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Nicolai von Ondarza

@nvondarza.bsky.social

Political scientist with a passion for EU affairs, Geek with a passion for technology. Head of Europe Division at @SWP-Berlin.org. Associate Fellow @chathamhouse.bsky.social Europe Programme. All views are personal. Journey before Destination.

15,129 Followers  |  1,050 Following  |  3,710 Posts  |  Joined: 04.10.2023
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Posts by Nicolai von Ondarza (@nvondarza.bsky.social)

More movement amongst the EP political groups, this time from the EPP towards the ECR. This would bring the ECR up to 81 MEPs, just below the 84 'Patriots for Europe'.

Overall, it is a further symbol of the shift within the European right away from the centre:

10.03.2026 17:02 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, he was foreign minister at the time. Honestly, this was one of the few things I could think of why he someone could actually nominate him for a major European honour...

10.03.2026 13:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It is quite funny, you can see from the list that they put a lot of thought into getting a broad geographic and political representation in this first list of people being honoured, and yet everyone will also find someone on the list to be annoyed with.

10.03.2026 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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First list of the European Order of Merit honoured today.

Merkel will probably draw the most political discussion, but here I am wondering about Wolfgang SchΓΌssel, who played a big role in bringing Austria into the EU, but was also the first to form a government with a far-right party, the FPΓ–:

10.03.2026 12:48 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 12

I remember talking to a group of students about EU foreign policy and when mentioning 9/11 and the Iraq war, all of them had this 'Well, this happened when I was in Elementary School' look... and that lesson was about 10 years ago.

10.03.2026 10:10 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Catherine Ashton - Labour Member of the House of Lords, former EU Commissioner, Member of Gordon Brown's Cabinet... reads almost like a former UK ambassador to the US, doesn't it

10.03.2026 09:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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ВсСм нСфтям Π½Π°Π·Π»ΠΎ! Как Π’Π»Π°Π΄ΠΈΠΌΠΈΡ€ ΠŸΡƒΡ‚ΠΈΠ½ Ρ€Π΅ΡˆΠΈΠ» ΠΈΡΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡŒΠ·ΠΎΠ²Π°Ρ‚ΡŒ Π²ΠΎΠΉΠ½Ρƒ Π²ΠΎ Π±Π»Π°Π³ΠΎ

Last week I wrote that #Russia would make the best of the #Iran war.

And here it goes: #Putin is threatening that oil exports to the #EU may end before the EU stops them itself β€” unless, of course,

www.kommersant.ru/doc/8497260?...

10.03.2026 09:29 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

Was there any public discussion on this ambassadorial post at all in the UK? I had not seen anything previously.

Though to be fair, this might also fit the different styles - Trump's Washington might need a politician, whereas for the EU as skilled diplomat with deep EU knowledge fits better.

10.03.2026 09:29 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

To be clear, as somebody not working on China, I haven't followed her work there as UK ambassador, but from what I have seen she was a very well respected UK ambassador in what was probably a rather difficult period, from 2020 to 2025.

10.03.2026 09:24 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Boris Johnson video shows 'excruciating' exchange with Foreign Office adviser 'Astonishing, it's the real life The Thick of It,' Twitter user writes

"β€œWe shouldn’t probably use the cake analogy too much,” Ms Wilson responds."

I can't help but remember this clip from a BBC documentary of Caroline Wilson (and her facial expression) trying to explain French and the French position on Brexit to then UK Foreign Minister Boris Johnson:

10.03.2026 09:24 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Image of FDCO announcement appointing Dame Caroline Wilson to UK Ambassador to the EU

Image of FDCO announcement appointing Dame Caroline Wilson to UK Ambassador to the EU

Interesting choice - Dame Caroline Wilson, who was previously Europe Director in the FCDO during part of the Brexit years and later UK ambassador to China, will become the next UK Ambassador to the EU:

10.03.2026 09:16 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 14    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2

@robin.berjon.com co-founder of Eurosky is testifying in the French Parliament today - watch live πŸ‘‡

10.03.2026 08:25 β€” πŸ‘ 133    πŸ” 58    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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EP President @president.europarl.europa.eu is an example for celebrating both the 'liberation' of Venezuela and that Iran could now finally get freedom:

10.03.2026 08:10 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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EP President @president.europarl.europa.eu is an example for celebrating both the 'liberation' of Venezuela and that Iran could now finally get freedom:

10.03.2026 08:10 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Must be a grave disappointment for those in Europe who briefly applauded Trump's intervention in Venezuela and his war on Iran for supposedly bringing democratic change, which seems to be coming for neither.

10.03.2026 06:49 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Special leaders’ VTC: Energy prices will also be discussed today in a video-conference of EU leaders ahead of a European Council gathering on March 19, according to four diplomats who spoke to your Playbook author and Camille Gijs. Germany, Belgium and Italy are hosting the pre-summit meeting, in a repeat of the breakfast they hosted ahead of the Alden Biesen summit in February.

