Laura Rozen

Opinion | War With Iran Is a Mistake We don’t know how likely it is that the attacks will be successful, nor what costs or risks they bring.

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com

“We Americans have begun another Middle Eastern war based on dubious intelligence claims, and as in 2003, I fear we haven’t thought through the substantial risks and uncertain gains,” our columnist @nickkristof.bsky.social writes.

Family and friends back home (Dubai) did not sleep a wink. Explosions are heard every 30min, and they’re no longer far off. Strikes seem random, too. Kids are having it worse. My niece woke up to the sounds and threw up.

Thinking of kids back home. In Iran, Gaza and Sudan. All of them precious.

No imminent threat: Experts dispute Trump admin claims for striking Iran Senior Trump administration officials briefing reporters hours after US and Israeli strikes began on Iran Saturday made a troublingly flimsy case for military action against Iran that lacked proof of ...

New: No imminent threat: Experts dispute Trump admin claims for attacking Iran

open.substack.com/pub/diplomat...

See where U.S., Israeli strikes have hit Iran and where Iran has retaliated Satellite images and videos reveal dozens of targets of strikes on Iran, including the Tehran compound of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iran has hit at least one U.S. base in the regi...

Breaking news: Satellite images and videos provide the first window into where U.S. and Israeli strikes have landed across Iran, revealing various government buildings and civilian areas.

Thx

probably overestimating things but the Anthropic move feels like a major flashpoint.

I think the administration is going to eat shit on this but if they don’t this will be a significant turning point towards a Bad Future.

Either the DOD is taking a softer stance with OpenAI (which seems hard to believe) or OpenAI is prepared to make more concessions here than it is acknowledging

thx!

yes. temper tantrum

This is the tiniest-dick energy I’ve ever fucking seen

Two thoughts:

1. If you don’t live in or haven’t visited SF in the last few years, I cannot underscore enough enough how big/prominent the AI sector has become to local economy.

2. The Anthropic/DOD battle has the *potential* to cause the greatest DC-Silicon Valley rift since the Snowden fallout.

anyone seen Secret Agent? Good?

U.S. mum after Iran talks in Geneva The United States has so far said little about the latest round of U.S./Iran talks held in Geneva today that the Omani mediator described as having achieved “significant progress,” and the Iranian for...

New: US so far mum after Iran talks in Geneva

open.substack.com/pub/diplomat...

ty, it is dreadful to sleepwalk into a war as Trump doing with pretty much no debate

If I hear another minute of US political news, am going to implode. the way Pentagon/House GOP leadership killed air safety ROTOR bill at eleventh hour extremely depressing.

Iran willing to make deal as soon as possible, negotiator says, as Trump’s nebulous aims questioned ‘The U.S. president is not threatening to attack Iran because of any imminent threat or in response to any act of Iranian aggression,” former U.S. negotiator Nate Swanson wrote.

New: Iran willing to make a deal as soon as possible, negotiator says, as Trump’s nebulous aims questioned

open.substack.com/pub/diplomat...

Volodymyr Zelenskyy urges Donald Trump to see through Russia’s ‘games’ [FREE TO READ] In an FT interview, Ukraine’s president says conflict at ‘beginning of the end’ because both sides need a ceasefire

On the eve of the 4th anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Volodymyr Zelenskyy told @financialtimes.com Russia and Ukraine are at the “beginning of the end” of Europe’s biggest war since WWII, but urged Trump to see through Putin’s negotiating “games”.

Free link: as.ft.com/r/9b99f21a-e...

One of the most exhausting things is the sheer lack of any normal reasoning for Trump's enormities.

Vance says Iran talks went well, but Iran not agreed to all Trump red lines “In some ways it went well…in other ways it was very clear that the President has set some red lines that the Iranians are not yet willing to actually acknowledge and work through,” VP Vance said.

New: Vance says Iran talks went well, but Iran not agreed to all Trump red lines

open.substack.com/pub/diplomat...

It's not a new observation at this point but that wild Noem/Lewandowski story in WSJ really brings home the extent to which all the Trump 2 cabinet-level goblins see their jobs as flying private, doing short-form video, and screaming at underlings. They all hate each other and none of them can read.

It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees. The government suggests — with minimal explanation and even less evidence — that doing so would result in "chaos." The Constitution does not permit the government to arrest thousands of individuals and then disregard their constitutional rights because it would be too challenging to honor those rights. 14 At this preliminary stage, Plaintiffs have made a clear showing of likelihood of success on their Fifth Amendment claim.

BREAKING: Judge Nancy Brasel, a Trump appointee, has issued a TRO in the Minnesota access-to-counsel case about treatment at Whipple.

"It appears that in planning for Operation Metro Surge, the government failed to plan for the constitutional rights of its civil detainees."

Trump signals interest in Iran deal Threat of imminent US military action recedes.

New: Trump signals preference for Iran deal. Threat of imminent US military strikes recedes.

open.substack.com/pub/diplomat...

About to become a Super Bowl widow and just finished book was reading (new Lily King novel, superb).

Toddler hospitalized with respiratory failure was returned to ICE detention and denied prescribed medication, lawsuit says The 18-month-old was sent back to a South Texas facility after days in intensive care with severe respiratory distress, according to a federal lawsuit.

www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...

(Latest season of stranger things?)

Think that is David Bowie coming out of 15yo’s room.

208. The Fifth Circuit Jumps the Immigration Detention Shark Late Friday, two of the nation's most right-wing circuit judges adopted an odious legal claim that district court judges from across the country (and ideological spectrum) have overwhelmingly rejected

“Late Friday night, the Fifth Circuit adopted the extreme minority view—that the government can indefinitely detain without bond millions of non-citizens who have been here for generations; who have never committed a crime; and who pose neither a risk of flight nor any threat to public safety.”

Judge denies DHS bid to rush removal of Liam Ramos and his family Kristen Stenvik, superintendent of the district where Liam goes to school, said the ruling provides both “additional time” and “continued uncertainty.”

Breaking MS NOW:

The Department of Homeland Security *unsuccessfully* sought to expedite deportation proceedings against the family of 5-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos, according to a local school official.

At an asylum hearing Friday, the family was granted a continuance.
www.ms.now/news/dhs-rep...

It's not hypocisy. She just fucking lies.