Daniel Thilo Schroeder's Avatar

Daniel Thilo Schroeder

@daniel-thilo.bsky.social

Computers, graphs, and conspiracies: I'm a computational social scientist modeling global disinformation and conspiracy dynamics. Working on digital twins of human societies. Website: https://danielthiloschroeder.org/ Google Scholar: bit.ly/40rkhnL

117 Followers  |  101 Following  |  31 Posts  |  Joined: 22.12.2024  |  1.7256

Latest posts by daniel-thilo.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Pentagon used Anthropic's Claude in the operation to capture Maduro? The operation included bombing targets in Caracas. Anthropic: "we cannot comment on whether Claude was used for any specific operation." The "safe AI" company hit the battlefield faster than it could update its terms of service?

14.02.2026 19:52 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
OSF

Cyborg propaganda =
Verified human accounts + AI-generated articulation + centralized coordination.

Not botnets.
Not traditional astroturfing.
A hybrid model that exploits the human-in-the-loop loophole.

We outline mechanisms, risks, and governance paths.

doi.org/10.31234/osf...

14.02.2026 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Experts warn of threat to democracy from β€˜AI bot swarms’ infesting social media Misinformation technology could be deployed at scale to disrupt 2028 US presidential election, AI researchers say

www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

10.02.2026 12:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My paper on the risks of influence operations, disinformation, and propaganda accepted for publication in the Journal for Intelligence, Propaganda, and Security Studies.

30.01.2026 13:31 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Democracy doesn’t require perfect truthβ€”but it does require something more fragile: independent voices. The β€œwisdom of crowds” depends on independence between judgments. If a single actor can speak through thousands of inauthentic accounts, the apparent consensus of the crowd stops being informative

27.01.2026 15:17 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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We have a new paper in Science today on how malicious AI swarms can threaten democracy.

AI systems can already coordinate autonomously, infiltrate communities, and fabricate social consensus.

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Led by @kunstjonas.bsky.social & @daniel-thilo.bsky.social!

22.01.2026 19:09 β€” πŸ‘ 198    πŸ” 122    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 19
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After years monitoring Twitter/X, I’ve gathered ~150 TB of research data on public discourse (Covid-19, Ukraine, George Floyd, etc.). X’s legal limits prevent sharing it with the scientific community. If you know lawful ways or partnerships to help us to make it research accessible, please reach out

08.12.2025 10:53 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
The future of universities: A Nature special report The world's universities are under intense pressure. Nature examines the threats they face and asks how the sector can and must adapt to survive.

www.nature.com/immersive/d4...

01.10.2025 19:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Teaching LLMs to Plan: Logical Chain-of-Thought Instruction Tuning for Symbolic Planning Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities across diverse tasks, yet their ability to perform structured symbolic planning remains limited, particularly in domains requirin...

This one is interesting.

Apparently, there is still room for improvement when it comes to symbolic planning/reasoning. arxiv.org/abs/2509.13351

24.09.2025 09:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Neural cellular automata: applications to biology and beyond classical AI Neural Cellular Automata (NCA) represent a powerful framework for modeling biological self-organization, extending classical rule-based systems with trainable, differentiable (or evolvable) update rul...

I read about those a while ago, but I think it might make sense to invest some time again.

Neural cellular automata are societies of tiny agents that preserve and repair global structure by propagating information locally.

arxiv.org/abs/2509.11131

21.09.2025 08:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We examined the role of social media in the amplification of violent, divisive discourse during Ethiopia’s Tigray conflict.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1...

And I proudly did not use any LLMs for this post.

20.09.2025 21:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Salon with Stephen Wolfram Γ— Joscha Bach_What if we had bigger brains.
YouTube video by California Institute for Machine Consciousness Salon with Stephen Wolfram Γ— Joscha Bach_What if we had bigger brains.

youtu.be/-G1SdsRXL7k

18.09.2025 06:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This book looks great! Can't wait to read.

(and thrilled to be a part of it. @nourkteily.bsky.social & I have a chapter on dehumanization you might be interested in!)

#PrejudiceResearch #PsychSciSky

Congrats to the Editors on curating such a strong list of chapters.

28.07.2025 16:31 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
OSF

New preprint: How Malicious AI Swarms Can Threaten Democracy πŸ§ͺ
osf.io/preprints/os...

20.06.2025 10:43 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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When AI Goes Rogue: From Blackmailing Bosses to Bot Swarms Remember that scene in 2001: A Space Odyssey where HAL refuses to open the pod bay doors? Well, turns out that was optimistic.

Our paper is featured in this article on rogue AI agents and bot swarms:
www.theneuron.ai/explainer-ar...

Discussion here: news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4433...

24.06.2025 10:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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🚨In PNAS🚨
The right often accuses fact-checkers of political bias
But we analyzed Community Notes on Musk's X and found posts flagged as "misleading" are 2.3x more likely to be written by Reps than Dems!
The issue is Reps sharing misinformation, not fact-checker bias...
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

17.06.2025 12:51 β€” πŸ‘ 350    πŸ” 131    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 12
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ALERTE : 19 chercheurs de trΓ¨s haut niveau alertent sur la menace que reprΓ©sentent pour les dΓ©mocraties les essaims d’IA malveillantes (Β« Ai Swarms Β»), qui peuvent se coordonner, Γ©chapper Γ  toute dΓ©tection, crΓ©er des informations convaincantes, et manipuler les Γ©lections. 1/3

03.06.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 26    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 3

Pre-print by @daniel-thilo.bsky.social et al. argues that the truth can be bent more quickly than it was in the past. I rarely go that far out on a limb, but in this case it is no longer a question of whether these scenarios will materialise. This is the world we live in and we need to prepare now.πŸ‘‡

03.06.2025 18:50 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for sharing Stefan!

