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Spencer Murch

@spencermurch.bsky.social

Cognitive psychologist focused on addictive digital products. Postdoc @ UCalgary Sessional @ UBC-O Formerly @ Concordia + UBC-V SpencerMurch.com

160 Followers  |  631 Following  |  32 Posts  |  Joined: 23.11.2024  |  2.2345

Latest posts by spencermurch.bsky.social on Bluesky

A decent (but not perfectly informative re: survey composition and weighting) survey with propensity weighting to estimate self-reported use of unregulated gambling products in the USA.

Could be improved by bootstrapped variance estimation, but still decent.

www.americangaming.org/wp-content/u...

15.08.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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After using ChatGPT, man swaps his salt for sodium bromideβ€”and suffers psychosis Literal β€œhallucinations” were the result.

arstechnica.com/health/2025/...

11.08.2025 02:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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B.C. residents betting billions on unregulated gambling sites, 2021 report found Province tried to prevent release of report with details about reach of offshore betting sites

A report on the state of unregulated gambling in BC. Raises (and maybe answers) the multimillion dollar question: if most offshore gambling is on the same sites lobbying for liberalization with regulation, what benefit do they perceive? Freedom to advertise and expand?

theijf.org/bc-residents...

05.08.2025 20:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A Nobel prize is fine, but what academics really want is to kick the creators of manuscriptcentral one time really hard in the shin.

21.07.2025 18:07 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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UKRI policy fellowships 2025 Spend 18 months as a UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) core policy fellow, Natural Hazards and Resilience policy fellow or What Works Innovation fellow to inform policy to address pressing national an...

UK Postdoc opportunity just posted: an 18 Month policy fellowship with the Research and Statistics Team at the UK Gambling Commission, funded by UKRI.

Details here:
www.ukri.org/opportunity/...

25.06.2025 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Distinguishing Persistent Versus Episodic Clusters of At-Risk Respondents on the Problem Gambling Severity Index - Journal of Gambling Studies The Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI) is a popular tool for assessing past-year problems related to gambling. Multiple categorization schemes have been proposed, with scores 3–7 variously interpr...

AND THANK YOU FOR READING!!

Find the paper here: doi.org/10.1007/s108...

Download my analysis scripts here: osf.io/uw94q/

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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a man with long hair and a beard is saying " thank you eternally " ALT: a man with long hair and a beard is saying " thank you eternally "

This project was made possible by my excellent collaborators, Drs. Sheurich, Monson, French, and Kairouz at UConcordia and UdeSherbrooke, as well as by funding from CIHR and FRQ-SC.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So, how do we make models our gambling harm detection models better?

1 - We try to account for these subgroups in large-sample research, or
2 - We use a graded intervention scheme instead of a binary decision threshold, or
3 - We select a different outcome variable with better properties.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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In turn, these subgroups within the moderate-risk range varied on the specific items endorsed and several sociodemographic dimensions.

This kind of within-groups variability is exactly why a ML classifier might fail to perform optimally.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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We found that possibly episodic cases (62% of sample) reported several different problems mainly occurring just sometimes, while specific problem cases (9%) reported significantly fewer problems that occurred more frequently.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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We interpreted these groups as exhibiting "possibly episodic" gambling, "intermediate cases" of responding, and "specific problems", respectively.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

We applied K-means clustering to the variance of individual PGSI responses in a large dataset of > 18,000 online gamblers.

When we did this, we found a 3-cluster solution that separated groups of respondents with lower, intermediate, and higher response variance.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

To explore these possible subgroups, and to improve future ML detection systems, we took a variance clustering approach to the moderate risk group of the PGSI.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thus, there are actually several ways one might land in the Moderate-risk range, including:

-Escalating towards problem gambling
-Remitting from problem gambling
-Applying non-standard question interpretations
-Reporting 1-2 problems very persistently, or
-Reporting up to 7 problems episodically

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

When we look under the hood, we can easily see why the PGSI might have problems: it confounds (1) whether a problem is reported to occur, and (2) how often that problem occurs.

This is bad because clinically-defined gambling disorder can be either persistently occurring, or *episodic*.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It works reasonably well when it comes to separating the "non-problem" and "problem gambler" groups, but other research has shown some real issues with those in-between groups of low and moderate risk (Currie et al., 2013; Williams & Volberg, 2014).