RSVP: The leaders will be talking about how to cut more EU red tape as well as the ongoing energy crisis, according to two of the diplomats. It wasn’t clear on Monday evening which leaders had confirmed their participation, but one diplomat said it was in the β€œdouble digits.”

Special leaders’ VTC: Energy prices will also be discussed today in a video-conference of EU leaders ahead of a European Council gathering on March 19, according to four diplomats who spoke to your Playbook author and Camille Gijs. Germany, Belgium and Italy are hosting the pre-summit meeting, in a repeat of the breakfast they hosted ahead of the Alden Biesen summit in February. RSVP: The leaders will be talking about how to cut more EU red tape as well as the ongoing energy crisis, according to two of the diplomats. It wasn’t clear on Monday evening which leaders had confirmed their participation, but one diplomat said it was in the β€œdouble digits.”

Not just a one-off - Merz (EPP), Meloni (ECR) and De Wever (ECR) are organising another pre-European Council meeting of selected leaders on competitiveness, which for them holds a big focus on simplification/deregulation:

10.03.2026 06:45 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Trump's total ambiguity / lack of coherence on US aims in its war against Iran seemingly could go two ways: Allow Trump to declare 'victory' anytime to retreat or totally screw up US strategy and get drawn into a conflict spiralling out of control.

09.03.2026 19:58 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The clearest indication yet of how extensive the UK-EU SPS agreement will be. Covers almost everything.

It also shows you where the current differences between the UK and EU lie (ie, what isn't included on the list): precision breeding/NGTs, veterinary meds, and (to a lesser extent) animal welfare.

09.03.2026 15:21 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

The odd one out to me here is Ghana, which would be the first African country to sign a security and defence partnership with the EU. So far, to my knowledge, it has not been amongst the closest EU partners in Africa and will be interesting to see how its SDP differs in scope and focus.

09.03.2026 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 2

The SDP with Australia is aimed to be signed together with the trade agreement, in a similar fashion to India.

Iceland is also a natural NATO partner with now a renewed interested in restarting EU accession talks, further bolstering EU security cooperation in the Arctic.

09.03.2026 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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EU to sign defence partnerships with Australia, Iceland and Ghana, Kallas says The EU will ​sign defence partnerships β€Œwith Australia, Iceland and Ghana in ​the coming ​days, EU foreign ⁠policy chief Kaja ​Kallas said ​on Monday.

As foreshadowed, EU plans to sign additional Security and Defence Partnerships with Australia, Iceland and Ghana in the coming days:

09.03.2026 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

πŸ‡«πŸ‡·β€ΌοΈ France is assembling an β€œunprecedented” fleet of eight frigates, an aircraft carrier and two helicopter carriers in the eastern Med and β€œoff the straits of Hormuz”, President Emmanuel Macron said today. 1/

09.03.2026 14:04 β€” πŸ‘ 124    πŸ” 50    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 13
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UK-EU SPS Agreement - Legislation in scope To cut red tape and costs for importing and exporting with the EU, the UK will align with EU Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) legislation.

UK government releases list of 76 EU laws that it says UK will align with under food standards treaty with EU www.gov.uk/government/n...

09.03.2026 12:52 β€” πŸ‘ 676    πŸ” 220    πŸ’¬ 56    πŸ“Œ 50

Could very well also have the opposite effect, with calls to further dismantle climate regulation growing with the argument that prices on fossil fuels need to be driven down fast:

09.03.2026 11:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Also in this picture: Viktor Orban, having gone 120% pro Trump and facing an election in just over one month.

09.03.2026 11:24 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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UK should not back a war that boosts Vladimir Putin Rising energy prices inadvertently strengthen Russia and weaken incumbent European governments

Today's newsletter on the British political implications and policy consequences of Donald Trump's war with Iran.

This will surprise you but they are not good!

09.03.2026 10:17 β€” πŸ‘ 78    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2
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AI-generated Iran war videos surge as creators use new tech to cash in The US-Israel war with Iran is being monetised by online creators with AI-generated misinformation.

Who could have predicted this… πŸ˜‘

www.bbc.com/news/article...

09.03.2026 10:19 β€” πŸ‘ 339    πŸ” 110    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 11

Spare a thought to Danish PM Frederiksen, who called a snap election as the Danish rallied behind her over Trump's threats on Greenland, and now suddenly has an election on 24th of March during a global energy crisis.

09.03.2026 10:22 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0

Here, take a bit of anti-doom scrolling medicine:

09.03.2026 09:57 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Here we have the same discussion in the UK - framed as a choice between Trump's 'drill baby drill' and Ed Milibands push for clean energy:

09.03.2026 09:37 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1