Matthew Lebo

Matthew Lebo

@matthewlebo.bsky.social

American politics professor in Canada at the University of Western Ontario.

1,008 Followers 585 Following 387 Posts Joined Nov 2024
11 hours ago
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At the height of inflation under Biden, the ICS among independents was 48.5 and among republicans was 33.0. Biden never recovered. This month, the ICS is 50.1 among independents and 37.9 among democrats. It's only republicans' ratings (97.7) that are preventing setting record lows.

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3 days ago

They have now gone from "No one bombed a school" to "Someone else bombed a school" to "We are looking into who bombed a school" to "We bombed a school back."

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4 days ago

Could a real journalist just ask if proof of citizenship is required to buy beer or do those other things? It isn't? So your talking point is a lie. Why won't you stop saying it?

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5 days ago

Yes, I remember the talk with my youngest about how he was necessary to ensure I was getting good value for the things I bought his siblings.

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5 days ago

When they decide they need a fancier one in two years this one is yours, so choose carefully.

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1 week ago

Sure, some at least. People spent 20 days of January 2025 bracing for a trade war and 11 days of it in one.

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1 week ago
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The U.S. economy lost jobs in 0 of the 48 months Joe Biden was president. It has lost jobs in 6 of the 14 months of Trump's second term.

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2 weeks ago
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a close up of a man 's face with his mouth open . ALT: a close up of a man 's face with his mouth open .
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2 weeks ago

Also bad, they will blame Trump and not the party who will give him countless standing ovations tomorrow night. One month post-Trump they will be equally unhappy with the two parties.

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2 weeks ago

New rule: against Canada you can have all the men on the ice.

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3 weeks ago

If I've said it once I've said it a thousand times: Mitch Marner is the hardest working guy in hockey.

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3 weeks ago

As we all know, the top 1% of Americans eat 99% of the food there.

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1 month ago
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1 month ago

The end of Gallup's presidential approval polls should fix Trump's popularity problem just like when people stopped testing for Covid it went away.

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1 month ago
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Although maybe the gender gap isn’t as big for married women.

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1 month ago

Ugh, that's a huge loss.

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1 month ago

Yes, the numbers are ok but just barely. Yes, I had and still have no idea why the WH sent out that post. Maybe it was another month without the promised manufacturing job growth. Or just general lowering of expectations.

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1 month ago

Seems they peeked at tomorrow's jobs report and it sucks. Lutnick, Navarro, and all are pushing deportations as the new excuse. Don't buy it. All else equal, fewer people looking for jobs drops the unemployment rate. But it's going up:

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1 month ago

Maybe someone peeked at the BLS jobs report that was supposed to come out last Friday but will be Wednesday morning.

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1 month ago
YouTube
Sie liebt dich (Remastered 2009) YouTube video by The Beatles - Topic

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ymjn...

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1 month ago
YouTube
Adriano Celentano canta "Prisencolinensinainciusol" da "Formula due" del 1973 YouTube video by Rai

www.youtube.com/watch?v=fU-w...

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1 month ago
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Political science professor Amanda Friesen offers insight on coping with political anxiety tied to current U.S.–Canada relations. If recent headlines have you feeling uneasy, this Globe and Mail piece helps break down what’s really going on: www.theglobeandmail.com/life/article...

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1 month ago
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

After a long journey, our paper "Machines Do See Color: Using LLMs to Classify Overt and Covert Racism in Text" is out at Sociological Methods & Research. In it, we develop a theoretically driven approach to identify and classify covert and overt racism in text:

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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1 month ago

In a week he’ll be bragging about it.

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1 month ago

It would take like 2-3 quick questions to get Trump to admit on camera he posted that video. e.g.
R: Jimmy Kimmel says you're too dumb to write your own posts.
T: Kimmel has terrible ratings.
R: So you just write the short ones?
T: Every single one.

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1 month ago

Well, I like democracy and make do with the weather.

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1 month ago
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oh, please. Sunshine isn't everything.

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1 month ago

Yes, in November 2026 and/or 2028. My general point is there is no downward trajectory except that he's lost his bandwagon people.

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1 month ago

Yes, Trump slipped overall and on every issue since January 2025. He started with his base + optimism from non-MAGA Republicans + the short-memory of others. ok, he lost the last two. But is there anything he can do to lose his base (~40%)? In 10 years, nope.

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1 month ago

To get to 50% approval, he'd need to perform at an 88. There are some groups that will not give up on him (e.g. White evangelical protestants (thx @daviddarmofal.bsky.social) or ever come on board.

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