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Problem Gambling Severity Index is a very popular questionnaire that has been used for more than 20 years to partition non-clinical samples into risk groups of "non-problem" (PGSI = 0), "low-risk" (1-2), "moderate risk" (3-7), or "problem gambler" (8-27) groups.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸŽ‰πŸ§΅ New Paper Thread πŸŽ‰πŸ§΅

Machine Learning models that aim to detect at-risk online gamblers seem to hit a performance ceiling, and exhibit serious imprecision when making positive-class predictions.

WHY?

Maybe it's the outcome variable, the Problem Gambling Severity Index.

08.05.2025 15:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Opinion: Dangers of going all-in on online gambling Opening B.C.’s online gambling to private companies would make many British Columbians' wages turn to wagers lost to private companies

Alberta, like Ontario before it, is moving to expand and privatize online gambling. In a new OpEd, @lukeclark.bsky.social and I argue that British Columbia should not follow suit.

vancouversun.com/opinion/op-e...

04.04.2025 02:28 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Are craving and satiety neurological opposites? Could someone experience craving while feeling sated? Is reducing craving tantamount to inducing satiety? How might semaglutide improve / inform our knowledge of naltrexone, acamprosate, sobriety, and addiction?

Very exciting times in the field!

26.03.2025 20:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

TT faculty interviews are a singularly intense and interesting experience. There is really nothing like it.

18.03.2025 19:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Psilocybin-assisted therapy for relapse prevention in alcohol use disorder: a phase 2 randomized clinical trial Despite the promising therapeutic effects of psilocybin, its efficacy in preventing relapse after withdrawal treatment for alcohol use disorder (AUD) …

Hi everyone, if you are interested in #psychedelic-assisted therapy, we just published a new study: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti.... Congratulations to Dr. Nathalie Rieser, who has done a terrific job spearheading this project.

15.03.2025 10:24 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4
Recognizing the 2024/25 Outstanding Instructors

Very honoured to receive a UBC FASS Outstanding Lecturer Award 2024/25. It's a real pleasure to teach at UBCO Psych.

provost.ok.ubc.ca/2025/02/24/2...

25.02.2025 02:10 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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A Visual Introduction to Hierarchical Models A visual explanation of multi-level modeling

A beautiful visual representative of hierarchical modelling

mfviz.com/hierarchical...

#stats

18.02.2025 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

2024 marked 70 years since the tobacco industry, faced with mounting evidence of the harm caused by its products, issued their β€œFrank Statement” to smokers reassuring them that the link between smoking and lung cancer was yet to be proven.🧡

13.02.2025 12:22 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 27    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 4

Equality-oriented 'fairness via unawareness' approaches have this property when there are group-level differences in the outcome of interest (one group has privileged training opportunities, favourable evaluation, etc.). By declining to correct inequities, one chooses to inflict the status quo. :(

07.02.2025 20:54 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Manitoba Liquor & Lotteries asks courts to block offshore gambling site on behalf of gaming coalition | CBC News A coalition of Canadian gaming agencies is hoping an application to stop an offshore betting site from operating in Manitoba sets a precedent in the fight against illegal online gambling.

Manitoba Liquor & Lotteries asks courts to block offshore gambling site on behalf of gaming coalition

www.cbc.ca/news/canada/...

05.02.2025 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Province cuts funding to gambling support group focusing on video gaming with students The province has pulled the plug on funding for a non-profit organization that provides education and resources for gambling addiction.

Alberta has cut funding to the province's Problem Gambling Resources Network. This development is surprising and dismaying as online gambling continues its rapid expansion and privatization across Canada.

www.ctvnews.ca/calgary/arti...

04.02.2025 18:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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New alarming nicotine trend banned in South Australia

Nicotine pouches are now banned in South Australia. They're now subject to the same controls as illicit tobacco and e-cigarette products. Info here: www.premier.sa.gov.au/media-releas...

30.01.2025 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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My latest paper looks at how and why people use voluntary deposit limits.

We found that most online sports bettors see deposit limits as useful and good practice, but these are for those who can't control their gambling

Barriers to use include not knowing what limit to set

doi.org/10.1080/1366...

08.01.2025 03:48 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@spencermurch is following 20 prominent accounts