Affective Old Truant

Affective Old Truant

@effectivealtruist.bsky.social

I'm an effective altruist mainly reading and boosting posts, but occasionally I'll muse and doodle about effective altruism. I take a balanced approach, so will highlight under-represented views—my opinions will no doubt become apparent :)

7,289 Followers 21 Following 69 Posts Joined Jun 2025
3 months ago
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Cari Tuna on Why Her Organization Will Offer Free Advice to Other Donors It's a move that formalizes and expands the advising work she and her husband, Dustin Moskovitz, started two years ago.

Billionaire donor Cari Tuna is widening the circle of evidence-based giving. Her group, now called Coefficient Giving, will offer free guidance to major donors on how to make the most impact and has already helped steer more than $300 million to causes.
https://phlnthrp.com/4oONHWt

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5 days ago
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3 months ago
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Open Philanthropy Is Now Coefficient Giving. Here’s What Has (and Hasn’t) Changed Primarily funded by Facebook cofounder Dustin Moskovitz and wife Cari Tuna, the organization has rebranded as both a grantmaker and philanthropic advisor.

The organization, which has been primarily funded by Facebook cofounder Dustin Moskovitz and wife Cari Tuna, has rebranded as both a grantmaker and philanthropic advisor.

Mike Scutari Reports: tinyurl.com/yh2fw57v

#CoefficientGiving #EffectiveAltruism #Philanthropy #DustinMoskovitz #CariTuna

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4 days ago
3. Resilient communities
Protecting institutions from extremist abuse. We will embed the 2024 extremism definition across government, working closely with frontline partners such as the police. We will update and embed the 2024 engagement principles so that public bodies do not confer legitimacy, funding or influence on extremist groups. We will publish an annual State of Extremism report setting out the nature of the foreign and domestic extremist threat to the UK and government’s response. We will connect our local and national networks to ensure a coordinated and effective response. Across specific sectors, we will strengthen Charity Commission powers to tackle extremist abuse, including the power to shut down charities. We will also introduce measures to tackle extremism in university campuses, including strengthening monitoring and oversight of Prevent compliance issues to enable enforcement action where necessary.

Disrupting wider extremist influence and activity. We will develop new tools and powers to disrupt organisations that spread extremism, hate, and threaten public safety. We will also introduce a State Threats Designation Power – based on counter terrorism proscription – disrupting and deterring the most egregious state and proxy organisations carrying out hostile activity against the UK. We will transform our Disruptions capacity to detect, expose, and counter extremist influence across the UK, and we will expand the reach of our VISA taskforce to stop extremists entering the UK. We will work with the Crown Prosecution Service and the Police to ensure robust use of existing hate crime and public order legislation on harmful extremist conduct, and terrorism legislation wherever conduct meets the appropriate threshold. We will also ensure the Police are equipped to respond to those who try to intimidate, threaten and harass others for so-called ‘blasphemy’ related incidents.

Securing online spaces. We will make use of robust powers to require platfor…

3. Resilience: countering extremism [extremisms]

Resilience chapter
www.gov.uk/government/p...

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1 month ago
extract reads "Moskovitz co-founded the philanthropic organization Good Ventures with his girlfriend (and now wife) Cari Tuna in 2011.[19] In June 2012, Good Ventures announced a close partnership with charity evaluator GiveWell. Both organizations "are aiming to do as much good as possible" and thereby align with the goals of effective altruism.[20][21] Good Ventures has" <- lesswrong/MIRI derived "effective alturism" being the most important bit lol

I love how they call what Moskovitz does "effective philantrophy" instead of... you probably guessed it, I know I did...

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3 days ago

2/3
I completely understand you want to attract those with the ability to be effective, but the salaries of executives shouldn’t be huge, especially given the fact that they’re charities funded entirely by donations.

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1 day ago
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Pas de nouveau procès pour Sam Bankman-Fried ? Les procureurs y sont opposés Sam Bankman-Fried, l’ex-PDG de FTX, souhaite obtenir un nouveau procès. Mais les procureurs sont vent debout contre cette éventualité

🗞️ Pas de nouveau procès pour Sam Bankman-Fried ? Les procureurs y sont opposés
cryptoast.fr/pas-nouveau-...

