intention.

338Canada🍁federal update | March 1, 2026

🔴LPC 190
---------------majority : 172 seats
🔵CPC 120
⚜️BQ 26
🟠NDP 6
🟢GPC 1

Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? 338 Sunday update ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

338 Sunday Update: Leader Effect? Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? Fresh polls point to widening gaps in leader ratings and vote intention.

📊Are Pierre Poilievre’s weakening numbers pulling Conservative support down? Fresh polls point to widening gaps in leader ratings and vote intention.

🍁338 Sunday Update: Leader Effect? ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...

Mise à jour Qc125 : L’écart se resserre, le PQ demeure favori La dernière mise à jour de la projection montre toutefois qu’un scénario de gouvernement minoritaire devient désormais plausible.

📊Mise à jour Qc125 | 27 février 2026

⚜️PQ 66
------------majorité : 63 sièges
🔴PLQ 43
⚫️PCQ 10
🟠QS 6
🔵CAQ 0

www.qc125.ca/p/mise-a-jou...