03.06.2025 19:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for sharing!

03.06.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@baronca.bsky.social @nachristakis.bsky.social @dgarcia.eu arcia.eu @amit-goldenberg.bsky.social @yarakyrychenko.bsky.social @ninalutz.bsky.social @garymarcus.bsky.social @gordpennycook.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @summerfieldlab.bsky.social @audreyt.org @profsanderlinden.bsky.social

03.06.2025 18:33 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The combination of #artificialintelligence and #socialmedia poses a threat to democracy.

Our new paper explains how AI swarms can fabricate grassroots consensus, fragment shared reality, engage in mass harassment, interfer with elections, and erode institutional trust: osf.io/preprints/os...

03.06.2025 17:03 β€” πŸ‘ 109    πŸ” 59    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 4
Post image 13.05.2025 07:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I was looking forward to this Dagstuhl Seminar for quite some time. There is something to sitting somewhere in the middle of nowhere for a week and having discussions with a pile of very smart people.

24.04.2025 12:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

"OpenAI's o1 Playing Codenames"

AI is showing some skills in games like Codenames, but it struggles to really understand teamwork and strategy, which makes it less impressive.
Article | Discussion

26.01.2025 06:00 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Why The "Godfather of AI" Now Fears His Own Creation | Geoffrey Hinton
YouTube video by Curt Jaimungal Why The "Godfather of AI" Now Fears His Own Creation | Geoffrey Hinton

I am a big Goeffrey Hinton believer and only hope he's not right

www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_DU...

22.01.2025 07:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I agree with this. @hossenfelder.bsky.social

22.01.2025 07:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Screenshot of a paper in the International Journal of Press/Politics. Title: When Do Parties Lie? Misinformation and Radical-Right Populism Across 26 Countries. Authors: Petter TΓΆrnberg and Juliana Chueri. Abstract: The spread of misinformation has emerged as a global concern. Academic attention has recently shifted to emphasize the role of political elites as drivers of misinformation. Yet, little is known of the relationship between party politics and the spread of misinformationβ€”in part due to a dearth of cross-national empirical data needed for comparative study. This article examines which parties are more likely to spread misinformation, by drawing on a comprehensive database of 32M tweets from parliamentarians in 26 countries, spanning 6years and several election periods. The dataset is combined with external databases such as Parlgov and V-Dem, linking the spread of misinformation to detailed information about political parties and cabinets, thus enabling a comparative politics approach to misinformation. Using multilevel analysis with random country intercepts, we find that radical-right populism is the strongest determinant for the propensity to spread misinformation. Populism, left- wing populism, and right-wing politics are not linked to the spread of misinformation. These results suggest that political misinformation should be understood as part and parcel of the current wave of radical right populism, and its opposition to liberal democratic institution.

Screenshot of a paper in the International Journal of Press/Politics. Title: When Do Parties Lie? Misinformation and Radical-Right Populism Across 26 Countries. Authors: Petter TΓΆrnberg and Juliana Chueri. Abstract: The spread of misinformation has emerged as a global concern. Academic attention has recently shifted to emphasize the role of political elites as drivers of misinformation. Yet, little is known of the relationship between party politics and the spread of misinformationβ€”in part due to a dearth of cross-national empirical data needed for comparative study. This article examines which parties are more likely to spread misinformation, by drawing on a comprehensive database of 32M tweets from parliamentarians in 26 countries, spanning 6years and several election periods. The dataset is combined with external databases such as Parlgov and V-Dem, linking the spread of misinformation to detailed information about political parties and cabinets, thus enabling a comparative politics approach to misinformation. Using multilevel analysis with random country intercepts, we find that radical-right populism is the strongest determinant for the propensity to spread misinformation. Populism, left- wing populism, and right-wing politics are not linked to the spread of misinformation. These results suggest that political misinformation should be understood as part and parcel of the current wave of radical right populism, and its opposition to liberal democratic institution.

This multi-year, multi-country analysis shows that right-wing populist politicians spread more online misinfo than their mainstream counterparts and explains how β€œthe rise of political misinformation is associated to the recent wave of radical-right populism.”

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

20.01.2025 18:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1730    πŸ” 649    πŸ’¬ 37    πŸ“Œ 38

Something I add to my when-I-am-retired-and-live-in-a-summer-house-in-italy-reading-list reading list.

~250 pages about LLMs FOR FREE!

arxiv.org/pdf/2501.09223

20.01.2025 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Unsere Webseite zur Bundestagswahl ist online! Hier findet ihr unsere Telegram-Datenbank-Dashboards sowie laufende Analysen zu Desinformationskampagnen und rechtsextremen Einflussnahmen.

20.01.2025 11:14 β€” πŸ‘ 84    πŸ” 45    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

@daniel-thilo is following 20 prominent accounts