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James Miraflor

@miraflor.bsky.social

public health informatics | complex systems | political-economy

221 Followers  |  726 Following  |  42 Posts  |  Joined: 07.02.2024  |  1.9826

Latest posts by miraflor.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Humans are infiltrating the Reddit for AI bots ๏ปฟThings on the AI agent social media platform got even weirder over the weekend.

Ordinary social networks face a constant onslaught of chatbots pretending to be human. A new social platform for AI agents, called Moltbook and designed to look a lot like Reddit, may face the opposite problem: getting clogged up by humans pretending to post as bots.
www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...

03.02.2026 14:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Epstein files as Batailleโ€™s The Accursed Share in action: bacchanalia of elite debauchery, financed by superprofits from post-911 military Keynesianism.

03.02.2026 11:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The green industrial revolution is coming But the government must make sure local communities feel the benefit

Missions succeed when public finance delivers public value.

While the UK is on track to deliver its Clean Power mission w its expansion in offshore wind, it must learn from the failures of PFI era and financialisation of utilities like Thames Water: donโ€™t socialise risks & privatise rewards.

02.02.2026 15:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 23    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Majority AI View - Anil Dash A blog about making culture. Since 1999.

Some quick footnotes:
* A summary of the majority view from insiders in the tech industry on what's really going on with AI www.anildash.com/2025/10/17/t...
* A reflection on what a "good" AI system would have to look like www.anildash.com/2025/05/01/w...

18.12.2025 21:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 52    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

I think the answer to stopping the harms of the Big AI companies is *not* to say "we need to kill all the AI", even though we hate seeing the creeping impacts of that bad AI in our lives. The model has to be how Bluesky is a better alternative to Twitter. We need a tolerable AI alternative instead.

18.12.2025 21:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 87    ๐Ÿ” 13    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

Because hundreds of millions of people are already using these tools and finding utility in them. And they're not crazy, they are reasonable. Telling them, "no, you have to do without", will make them think, "Oh, I guess the critics are crazy and the AI bros are the reasonable ones."

18.12.2025 21:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 91    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 14
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โ€˜This year nearly broke me as a scientistโ€™ โ€“ US researchers reflect on how 2025โ€™s science cuts have changed their lives US science lost a great deal in 2025, including tens of billions of dollars of federal funding, entire research agencies and programs, and a generation of researchers.

This year has been brutal for science, especially early career researchers and those working with communities further marginalized by this administration. Please read the experiences of these scientists.

And when youโ€™re done reading, find a way to fight back.
theconversation.com/this-year-ne...

19.12.2025 00:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 95    ๐Ÿ” 45    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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How Unethical Research Seeds Medical Mistrust The absence of equipoise can turn research into harm

The planned hepatitis B birth-dose trial in Guinea-Bissau raises serious ethical concerns. Withholding a proven, life-saving vaccine from newborns to answer speculative questions is an absence of equipoise with real downstream harms for trust in vaccines.
bktitanji.substack.com/p/how-unethi...

18.12.2025 21:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 411    ๐Ÿ” 169    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 33
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Modelling the epidemiological impact of HIV prophylaxis on a backdrop of social, cultural, and behavioural complexity at University of Bristol on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Modelling the epidemiological impact of HIV prophylaxis on a backdrop of social, cultural, and behavioural complexity at University of Bristol, listed on FindAPhD.com

We're advertising a PhD position! ๐Ÿ˜Ž Modelling the epidemiological impact of HIV prophylaxis on a backdrop of social, cultural, and behavioural complexity

www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

17.09.2025 10:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's more like, conglomerates establish a bank, & once they do, odds are stacked in their favor. Every monetary injection via RRR cut (and maybe even every withdrawal via repo rate hike, though I'm yet to explore this), conglomerates benefit - over & above MSMEs & workers. BSP's fiat is their mana.

19.06.2025 08:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Subsidizing Bankers, Shortchanging Workers โ€œโ€ฆ as Congress failed to raise the minimum wage by a couple of hundred pesos and facilitate a transfer of a measly โ‚ฑ259 billion to closeโ€ฆ

โ€œโ€ฆ as Congress failed to raise the minimum wage by a couple of hundred pesos & facilitate a transfer of a measly โ‚ฑ259 billion to close the โ‚ฑ5 trillion wage-profit gap, the BSP has effectively subsidized capitalists to the tune of โ‚ฑ300-400 billion.โ€

medium.com/@futilityfun...

