Cool paper, @nilsblossey.bsky.social!
The current state of AI for sustained work: exponential progress continues with no unexpected leaps but also no walls.
(The METR measure is just one of many benchmarks, and like all benchmarks has flaws, but also has the advantage of have neither a ceiling or floor effect)
metr.org/blog/2025-03...
Irritating Discourse Cliche - "The Public Are Frustrated With Mainstream Politics" - up there with vague references to "the dangers of populism".
Look at the last century of democratic politics -
* Pre WW2
* Post-War
* Post-Post-War
New AI regulations suggested by the White House mirror changes to environmental permitting suggested by Meta and a lobbying group representing firms like Google and Amazon Web Services. www.wired.com/story/big-te...
New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/9
It was great having you!
Cool paper showing that unemployment risks causally increase demand for welfare state insurance (in Denmark): doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
@mbusemeyer.bsky.social, @slstutzmann.bsky.social, and I have a new article in the special issue "Greening the Economy: Toward a New Political Economy" in @reggovjournal.bsky.social, now out in print.
The article is open access — read it here: dx.doi.org/10.1111/rego...
I've been a huge fan of Mr. Hussman's monthly market comments for years. Always informative and thought-provoking, he goes well beyond market analysis, weaving in broader social and economic themes. Just brilliant. Highly recommend!
Terrific lineup for our Comparative Politics & Political Economy series this summer,incl @clandwehr.bsky.social @finseraas.bsky.social @eunjikim.bsky.social @ccavaille.bsky.social @anewq.bsky.social & @valentimvicente.bsky.social . Thanks for organizing @tobiastober.bsky.social @na-wehl.bsky.social
We just launched a call for a workshop and special issue proposal on "The Politics of AI"! Excited to see many great submissions—join us in Oxford!
@dweisstanner.bsky.social, @dschiff.bsky.social
FYI: @cfbalcazar.bsky.social, @gonzalezrostani.bsky.social, @sborwein.bsky.social, @beamagistro.bsky.social, @rmichaelalvarez.bsky.social, @carloknotz.bsky.social, @julianachueri.bsky.social, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, @ndurazzi.bsky.social, @leonkuestermann.bsky.social, @kaylynjschiff.bsky.social
This initiative comes from my ZENiT project at @zukunftskolleg.bsky.social, together with @ainagallego.bsky.social, @nicolewu.bsky.social, @shirraviv.bsky.social, @mhaslberger.bsky.social, @thmskrr.bsky.social, and Sigi Manschein.
We just launched a call for a workshop and special issue proposal on "The Politics of AI"! Excited to see many great submissions—join us in Oxford!
How do attitudes to 🇪🇺 European integration relate to political ideology and policy preferences?
A major update of my study:
- I added the latest 2023 ESS data for citizens and 2024 CHES data for parties
- I built an app to explore these relationships across datasets, indicators, years & countries
I'm not a China expert, just an interested observer. But if you compare how China regularly celebrates the return of successful scientists with the way science is being treated in the US under Trump, the contrast could hardly be greater.
“The Rise of Affective Polarization: Is It What We Think, or Who We Are?”
by John Konicki
Preprint: osf.io/preprints/osf...
"It would be a great mistake for U.S. policymakers to ignore DeepSeek or to suggest that its accomplishments are merely a combination of [IP] theft and misleading Chinese propaganda...DeepSeek has also demonstrated genuine technological breakthroughs" www.csis.org/analysis/dee...
Important: Commission plan ‘Rearm Europe’ will not require unanimity. Hungary and Slovakia cannot block it on their own
ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
Yeah, we’ve played that game for way too long. It’s time to let others bark and do our job.
IMHO, what really matters is that our own strategy in Europe doesn't hinge on any specific outcome. We need to focus on what we can actually do to secure our peace and prosperity, not waste energy trying to 'time the market,' whether economically or politically.
Trade with less developed countries reduces unionization in rich democracies. Global value chains lead to union decline even in countries with the most union-friendly institutions journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Well, the next Boris Johnson column is going to be a doozy
Big tech has a tremendous impact on democracy
🚨New report out w focus on misinformation, content moderation & generative AI
Team @anjabechmann.bsky.social @adler-nissen.bsky.social @madshovethy.bsky.social @golovchenko.bsky.social @fghjorth.bsky.social👏
Details⬇️
www.linkedin.com/posts/claes-...
Come work with us! In my research group, we have two four-year PhD positions available in comparative politics. Happy to answer questions per email. Please share the ad.
You can find the ad here: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/d...
Erstaunlich, wie aktuell dieses Strauß-Interview von Günter Gaus—aufgenommen kurz nach der Niederschlagung des Prager Frühlings—heute wirkt: youtu.be/DI7Kw9TWS98?...
DeepSunk
We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fec...
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
I am keeping a diary of daily events, as they unfold open.substack.com/pub/adamprze... It is available to everyone. I am new to Substack, so please let me know if something is wrong with the link or the file.
