OSINT Intuit™

OSINT Intuit™

@urikikaski.bsky.social

Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of geopolitical events. Providing timely context before the narrative war begins.

8,212 Followers 3 Following 7,694 Posts Joined Nov 2024
4 hours ago
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Corrugated "Flat Stanley" Ayatollah...

#OSINT #Iran #EpicFury

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4 hours ago

The IRGC’s plan to prop up Ali Khomeini’s legacy is now… literally working.

#OSINT #Iran #EpicFury
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4 hours ago
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🔍 𝗪𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗷𝘁𝗮𝗯𝗮?

Days after being installed as Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba still has not appeared in public.

Instead, regime loyalists are pledging allegiance to a corrugated “Flat Stanley” Supreme Leader.
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4 hours ago
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Ukrainian-style Sanctions...

Results of a Ukrainian strike earlier today on the Tikhoretsk-Nafta LLC oil storage and transfer depot in Tikhoretsk, Krasnodar Krai, Russia.

#OSINT #Ukraine #Russia

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5 hours ago
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Iranian Shahed-136 strike on an oil storage depot in Salalah, Oman.

#OSINT #EpicFury #Iran

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5 hours ago

Footage shows fires roughly 5 nautical miles south of Basra.

#OSINT #EpicFury #Iran
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5 hours ago

ZEFYROS (IMO: 9515917), Malta flagged, 50,000 dwt, Greek owned, was alongside during the transfer and was also set ablaze. The crew evacuated.

Iraqi authorities confirmed both vessels were involved in oil or condensate transfer operations.
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5 hours ago

SAFESEA VISHNU (IMO: 9327009), Marshall Islands flagged, 74,000 dwt, U.S.-owned by Safesea Transport Inc., caught fire during a ship-to-ship transfer. At least one Indian crew member was killed and 15 others were evacuated safely.
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5 hours ago
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🔥𝗧𝗮𝗻𝗸𝗲𝗿 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲𝘀 𝗡𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗿𝗮

Two oil tankers loading Iraqi products were struck last night (March 11) near Basra in Iraqi waters by explosive-laden boats attributed to Iran, likely USVs, although Iranian sources claim they were underwater drones.
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6 hours ago

Neutralizing that machinery does not impose regime change from the outside. It removes the guns that prevent Iranians from reclaiming their own country.

#OSINT #Iran #EpicFury
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6 hours ago

Both Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump have recently spoken about the Iranian people getting their country back.

Striking the regime’s internal repression apparatus removes the forces the Iranian people cannot defeat on their own.
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6 hours ago

Iranian reporting and eyewitness accounts say the strike killed multiple personnel. Another checkpoint near Valiasr Square was also hit.

Video circulating online shows drone strikes on Basij checkpoints across several Tehran districts, including 1, 14, 15, and 16.
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6 hours ago

The Basij exist for one purpose: to intimidate, beat, arrest, and kill Iranians who challenge the regime.

One checkpoint at the end of Artesh Highway was reportedly struck while Basij forces operated several Hilux vehicles with mounted DShK machine guns.
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6 hours ago

Now the campaign appears to be moving down the chain.

Reports from Tehran indicate that small Basij units themselves are being targeted at street checkpoints, not just their bases and offices.
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6 hours ago
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💥𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗼𝗿𝘀

The war in Iran has entered a new operational phase. It began with decapitation strikes on regime leadership, senior IRGC commanders, nuclear sites, missile forces, and command infrastructure designed to disrupt centralized control.
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6 hours ago

#OSINT #EpicFury #Iran

x.com/CENTCOM/status...
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6 hours ago

‼️ 𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗪𝗮𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝗔𝘃𝗼𝗶𝗱 𝗔𝗹𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘀

CENTCOM issued a warning for all civilians to evacuate commercial ports where IRGC has been conducting raids on commercial shipping. The underlying assumption is that the will be targeted for destruction.
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17 hours ago

Instead he forgot about something conspiracies rarely survive… the investigative analysis of 𝗢𝗦𝗜𝗡𝗧 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝘂𝗶𝘁™.

#HungaryElections #Orbán #Tisza #PéterMagyar
17/17

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17 hours ago

So the accusation now rests on a convoy that appears to be exactly what the paperwork says it is: a documented banking transfer between two regulated institutions.

Orbán may have intended the trucks to prove the conspiracy.
16/17

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17 hours ago

Tisza has been leading polls by double digits ahead of Hungary’s April 12 election while Orbán escalates attacks on the opposition and continues blocking EU measures supporting Ukraine.
15/17

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17 hours ago

By tying his accusation to this shipment, Orbán unintentionally narrowed the theory to a single transaction that can actually be audited.

And audits produce receipts.

Meanwhile the political timing is obvious.
14/17

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17 hours ago

It moves through shell companies, intermediaries, or digital channels designed to avoid traceability.

What Orbán is pointing to is the opposite of covert finance. It is one of the most documented transfer mechanisms in the European banking system.

And that is where the conspiracy collapses.
13/17

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17 hours ago

Hungarian authorities were informed ahead of time of the transfer route, and the vehicles were actively transmitting their GPS locations so they could be tracked by the banks and relevant law enforcement entities.

Covert money does not move that way.
12/17

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17 hours ago

If someone were secretly financing a political party in another EU country, registered armored trucks moving a declared interbank transfer across borders would be the worst method imaginable.

It produces the maximum possible paper trail.
11/17

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17 hours ago

Regulators, insurers, and both banks would all somehow miss tens of millions leaving the financial system.

That is not how regulated banking works.

There is another basic problem with the story.
10/17

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17 hours ago

For the money to secretly become campaign funding, the documented custody chain between two regulated banks and every institution involved in the transfer would have to break somewhere along the route.

The accounting trail would have to vanish. Compliance systems would have to fail.
9/17

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17 hours ago

They generate contracts, custody records, customs declarations, insurance documentation, and accounting entries on both sides of the transaction. Every stage leaves paperwork.

That is exactly why using this shipment as “proof” creates a problem for Orbán’s claim.
8/17

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17 hours ago

Authorities were informed. Both banks operate under EU financial regulation and anti-money-laundering compliance.

Transfers of that scale do not simply appear in armored trucks and disappear into politics.
7/17

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17 hours ago

What he forgot when planning his conspiracy is that the evidence he tried to create comes with receipts.

The shipment was part of a registered interbank transfer between Austria’s Raiffeisen Bank and Ukraine’s state-owned Oschadbank.

The movement of the funds was declared.
6/17

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17 hours ago

He could simply claim “Ukraine is secretly funding the opposition.” That kind of accusation can float indefinitely because it has no concrete evidentiary anchor.

But once he pointed to one identifiable shipment and said this is the proof, he changed the structure of the claim.
5/17

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