Matthew Lebo

And then ask the anchor why they frame the Republican majority's removal of healthcare subsidies as the failure of Democrats to keep them from doing that.

Yup. www.researchgate.net/profile/Elle...

Yes, Canadian Bacon seems more appropriate and also a better movie.

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Now you tell me. I blew all my money on Oasis tickets.

Three German universities offering post-docs for researchers "who cannot conduct or continue their work in the USA appropriately because of actual political pressure. "
www.uni-konstanz.de/zukunftskoll...

Worried about getting into or out of the US for APSA 2026? Or about what kind of paper you can present? Today is the deadline for Canadian PSA proposals for June 2-4 at U of Ottawa. Propose a paper or a whole panel. But do it today!

A mama lasagna and four babies.

At 40%, T still has solid support in Congress and the party. He went below 40 in term 1 and it didn't harm him much or get him convicted in the Senate in Jan 2021. If there's a tipping point for loud R opposition, it's far below here. 32% means losing 1 in 5 current approvers. That's a lot.

YouTube video by CookingwithSugarTV The Best Meat Lasagna Recipe -- How to Make Homemade Italian Lasagna Bolognese

The Long Island national food: www.youtube.com/watch?v=gfhf...

I mean when looking at month to month changes in presidential approval.

I buy that 2-yr inf predicted sentiment better under Biden. How far back does that hold? Is 2-yr inf a better predictor of presidential elections the last 40 yrs? Or did anti-Biden/Dem feeling push people and media in 2023-24 to rely on smthng different than usual to justify their partisanship/vote?

My book in progress shows inflation was disconnected from consumer sentiment under Biden to a ridiculous degree. Republicans drove down sentiment, the media did too, independents too. Had consumer sentiment reflected the actual economy to usual extent, Harris wins by 4 points.

No matter how you weight various polls, so long as the weighting doesn't change the ups and downs of approval over time are real. Like, no matter how badly you think my bathroom scale works, if it says I gained weight, I did.

Trump's approval among independents is not good but numbers like these can be deceiving. Like, many disapprovers may have called themselves Democrats in February but now say they're independents.

The Leafs just sucked the joy out of these things for you too I guess.

Skeet explains pic

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. shows up to Game 7 in a Marie-Phillip Poulin jersey, the captain of the Canada women’s national ice hockey team

He only has to walk around the bases!

At his rallies he plays Fortunate Son -- a song about rich assholes buying their way out of the Viet Nam War. Also YMCA. I don't get why that was never a story.

Top researchers consider leaving U.S. amid funding cuts: 'The science world is ending' A poll from the journal Nature found that 75% of researchers in the U.S. are considering leaving the country. That includes a man who’s been dubbed the "Mozart of Math." Stephanie Sy examines what’s b...

The responsibilities and opportunities for Canadian universities are perfectly aligned. But it's been 10 months of this and just drips of actions here so far.

www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...

Canada ranks 71st for women in politics Canada ranks 71st in the world for women in parliament. Voters support gender quotas to make politics more representative.

For @policyoptions.irpp.org, I wrote about how Canada lags its European and Anglo peers in electing women to parliament, how that harms their reputation, and, drawing on research w/ @dzobrien.bsky.social & Amanda Clayton, why voters prefer gender parity. policyoptions.irpp.org/2025/10/gend...

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I want to make this point in something I'm writing. Have you written it somewhere a little more citable than a Bluesky post?

An Onion article on the subject would be completely identical to this one. Especially that picture.

The Trump Effect: Nationalized Narratives and Congressional Outcomes in the 2024 Elections The 2024 elections resulted in a rightward shift, with Republicans taking back both the presidency and Senate while holding onto a very slim majority in the House of Representatives. Despite multiple ...

Actually, try here: www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...

There might be lots but nothing comes to mind. For sure updating this finding and looking at the evolution of party unity vs. Trump loyalty vs. ideology would be interesting for the Republican members of Congress post-2014.

Yup, there’s research:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Yup! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

The CPSA accepts proposals for full panels. Why not choose Ottawa in June instead of Boston, USA in September?

BLS report that was due this morning didn't come out. The ADP estimate is that private employment in the US went down 32,000 jobs in September. There were also big downward revisions for previous month. Preventing the official release of bad economic news is a big shutdown bonus for Trump.