Matthew Lebo

BLS report that was due this morning didn't come out. The ADP estimate is that private employment in the US went down 32,000 jobs in September. There were also big downward revisions for previous month. Preventing the official release of bad economic news is a big shutdown bonus for Trump.

Yeah, but isn't it better than paying the tariff on a new one?

LLMs as annotators: the effect of party cues on labelling decisions by large language models Humanities and Social Sciences Communications - LLMs as annotators: the effect of party cues on labelling decisions by large language models

Just *published* our paper with @westernupolisci.bsky.social PhD student, Hunter Driggers, on LLM bias from party cues in annotation tasks. We extend a previous study showing annotation bias from human coders in the presence of party cues… LLM show similar bias 🧵:

rdcu.be/eIKCj

And I feel like I've been here before
Feel like I've been here before
.
.
.
We have all been here before
We have all been here before
We have all been here before
We have all been here before
We have all been here before
We have all been here before

Will US universities now only interview Americans and PRs?

While the Republicans on talk shows are saying stop calling us fascists, on Fox they are upping their fascism.

Why Charlie Kirk matters The National’s Eli Glasner breaks down the political influence of Charlie Kirk after the conservative commentator and activist was shot and killed while speaking at a Utah university.

www.cbc.ca/player/play/...

Hipster doofus.

Trump's use of troops in D.C. is an alarming preview of militarized policing: experts WASHINGTON - On a sultry early September afternoon in Washington, D.C., tourists pulling suitcases and office workers rushing between meetings dodged past dozens of National Guard troops standing at t...

www.thecanadianpressnews.ca/national/tru...

Can I still regret trading Nancy Pelosi for Hakeem Jeffries?

The most ridiculously unlikely event in all the movies is the final poker hand in Casino Royale.

No, you can’t borrow Mark Carney.

Freed of the pressures of re-election, now we’ll see that Ernst acts the same as ever because she’s ok with all the fascism.

When the time comes, can someone etch this quote onto John Roberts' gravestone?

Oy, which journal did you agree to edit this time?

Rocky goes 7 for 8.

Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies By Quinn M. Albaugh, Queen’s University, Allison Harell, Université du Québec à Montréal, Peter John Loewen, Cornell University, Daniel Rubenson, University of Toronto, and Laura B. Stephenson, University of Western Ontario Survey researchers increasingly recognize the need to update their gender questions to recognize the existence of transgender and nonbinary people…

Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies

Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies By Quinn M. Albaugh, Queen’s University, Allison Harell, Université du Québec…

What Texas redistricting fight means as FBI joins hunt for absent Democrats - National | Globalnews.ca A battle over future control of the U.S. House of Representatives has spilled out of Texas into the rest of the country, with experts warning of a 'slippery slope.'

What Texas redistricting fight means as FBI joins hunt for absent Democrats

@globalnews.ca included expert insight from Prof @matthewlebo.bsky.social in an explainer article about why Republican lawmakers in Texas are pushing to redraw the state’s congressional maps.
globalnews.ca/news/1132228...

Tuna always look so ashamed they were caught.

#polisky #psjminfo We're hiring for three faculty positions in the Department of Political Science at the University of South Carolina. All 3 positions are part of an internal departmental cluster hire in the thematic area of Problems of Democracy. A 🧵on the positions. 1/

Not a recipe but Leviticus might pair them in nearby verses.

Thanks.

What do you have in mind for #2? Isn't equal representation of the states in the Senate one of the few things that can't even be changed by constitutional amendment?

Yesterday's BLS July jobs report was released 8.5 hours after July ended (or 5.5 hours Pacific). Also keep that in mind when wondering why updates/revisions are necessary.

This workshop is going to be great fun, and I really look forward to meeting everyone!

It would mean a lot to me if you signed up!

Listening to Pink Floyd was pretty close.

You know, Donald Trump doesn't have to make all of my pessimism seem prophetic.

Hey, thanks! I knew I was expecting this -- I forgot I wrote it down.

So much for objective economic data on the U.S. economy. It was hard enough convincing partisans that the economy was doing well under a president they hated or badly under a president they liked. Now we can't even tell who's right and who's just cheerleading.