At the height of inflation under Biden, the ICS among independents was 48.5 and among republicans was 33.0. Biden never recovered. This month, the ICS is 50.1 among independents and 37.9 among democrats. It's only republicans' ratings (97.7) that are preventing setting record lows.
They have now gone from "No one bombed a school" to "Someone else bombed a school" to "We are looking into who bombed a school" to "We bombed a school back."
Could a real journalist just ask if proof of citizenship is required to buy beer or do those other things? It isn't? So your talking point is a lie. Why won't you stop saying it?
Yes, I remember the talk with my youngest about how he was necessary to ensure I was getting good value for the things I bought his siblings.
When they decide they need a fancier one in two years this one is yours, so choose carefully.
Sure, some at least. People spent 20 days of January 2025 bracing for a trade war and 11 days of it in one.
The U.S. economy lost jobs in 0 of the 48 months Joe Biden was president. It has lost jobs in 6 of the 14 months of Trump's second term.
Also bad, they will blame Trump and not the party who will give him countless standing ovations tomorrow night. One month post-Trump they will be equally unhappy with the two parties.
New rule: against Canada you can have all the men on the ice.
If I've said it once I've said it a thousand times: Mitch Marner is the hardest working guy in hockey.
As we all know, the top 1% of Americans eat 99% of the food there.
The end of Gallup's presidential approval polls should fix Trump's popularity problem just like when people stopped testing for Covid it went away.
Although maybe the gender gap isn’t as big for married women.
Ugh, that's a huge loss.
Yes, the numbers are ok but just barely. Yes, I had and still have no idea why the WH sent out that post. Maybe it was another month without the promised manufacturing job growth. Or just general lowering of expectations.
Seems they peeked at tomorrow's jobs report and it sucks. Lutnick, Navarro, and all are pushing deportations as the new excuse. Don't buy it. All else equal, fewer people looking for jobs drops the unemployment rate. But it's going up:
Maybe someone peeked at the BLS jobs report that was supposed to come out last Friday but will be Wednesday morning.
Political science professor Amanda Friesen offers insight on coping with political anxiety tied to current U.S.–Canada relations. If recent headlines have you feeling uneasy, this Globe and Mail piece helps break down what’s really going on: www.theglobeandmail.com/life/article...
After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text:
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
In a week he’ll be bragging about it.
It would take like 2-3 quick questions to get Trump to admit on camera he posted that video. e.g.
R: Jimmy Kimmel says you're too dumb to write your own posts.
T: Kimmel has terrible ratings.
R: So you just write the short ones?
T: Every single one.
Well, I like democracy and make do with the weather.
oh, please. Sunshine isn't everything.
Yes, in November 2026 and/or 2028. My general point is there is no downward trajectory except that he's lost his bandwagon people.
Yes, Trump slipped overall and on every issue since January 2025. He started with his base + optimism from non-MAGA Republicans + the short-memory of others. ok, he lost the last two. But is there anything he can do to lose his base (~40%)? In 10 years, nope.
To get to 50% approval, he'd need to perform at an 88. There are some groups that will not give up on him (e.g. White evangelical protestants (thx @daviddarmofal.bsky.social) or ever come on board.