18.06.2025 07:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Fitting a generalized mixed model with a gamma distribution log link and random slopes to reaction time data to arrive at precisely the same point estimate as the authors did by simply averaging and conducting a t-test:

28.05.2025 17:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 291    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

CDC ends COVID vaccine recommendation for healthy kids and the pregnant. HHS cancelling Moderna contracts for developing vaccines vs. future flu pandemics. RFK, Jr. may ban US scientists from publishing. #EpiBluesky

29.05.2025 07:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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On Building Git for Lawyers Over this past weekend, Twitter discovered the problem that I have dedicated the past four years of my life to solving. Why don't lawyers and other non-coders use git?

theredline.versionstory.com/p/on-buildin...

10.05.2025 18:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Why Lawyers Will Never Use Google Docs Last November, I published "On Building Git for Lawyers" about building Version Story, the first concurrent version control system for lawyers.

This is interesting theredline.versionstory.com/p/why-lawyer...

10.05.2025 18:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Workers donโ€™t only hold jobs; they create them - every time they buy, save, discover, or create. So-called โ€œfinancial strategyโ€ is mere exploitation of signals by workers to workers.

01.05.2025 07:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Stancil and the leftists have been shouting the two parts of this sentence at each other for years now when they should just be shouting the name at the top to everyone else

21.04.2025 14:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 60    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Combining Straightโ€Line and Mapโ€Based Distances to Investigate the Connection Between Proximity to Healthy Foods and Disease Healthy foods are essential for a healthy life, but accessing healthy food can be more challenging for some people than others. This disparity in food access may lead to disparities in well-being, po...

๐Ÿ†• New week, new pub! @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social (Assistant Prof) published in Statistics in Medicine with @wakeforest.bsky.social colleagues @ashleymullan.bsky.social (MS alum, now PhDing @vanderbilt.edu), @lucystats.bsky.social (Assistant Prof), and Staci Hepler (Vice Chair/Associate Prof).

21.04.2025 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Flyer for International Social Epidemiology Webinar Series: Professor Naomi Priest from the Australian National University on 1st of May. Title: "My 'accidental' career as a social epidemiologist"

Flyer for International Social Epidemiology Webinar Series: Professor Naomi Priest from the Australian National University on 1st of May. Title: "My 'accidental' career as a social epidemiologist"

๐Ÿ“ข Mark your calendars for our next webinar next week!

โ€œMy 'Accidental' Career as a Social Epidemiologistโ€ featuring Professor Naomi Priest

๐Ÿ“… Thursday, May 1st, 2025
๐Ÿ•— 06:00 New York / 11:00 London / 20:00 Melbourne

๐Ÿ‘‰ Register now at bit.ly/3YABrxB โ€” and please share widely!

#SocialEpi #SDoH

21.04.2025 11:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

that feel when you canโ€™t reconcile the reality of historical contingency with the possibility of inductive inference

21.04.2025 00:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 27    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Safety and Immunogenicity of Poultry Vaccine for Protecting Critically Endangered Avian Species against Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus, United States Vaccine for Protecting Avian Species against HPAIV

This is type of cool and quiet science that excites me. In 2023, #H5N1 hit California condors hard: >21 birds dead. Just ~560 remain globally. Researchers asked: could a poultry vaccine help? They ran a trial that might change wildlife conservation & save the species.๐Ÿงช
wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/...

18.04.2025 17:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 75    ๐Ÿ” 23    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Peruvian Population Genomics: Unraveling the Genetic Landscape and Admixture Dynamics of Urban Populations https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.04.10.648256v1

17.04.2025 10:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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My recommendations on economic growth and development

16.04.2025 11:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
16.04.2025 09:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 80    ๐Ÿ” 17    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

P.P.S. How much less? 100.08%/100.00016102385% = 0.99206508952. So the probability of being selected shrinks by 0.21% a year. By the end of 60 years your probability of being selected - little as it is - would have shrunk to 62% of the original (P = 0.00002173913). 11/10

16.04.2025 09:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

P.S. Note that is an understatement. That the population growth rate in the PH is 0.8% a year, but the required sample size for a 2% margin will only grow by 0.00016102385% a year! That means as the pop'ln grows you have less & less chances of being selected per year. 10/10

16.04.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So, if you get interviewed at least once in your entire electoral life, consider yourself the lucky one out of five Filipinos. Otherwise, that's just the consequence of statistics. 9/

16.04.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So our formula gives us 1-(1-P)^9,360 = 0.18411386371.
That's roughly 18.5% - there is only less than 1 in 5 chances that you will be interviewed at least once for the rest of your electoral life, even if we assume there are 3 surveys a week. 8/

16.04.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Do the same to compute the prob. of one being interviewed at least once in his entire life in all major surveys. Say there are at least 3 surveys per week from different firms. That's extreme. Say that one's electorally active life is 60 years. So that's 3x52x60=9,360 surveys. 7/

16.04.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

From here, we can get the probability that you were interviewed for at least one of the surveys. That is 1-(1-P)^192 = 0.00416525948, or 0.416525948% - less than half of a percent chance. 6/

16.04.2025 08:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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