Brenton Wiernik

Paging the Spring Garden Road Merchants Association

8 in-custody deaths in 50 days—one every 6 days. This needs to be a much larger story.

Here Andrew and team explicitly talk about using this sort of prior in meta-analysis with a single study sites.stat.columbia.edu/gelman/resea...

The Disastrous First Year of RFK Jr. The damage the HHS secretary has done to science and public health is appalling—and it could have been avoided.

"It is beyond comprehension that the Senate confirmed this man to oversee America’s health. The risks are so immediate and constant that it can be difficult to keep track of them all."

open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...

Former Michigan Medicine dean omitted multimillion-dollar pharma ties in multiple publications, Daily investigation finds Over a decade marked by a pandemic and nationwide cuts to health care funding, Marschall S. Runge led Michigan Medicine in a historic triple-leadership position. He served as executive vice president ...

and once again: student-run papers are the free press now

www.michigandaily.com/news/former-...

Chart showing YouTube stands out for being used by nearly all teens. Roughly nine-in-ten report ever using it. About six-in-ten or more say they use TikTok and Instagram. A somewhat smaller share say they go on Snapchat (55%). Fewer use Facebook (31%) and WhatsApp (24%). And no more than about one-in-five say the same of Reddit or X (formerly Twitter). WhatsApp is one platform that stands out for its growth in recent years. Today, roughly a quarter of teens say they use WhatsApp, up from 17% in 2022. X and Facebook have declined in use over the past decade. Today, 16% of teens use X, down from 23% in 2022 and 33% in 2014-15. And Facebook, once the go-to platform for teens, is used today by about three-in-ten teens. This is far lower than the 71% in 2014-15, though on par with 2022. The shares of teens who use other sites or apps, like YouTube, TikTok and Instagram, have stayed relatively stable in recent years.

Where the teens are
YouTube 92%
TikTok 68%
Instagram 63%
Snapchat 55%
Facebook 31% (down from 71%)
WhatsApp 24%
Reddit 17%
X 16% (down from 33%)
www.pewresearch.org/internet/202...

In the original draft Elio was disabled and clearly a young gay kid, themes were about belonging when you’re an outsider in multiple ways. What eventually got produced had all of the specificity filed away into a generic kids adventure story.

Case in point what they did to Elio

The Experiences of LGBTQ Americans Today How lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and queer adults view the impact of Obergefell and social acceptance for LGBTQ people more broadly 10 years after the Supreme Court decision legalizing same-sex...

Belated congrats to my Pew Research colleagues on publishing this groundbreaking study - one of the first surveys to have a probability-based sample of transgender adults large enough to reliably report their views and experiences. www.pewresearch.org/social-trend...

The insistence that a slider is a bad study design is so laughable there—the obvious reason to not use a text entry is to avoid anomalous data due to typos (eg, 30000 instead of 300000)

P values reference a specific point value (0) whereas the with of the CI does not. Saying “this CI is too wide for unambiguous results” isn’t inherently tied to whether it spans 0 or not.

This is actually an ESSENTIAL articulation of this admin’s immigration policy.

Policymaking is about weighing equities. In normal policymaking, the rights of the people you’re going after count as an equity. It appears for all the world that this administration’s decisionmaking simply ignores them.

Simulation study of estimating between-study variance and overall effect in meta-analysis of standardized mean difference Methods for random-effects meta-analysis require an estimate of the between-study variance, $τ^2$. The performance of estimators of $τ^2$ (measured by bias and coverage) affects their usefulness in as...

And these papers cover issues with conditional standard errors for odds ratios and SMD

arxiv.org/abs/1903.01362

arxiv.org/abs/1902.07154

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41626908/

osf.io/preprints/ps...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The SE formula for an SMD includes the effect size, so estimated SE and SMD are inherently correlated. You can fix that in both the meta-analysis and the funnel plot by substituting the mean SMD instead of the sample estimate, but that’s rarely done, leading to lots of spurious funnel plots

I haven’t checked, but the funnel plot results I’d assume are probably a little misleading because the standard error formula for SMD includes the effect size estimate, inducing a correlation unless additional steps are taken in constructing the funnel plot

this is incredibly frustrating. By framing this as a policy demand Dems are aiding a disinformation campaign that is intended to confuse the public about what is constitutionally required.

If there is a next administration, there damn well better be reparations for blue states

Nothing feels like it has changed on the ground in Minneapolis

Hi everyone -- there is a general strike in Minnesota tomorrow to protest what the Trump administration and DHS are doing to our community. In solidarity with the action, I am going to donate my revenue from tmrw's newsletter to People over Papers, the Midway-Hamline Diaper Bank, & Every Meal. (1/2)

Fuck that. Preserving the tree canopy has been a strength of the region, and they are throwing it away

literally every bad thing in this country right now is the result of Republicans saying "we'll get sued over this, but..."

it's genuinely pathetic that Democrats won't do the same in order to protect people's rights

So excited for the new Dresden Files!

Just shitty things being done by shitty people for even shittier reasons.

In Org psych, the “why wait” is often the opposite problem—data are collected in rapid succession, eg every 4-6 weeks, usually with employees tenured in their roles. Inferences about broad things like trust and psychological safety follow, with no clear reason why these should have changed at all

Musso and Frank is a fantastic old Hollywood steak house. Their vegetable and potato side dishes are excellent and worth a visit alone, along wjth their cocktails and the vibe and people watching.

Thou shalt not question the wisdom of the Mouse

And randomly chosen originating judges too. No more shopping around to find favorable judges.

Appoint a new justice every two years, serve 10 year terms before returning to circuit bench, retroactive

We do similar things a lot in my packages