OSINT Intuit™

Oil well in the Samara Region, Russia.

"Boris, got a light?"

#OSINT

✊𝗞𝗻𝗼𝗰𝗸, 𝗞𝗻𝗼𝗰𝗸

A Ukrainian strike FPV drone waits in hiding outside of a Russian dugout until the occupant exits to recover his own surveillance UAV.

#OSINT

🚨𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗦𝗮𝗻𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲

Trump has extended for one year the national emergency underpinning U.S. sanctions on Russia tied to Ukraine, according to the Federal Register notice dated February 18, 2026, maintaining the full existing framework through March 6, 2027.

#OSINT

⚰️𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮'𝘀 𝗗𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗹𝗶𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗠𝗢𝗦

After Starlink access was cut off for Russian “grey” systems, the most dangerous job in the Russian military became the internet bridge installer.

#OSINT

Structured negotiation backed by credible military, political and economic pressure can also shift outcomes, provided it is not used to compel Kyiv to formalize Moscow’s objectives.

#OSINT
10/10

Talks conducted under asymmetrical pressure, particularly if sanctions relief precedes meaningful Russian concessions, risk validating the strategy European intelligence services have warned about.

Merz is correct that exhaustion alters outcomes. But exhaustion is not the only lever.
9/10

Such an approach would reward aggression, degrade deterrence, and signal that sustained force ultimately produces political recognition.

Negotiations can work, but only when anchored in leverage, deterrence, and the restoration of Ukrainian sovereignty as the baseline.
8/10

A process in which the United States pressures Ukraine to accept Russia’s territorial demands in exchange for temporary de-escalation is not diplomacy. It is structured capitulation.
7/10

Wars do not end through exhaustion alone, but when incentives change, and the relevant question is not whether negotiations occur, but under what framework and with what pressure they are conducted.
6/10

Absent meaningful pressure, there is little incentive for Moscow to treat negotiations as anything other than a mechanism to maintain its existing maximalist position.

Rejecting negotiations outright is not the only productive response.
5/10

In that environment, Russia has repeatedly used negotiations to consolidate battlefield gains, buy time, and test allied cohesion.
4/10

Negotiations conducted without sustained and effective political and economic pressure from the collective West, and without continued military support to Ukraine from the United States, do not constrain Moscow’s objectives.
3/10

Instead, he concluded that the war will only end when one side is exhausted, either militarily or economically. That assessment warrants serious consideration.
2/10

𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁, 𝗗𝗶𝗽𝗹𝗼𝗺𝗮𝗰𝘆 𝗦𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said at the Munich Security Conference on February 13, 2026, that there is “little chance” of a swift negotiated end to the Russian-Ukrainian war.

#OSINT
1/10

Former Prince Andrew arrested following Epstein files revelations Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office on Thursday, after weeks of scrutiny over his relationship with Epstein.

Breaking:

In this video of the drone-caused fire at the oil depot in Velikiye Luki (Pskov Oblast), Russia, Vietnamese workers can be seen evacuating the Velikoluksky meat processing plant which is about 300m (1,000 ft) north of it.

#OSINT

Better view of the anti-drone caging over the oil depot in Velikiye Luki (Pskov Oblast), Russia, which was struck by happy drones tonight.

#OSINT

‼️🔥🚒𝗜𝘁 𝗕𝘂𝗿𝗻𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗹

Multiple AFU UAVs struck an oil and fuel storage depot tonight in Velikiye Luki (Pskov Oblast), Russia, despite visible anti-drone caging over the facility.

#OSINT

Unlike prior drills, Iran has reportedly begun restricting passage through the strait, a critical global oil chokepoint.
2/2

‼️𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗖𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗯𝗹𝘆 𝗚𝗼 𝗪𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗴? 🇨🇳🇷🇺🇮🇷

Russia, China, and Iran will launch joint naval drills, “Maritime Security Belt-2026,” on February 19 in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran says the exercise reflects attention to rising regional tensions.

#OSINT
1/2

Lights out in Belgorod... again.

#OSINT

TG DniproOSINT has released sat imagery reportedly showing destruction of 2 Russian 9P78-1 Iskander TELs in Pisochne, TOT Crimea.

Crater size suggests missile strikes, not LR-FPVs (FP-1s).

Video attached.

#OSINT

Governor Gladkov also stated that the Moscow region has transferred 250 portable toilets to the frontline area, underscoring the strain on basic services.

Developing.

#OSINT #HIMARS
3/3

During the night, two series of strikes reportedly targeted Belgorod using U.S.-supplied HIMARS systems. Regional authorities acknowledge damage to energy infrastructure facilities.
2/3

🚀💥🥶🚽𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗲𝗹𝗴𝗼𝗿𝗼𝗱 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿, 𝗛𝗲𝗮𝘁, 𝗣𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗴

Reports indicate additional residents in Russia’s Belgorod region are being advised to evacuate as the energy and district heating situation continues to deteriorate.
1/3

The A.A. Shamara Ilsky Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai, Russia, remains on fire for a second day following AFU UAV strikes.

#OSINT

Video of the Ukrainian RGV/ARB “Ratel H” configured with four launch containers, each housing a single one-way strike FPV UAV, effectively functioning as a mobile loitering drone carrier.

#OSINT

A massive ongoing U.S. military airlift is still underway at 12:45 UTC. Seen in the clip are 19 KC-135R/T Stratotankers (some KC-46 Pegasus tankers not shown). They are almost certainly ferrying combat aircraft (F-35, F-16, F-18, F-22, B-52, B-1, B-2) towards Europe and the Middle East.

#OSINT

We need to solve and stop the war.”

#OSINT
10/10

▪️ Zelensky expressed concern that Russia’s change in negotiating leadership may signal an effort to reduce talks to optics or buy time on the battlefield.

▪️ He criticized Medinsky’s focus on historical narratives: “We don't have time for all this bullshit.
9/10