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1 day ago
AI-generated Peter Singer in a garden. Quote: "Interest in business ethics courses has surged, and student activities at leading business schools are more focused than ever before on making business serve long-term social values."

"Interest in business ethics courses has surged, and student activities at leading business schools are more focused than ever before on making business serve long-term social values."
– Peter Singer
#quote of #wisdom

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1 day ago
Trump's DOJ is not falling for Sam Bankman-Fried's MAGA makeover on X Ever since Donald Trump took office and declared himself a "pro-crypto president," FTX's disgraced founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, has been working to convince the administration that he's a Republican now. The former Democratic megadonor apparently hopes that a right-wing pivot might help him escape a 25-year prison sentence ordered after Joe Biden's Department of Justice proved he stole more than $8 billion from customers of his cryptocurrency exchange.

Trump's DOJ is not falling for Sam Bankman-Fried's MAGA makeover on X

Ever since Donald Trump took office and declared himself a "pro-crypto president," FTX's disgraced founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, has been working to convince the administration that he's a Republican now. The former Democratic…

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1 day ago
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Screen and music icon Barbra Streisand to get Cannes festival's top prize: Legendary American actress and singer Barbra Streisand will be honored with an honorary Palme d'Or at the 2024 Cannes Film Festival on May 23rd, joining director Peter Jackson as a recipient of… https://ranked.news/312006?u=b

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1 day ago
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Sam Bankman-Fried attempts to rebrand as Republican to escape his 25-year sentence, but the DOJ rejects his claims of political persecution and denies his motion for a new trial.

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1 day ago
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Amour & Amnésie de Peter Segal (2004) est une de mes RomCom préférée.

Une version décomplexée de Un Jour sans fin avec le duo de The Wedding Singer, Adam Sandler et Drew Barrymore, entourés de truculent persos secondaires et mammifères pour une drôlement belle histoire d'amour.

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1 month ago
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Longtermist philosopher Toby Ord considers a totalitarian "enforced dystopia" to be one of the main types of existential catastrophe. Here's a passage from his book The Precipice. Preserving democracy seems like an important priority for protecting our long-term future.

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3 weeks ago
Exponential Decay of Success
While security risks are severe, practical utility is limited by a Reliability Crisis governed by the mathematics of entropy in sequential decision-making.
The Formula
Al agents are probabilistic, not deterministic. When constructing multi-step plans, overall success probability is the product of each step's probability:
s(n)=r
Where:
S (n) is the Probability of Success
after n steps.
r is
the reliability per step.
n is
the integer number of steps (1,2,3,...).
The Reality Check
Assuming generous 95% per-step accuracy:
1-step task: 95% success
10-step task: ~59.9% success
30-step task: ~21.4% success
At 90% per-step accuracy (more realistic), 30-step task drops to ~4.2% success rate.
This mathematical reality makes "long-horizon" tasks - the very tasks agents are marketed to perform - untenable for enterprise deployment without human oversight.
Citation: Ord, Toby. "Is there a half-life for
the success
rates of Al agents?." arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.05115 (2025).

I had to dig further. It’s not at the end it’s 27 min in. It’s more than a comment it’s a slide with a link to research, but I think it’s a little misleading. This assumes a 30 step process with no ability to confirm success or adjust and re-try, which to me seems disconnected from many use cases.

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3 weeks ago

Toby Ord argues that RL scaling for AI mainly works by allowing models to work for longer, so the gains come with large, per-use inference costs.

According to JS Denain, this overstates how much of a bottleneck this will be for AI progress.

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1 month ago

“One billionaire, Facebook co-founder Dustin Moskovitz, asked for his name to be removed from the website, saying he didn’t agree with its position.”

