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Mark

@rumistheanswer.bsky.social

Dad Uncle Godfather. Orchid guy, West Indian living in the ITCZ. Play a bit of FPL and poker. Occasional helper to the stork. He/Him/Hunkle Mac.

358 Followers  |  1,451 Following  |  59 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024  |  1.9621

Latest posts by rumistheanswer.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Catasetum hybrids.

30.07.2025 23:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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#Treeoftheday. Dawn looking east.

26.04.2025 00:39 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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#treeoftheday. Yellow Poui, Trinidad and Tobago 8

23.04.2025 21:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Consider posting this on inaturalist. I am mark the orchid guy if you check it out

19.04.2025 22:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Stories of imagination tend to upset those without one. - Terry Pratchett

Stories of imagination tend to upset those without one. - Terry Pratchett

A new week, a new opportunity to discover a favourite book! - Michael

14.04.2025 07:36 β€” πŸ‘ 131    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Boss

14.04.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you

10.03.2025 23:22 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Probability distribution of the difference between Arteta and Slot's assistant manager points for GW26. The expected value is that Arteta outscores slot by 3.90 points. Arteta outscores Slot 72.99% of the time, and Slot outscores Arteta 18.52% of the time. The distribution is mostly a single plateau between 0 and 10 point difference in Arteta's favour.

Probability distribution of the difference between Arteta and Slot's assistant manager points for GW26. The expected value is that Arteta outscores slot by 3.90 points. Arteta outscores Slot 72.99% of the time, and Slot outscores Arteta 18.52% of the time. The distribution is mostly a single plateau between 0 and 10 point difference in Arteta's favour.

Probability distribution of the difference between Glasner and Slot's assistant manager points for GW26. The expected value is that Arteta outscores slot by 3.62 points. Glasner outscores Slot 54.00% of the time, and Slot outscores Glasner 35.84% of the time. The distribution is erratic. The highest likelihood outcome is a relatively even affair, with smaller spikes occurring at +10 and +20 in Glasner's favour, but also -5 and -10 in Slot's favour.

Probability distribution of the difference between Glasner and Slot's assistant manager points for GW26. The expected value is that Arteta outscores slot by 3.62 points. Glasner outscores Slot 54.00% of the time, and Slot outscores Glasner 35.84% of the time. The distribution is erratic. The highest likelihood outcome is a relatively even affair, with smaller spikes occurring at +10 and +20 in Glasner's favour, but also -5 and -10 in Slot's favour.

πŸ“Š GW26: Stay at the Slot machine or gamble elsewhere?

250k simulations show the distribution of expected gain by making the switch from Slot to this week's top managers available for each risk profile.

Based on team ratings by @elevenify.com

20.02.2025 18:10 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1

Get the bowel prep right or they tell you half way through to come back next week. Also, take the sedation option.

20.02.2025 20:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Yes Bunny πŸ‘πŸ½

16.02.2025 19:35 β€” πŸ‘ 751    πŸ” 58    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 2

Where did you get the Octavia B T shirt?

10.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I feel like the term β€œfantasy football” is a little misleading I honestly thought goblins would have played a larger role

07.02.2025 23:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1318    πŸ” 142    πŸ’¬ 44    πŸ“Œ 6
Box plot showing GW25 point projections for all Premier League Assistant Managers. Liverpool and Villa lead (17.4, 15.8 mean). Other teams cluster 2-13 points. Displays mean (black line), interquartile range (solid pink), and 5-95th percentiles (hatched areas)

Box plot showing GW25 point projections for all Premier League Assistant Managers. Liverpool and Villa lead (17.4, 15.8 mean). Other teams cluster 2-13 points. Displays mean (black line), interquartile range (solid pink), and 5-95th percentiles (hatched areas)

GW25 Assistant Manager Points Potential πŸ“Š

No surprises that Liverpool lead in expected value.
However, an interesting choice is presented to managers yet again: safer floor or higher ceiling?

Based on 250k sims from @elevenify.com data

07.02.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 55    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 4

Some one pm me what the R word is?

03.02.2025 00:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Clowesetum Lou Lodyga, 'Yellow Bees'. In the morning light through the window.

02.02.2025 18:48 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Sunrise over Trinidads northern range

25.01.2025 22:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sarcastic?

23.01.2025 10:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Appreciated

23.01.2025 04:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Property damage invokes terms like sabotage, not legitimate protest.

07.01.2025 17:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Does anyone have a contact for Ann ? Would love to discuss with her the possibility of partnering with her to publish her cartoons exclusively on @bluesky

05.01.2025 13:51 β€” πŸ‘ 55041    πŸ” 12561    πŸ’¬ 1588    πŸ“Œ 484

For the record, Santa enjoys good old rum. Dark,, blended even white in a pinch. Not that Agricole stuff that's degenerate and about as bad as scotch.

25.12.2024 17:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 24.12.2024 03:02 β€” πŸ‘ 20214    πŸ” 3888    πŸ’¬ 362    πŸ“Œ 132
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F I X T U R E S πŸ—“οΈ

#GW18 - to - GW25

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Euro Group matches
πŸ§ƒ Carabao Cup SF1 & SF3
πŸ† FA Cup R3 & R4

#theFPLmatrix

πŸ’šπŸ’›β€οΈ

23.12.2024 18:25 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I like the idea of an irregular work around using a coalition of the willing.

23.12.2024 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ’Ή PL GW18 matchups

First look at projected goals and clean sheet odds for the midweek round of Premier League games, via spread betting markets

23.12.2024 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 4
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I like this

22.12.2024 15:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1399    πŸ” 200    πŸ’¬ 36    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Wildlife Photographer of the Year 2024

Worth a look

mobileguide.rom.yourcultureconnect.com/e/wildlife-p...

22.12.2024 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I recommend no fewer than 4 copies of any beloved book. A paperback for traveling and lending to friends, an eBook for reading with greasy snack fingers, an audio book so you know how the characters' names are actually pronounced, and a pristine hardcover to be buried with you like a pharaoh

19.12.2024 18:51 β€” πŸ‘ 15136    πŸ” 1725    πŸ’¬ 501    πŸ“Œ 225

Fantastic

20.12.2024 18:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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