Tarik Abou-Chadi

As Democracy Volunteers are the source of the claim of "Family Voting" in the Gorton & Denton by election, I got curious about their claims and thanks to @joenoonan.bsky.social I came across this claim about "Family Voting" during the 2020 Irish General Election.

A brief 🧵

Yes, very much. Different record, equally broken.

Nominally serious media outlets produce so much nonsense about Danish politics. They are full of factual errors. “Denmark” in the political discourse of other countries has become a phantasm to justify their rightwing policy demands. It has very little to do with empirical reality in the country.

A narrative still dominates around authoritarian workers who do not like immigration. With woke progressives who are our of touch with society. A radical right that is successful because progressives went to far. This narrative supported by many in and around politics has fueled Labour‘s strategy.

I am glad that people realize that Labour‘s electoral strategy is wrong but am surprised by the “are they delusional? how do they keep doing that? what happened?” We haven been arguing against this strategy for years. But resistance was huge among politicians, media, and many in academia.

Doch bitte nicht einfach „Präventivschlag“ schreiben und sagen. Ist Wochenende und am Morgen, aber reißt euch doch bisschen zusammen bitte.

Good that some Labour politicians draw the right conclusions. I am a broken record on this but Labour is repeating the same mistakes that other social democratic parties made in Europe. Some fragmentation is unavoidable but this is mostly the result of the strategic mistake to abandon progressives.

Insulting his constituents, Matt Goodwin does the most Matt Goodwin thing. Blaming others for failing to see his brilliance. Academics first, now voters. This sentiment is driving his radicalisation. Maybe even people at Reform will realise that it‘s a very bad quality for a politician to have.

The UK wakes up to the reality of multi-party democracy. The reality of pretty much all other democracies in Europe. Let‘s see if British politics and media realize that they could actually learn something from other countries that goes beyond shallow narratives like the “Danish strategy”

Far-right authoritarian tactics to socially marginalize, intimidate, and disenfranchise a group. The oppression of one group signals to others you could be next. This goes far beyond bigotry. The authoritarian playbook enabled and empowered by anti-trans and anti-woke actors.

Dieses Heizungsgesetz ist vielleicht der erste Fall, in dem eine Bundesregierung nicht durch Nicht-Handeln, sondern durch bewusstes Handeln Klimaneutralität als Ziel faktisch aufgibt. Es wird noch etwas dauern, bis das unabweisbar wird, aber wir laufen damit absehbar in eine Verfassungskrise.

A couple of months ago, Clavicular was only known to a small dedicated share of people. Today, he is everywhere. It is possible to report on far-right subculture without platforming, sensationalizing voyeurism, and normalization. Yet, this is what our media environment creates over and over again.

Call for applications for a 3 years doctoral contract For the ERC GREENLOSS Project - Application deadline: May 17, 2026

📢 JOB ALERT! Fully funded 3-year PhD in Climate & Comparative Politics at @sciencespo-cee.bsky.social. Starting in September.
The project is on the political consequences of climate policies in carbon-intensive communities across Europe.
🗓 Deadline: May 17
www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

For me one of the biggest lessons from German history: people participate in fascist and totalitarian oppression not (only) because of pressure but out of conviction and pleasure. As Bertolt Brecht said: “Er hat Vorschläge gemacht. Wir haben sie angenommen.“

There is definitely variation in how much which issues matter for different RRPs. E.g. questions of regional independence for Vox. They also vary in how they have (successfully) politicized climate change. But nativism will always strongly matter esp. when kept salient by media and other parties.

Flutctuations in answers to MIP are huge. So this can definitely account for such a gap. There are also questions about how answers are coded. Categories are far from summing up to 100 and are quite vague.

🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF

doi.org/10.31235/osf...

We usually think that social identities precede preferences

We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences

Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹

Yes, but that is the case everywhere. So what we are capturing here is fluctuations in media attention. What we'd want for salience ideally is the effect of spatial distance on immigration on vote choice for a RRP. And I doubt that this is stronger in the UK than in other countries.

I think this is more a sign of the problems with the "most important problem" question than a valid empirical finding about differences in radical right support. Radical right supporters are obsessed with immigration everywhere.

Plattformen wurden von sozialen Netzwerken zu hochoptimierten Engagement-Systemen umgebaut. Das Problem liegt daher (logischerweise!) nicht im Prinzip sozialer Vernetzung selbst, sondern in der Transformation hin zu algorithmisch gesteuerten Aufmerksamkeitsmaschinen.

4/5

The Starmer/McSweeney strategy followed the illusion of needing to win back the nativist-authoritarian worker and in the process alienated those who form their actual electoral coalition. This has been the story of social democratic parties across Europe. This won’t be easily reversible.

YouTube video by YouTube Movies Black Eagles

Here on youtube even with english subtitles...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6Oc...

Schwarze Adler | bpb.de Fußballprofis aus mehreren Generationen sprechen über ihre Erfahrungen mit Rassismus im Fußball und in der deutschen Gesellschaft. Ergänzt um historisches Archivmaterial: Fußballszenen und Sportschau-...

I can also really recommend this documentary on black players and their history in German football (in German).

www.bpb.de/mediathek/vi...

Sorry for my ignorance, @casmudde.bsky.social @okwonga.bsky.social is Kompany the first black manager of a major European football team or where there others before him?

Some really important and impressive words from Kompany on racism in European football, it's history and a perspective on how powerless black players can be when they face racism. Also calling out Mourinho who is enabling and justifying racist abuse.

Weimar you say?

Mich würde schon interessieren was ein deutscher Botschafter und der ehemalige Chef des Kanzleramts bei einer Veranstaltung mit einem offenen Rassisten und Faschisten wie Curtis Yarvin machen. "Nie wieder ist jetzt" recht selektiv angewendet.

www.schloss-elmau.de/kultur/sympo...

Please have a long look in the mirror and ask yourself one question: how many reference letters do we really need?

This should also make it clear that simplified spatial thinking is inadequate to understand current multi-party competition. See e.g. Labour worst and Greens strongest against Reform. Yet, spatial thinking (e.g. you have to moderate to win elections) still dominates political analysis and strategy.