Derik Kauffman is a Dbag

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3 weeks ago

Dustin Moskovitz has become the top funder in effective altruism, succeeding Sam Bankman-Fried, focusing on colleges and education. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-29/moskovitz-replaces-sbf-as-top-effective-altruism-funder-focuses-on-colleges

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5 days ago
EFTA01753573 | EFTA01753573
From:
To:
Subject:
Sent:

Quora Weekly Digest
jeevacation@gmail.com
What do you think every foreigner should know about your country? - Quora
Tuesday, November 5, 2013 4:21:16 PM

„--- Your Quora Weekly Digest
Top content for you this week

What do you think every foreigner should know about your country?
22k Saad lqbal, I Engineer, Entrepreneur, Insane and ...

Pakistan:

... Read More ),)

Does singularity university offer MOOC?
3 David S. Rose, Founding SU Track Chair for Finance, ...
Not at this time, but the program continues to grow and morph, so it wouldn't
surprise me if it eventually heads in that direction. That said, among the various
Singularity... Read More »

How does Dustin Moskovitz feel about being a billionaire?
17k Dustin Moskovitz

I'm very fond of this quote from Louis C.K. below and generally view the world
through this lens:

I never viewed money as being "my money" I always saw it as "The
money" I...
Read More »

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4 days ago

Moral Ambition sounds intriguing! Love diving into philosophy and ethics—always makes for a thought-provoking listen. 📚👂

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4 days ago
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Key 2020 election denier is still working to prove it was stolen — now from inside the White House | CNN Politics Kurt Olsen was a key player in some of President Donald Trump’s most far-fetched 2020 election reversal schemes. Now he’s back on familiar ground — in Trump’s ear and focused on Fulton County.

"The man who once described his hunt for voter fraud as an effort to 'save the country' now has a direct line to the president, giving him more influence than ever." www.cnn.com/2026/03/08/p...

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4 days ago

"The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.”
- John Kenneth Galbraith

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4 days ago

As a middle manager, I feel this deeply. Really love knowing that some of my direct reports are giving me wrinkles.

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4 days ago

If you really wanna have fun with philosophy of mind, ask yourself if the people in your dreams are conscious/moral patients and if it's possible to harm them via the actions you take, and if so whether or not it's your fault while in the normal dreaming mode, so not completely volitional or lucid.

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4 days ago

I love the use of the Morality, Duty and Obligation trackers and how they can show character progression, and giving each player character something that ties them to the overall theme of the setting is a really good way to direct roleplay while still giving the player flexibility.

I like it a lot.

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2 weeks ago
Thanks to Dario Amodei (especially Dario), Paul Buchheit, Matt Bush, Patrick Collison, Holden Karnofsky, Luke Muehlhauser, and Geoff Ralston for reading drafts of this and the previous post.

from sam altman's march 2015 blog post "machine intelligence part 2": blog.samaltman.com/machine-inte...

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5 days ago
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Citizens, assemble! The case for politics without politicians In a new book, political theorist Hélène Landemore argues that electoral politics is irredeemably broken but that democracy can be repaired by empowering ordinary people to govern.

Bring out the shy people.

In a new book, Yale political theorist Hélène Landemore makes the case for politics without politicians. She argues that while current democratic systems may be faltering, they can be strengthened by giving ordinary people a more direct role in governing.

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2 weeks ago
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Responsible Scaling Policy v3 All views are my own, not Anthropic’s. This post assumes Anthropic’s announcement of RSP v3.0 as background. …

Feed: "Effective Altruism Forum"
By: Holden Karnofsky on Tuesday, February 24, 2026

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5 days ago

She’s quoting an article

You do understand
The difference between
Her reading someone
Else’s words
& giving a direct opinion

Right?
#Mm

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1 week ago
Preview
Claude's Constitution Anthropic is an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.

Amanda Askell is a philosopher who wrote a 30,000-word soul document on values and ethics, teaching Claude AI how to be good. Alongside Joe Carlsmith, Chris Olah and Holden Karnofsky, she shaped what it means for an AI to be trustworthy.
#Claude #AI
www.anthropic.com/constitution

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5 days ago
Post image Post image Post image

Please consider donating to the Augusta Baker fund during #Give4Garnet 2026!

If you donate $75 by 3/25/26 you will receive Cocky Blocks as a reward.

Please direct your contributions to the "Augusta Baker's Dozen ( 1b1419 )" fund.

give4garnet.sc.edu/giving-day/1...

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